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NFL

Buffalo Bills

Next game: the Bills play at the Rams on Monday 12 October. They have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 regular-season games. See the game preview

Won-lost3-1
At home2-1
Points a game31.8
Last 4WWWL
Next Game: vs Los Angeles Rams (Away) Mon 12 Oct, 8:15 PM ET Los Angeles Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Under 54.5 total points
Under 54.5 Total Points
LEAN
Our numbers say this wins about 50 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$19.50 Odds-105
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 50% chance to land.

+7.7%
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Model updated Oct 12, 4:02AM UTC
Answer
The Buffalo Bills model is leaning the under in the Total Points market vs Los Angeles Rams.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Total PointsWith Pro
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro
Team TotalWith Pro

The model has graded 3 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Rams about 6 in 10 to win.

Live prices for this game are not in yet.

All NFL odds this week →

Buffalo Bills same game parlay

On game day

The model builds its Buffalo Bills same game parlay on game day, once every market for the game is priced. Their next game is against Los Angeles Rams on Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET. Check back that morning and the ticket will be here.

Want today's board now? Every game's parlay is on the NFL parlays page.

Bills schedule and results, 2026

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotalGame
Sun 13 Sepat Houston TexansW 36-31Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 44.5Game page
Thu 17 Sepvs Detroit LionsW 41-31Covered (favourite by 5.5)Over 54.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepvs Los Angeles ChargersW 24-16Covered (favourite by 7)Under 50.5Game page
Sun 4 Octvs New England PatriotsL 26-29Missed (favourite by 7)Over 49.5Game page
Mon 12 Octat Los Angeles RamsUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET––Preview
Sun 18 Octat Las Vegas RaidersUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET––Preview
Sun 1 Novvs Baltimore RavensUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Mon 9 Novat Minnesota VikingsUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET–––
Sun 15 Novat New York JetsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 22 Novvs Miami DolphinsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Thu 26 Novvs Kansas City ChiefsUpcoming · 8:20 PM ET–––
Sun 6 Decat New England PatriotsUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET––Preview
Sun 13 Decat Green Bay PackersUpcoming · 8:20 PM ET–––
Sat 19 Decvs Chicago BearsUpcoming · 8:20 PM ET–––
Fri 25 Decat Denver BroncosUpcoming · 4:30 PM ET––Preview
Sun 3 Janat Miami DolphinsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 10 Janvs New York JetsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––

Spread and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Bills cover the spread

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Bills covered the spread in 8 of 17 games: 4 of 9 at home and 4 of 8 away. Their games went over the total 9 times in 17. So far in 2026: covered in 3 of 4, and over in 3 of 4.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
2026 (so far)2 of 31 of 13 of 42 of 31 of 13 of 4
20254 of 94 of 88 of 176 of 93 of 89 of 17
20245 of 85 of 910 of 176 of 8 (1 push)5 of 911 of 17 (1 push)
20234 of 93 of 87 of 173 of 93 of 86 of 17
20224 of 84 of 8 (1 push)8 of 16 (1 push)5 of 81 of 86 of 16
20214 of 9 (2 pushes)5 of 89 of 17 (2 pushes)3 of 95 of 88 of 17
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the spread, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

What the Bills defense gives up

  • Number 3 for most passing yards given up to quarterbacks this season: 274 a game.
  • Number 5 for most receiving yards given up to wide receivers this season: 186 a game.

See every NFL defense vs position

Bills injuries

Updated 11 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Ed OliverDTOutKneeabout 18 Oct
Joshua PalmerWROutShoulderabout 18 Oct
Dee AlfordCBQuestionableAnkleabout 12 Oct
DJ MooreWRQuestionableShoulder - ac jointabout 12 Oct
Landon JacksonDEQuestionableKneeabout 12 Oct
Te'Cory CouchCBQuestionableHamstringabout 12 Oct

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Roof
Outdoors
Surface
Turf
Wind
4 mph
Temp
19°F
New Era Field
Season-pending — reflects the most recent scheduled home fixture on file, not necessarily a live upcoming game.

Betting angles

1 market live
Moneylinevs Los Angeles RamsNo line posted

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point Spreadvs Los Angeles RamsNo line posted

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsGame totalUnder 54.5 -105
59%under %

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Questions about the Bills

When do the Bills play next?

The Bills play at the Los Angeles Rams on Monday 12 October 2026.

How often do the Bills cover the spread?

In the 2025 regular season the Bills covered the spread in 8 of 17 games: 4 of 9 at home and 4 of 8 away. So far in 2026: covered in 3 of 4.

How often do Bills games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Bills games went over the total 9 times in 17. So far in 2026: over in 3 of 4.

Who is injured for the Bills?

6 players are on the injury list as of 11 October: Ed Oliver (knee), Joshua Palmer (shoulder), Dee Alford (ankle), DJ Moore (shoulder - ac joint), Landon Jackson (knee), and 1 more.

Where can I see the Bills' next game preview?

Bet Better's Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Buffalo Bills are tracked by the Bet Better model across NFL games. Their next game is against Los Angeles Rams on Monday 12 October. Use the data above to inform your NFL betting decisions for Buffalo Bills.

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