Here are our NFL picks for Thursday 17 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cleveland Browns. It was priced at +124 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Tennessee Titans play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tennessee Titans. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play New York Giants in the NFL on Tuesday 22 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is New York Giants. It was priced at +164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cleveland Browns: Over (-104)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Dallas Cowboys play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dallas Cowboys. It was priced at +104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Buffalo Bills play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Under. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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