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NFL

Roschon Johnson

CHI

Value call

Roschon Johnson has one live pick today: under 21.5 rushing yards that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
19.5 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.9% · before adjusting for past results 65.3% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +0.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Roschon Johnson
under 21.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 21.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roschon Johnson is Under 21.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards65.3%53.9%53.5%1.97+11.8%

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AI Analysis

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Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Roschon Johnson Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Roschon Johnson has been facing a tough time on the ground lately, especially with the Bears leaning more on their passing game. In fact, they got better results throwing the ball than running it during the last season, which doesn't help his rushing chances. Plus, Chicago's offensive line has been pressured a lot, which might make it harder for him to find space. The Packers have a solid defense at home, winning most of their regular-season games since 2021. Johnson's rushing yards are set at under 21.5, and our numbers suggest he has a good chance of staying below that mark. The most concrete risk here is that he might surprise everyone with a big play, but given how things have been going, betting under seems like a smart choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD13 lines trackedNo line posted
10%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked13

Roschon Johnson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 13 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 10%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · rushing yds
line range19.5–21.5tips tracked2

Roschon Johnson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 19.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Roschon Johnson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards 21.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards 19.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears Total Touchdowns 1.5 Over +19000 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Roschon Johnson (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roschon Johnson is Under 21.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.8% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers on Sunday 11 October at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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