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Roschon Johnson

CHI

Value call

Roschon Johnson has one live pick today: over 1.5 receptions that pays $242 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
2.2 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.1% · before adjusting for past results 60.2% · the book's price implies 41.3% · gap +6.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Mon 2 Nov, 8:20 PM ET
Roschon Johnson
over 1.5 receptions
Receptions Over 1.5 +142 (2.42) · $100→$242
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$24.20 Odds+142
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Roschon Johnson is Over 1.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 6:07AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Johnson carried five times for 17 yards and added an 11-yard reception on his lone target in Monday's 34-17 win over the Seahawks.
updated Nov 3, 5:26PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions60.2%48.1%41.3%2.59+18.9%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears: Roschon Johnson Over 1.5 Receptions (+142)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Roschon Johnson has a good chance to catch more than 1.5 passes against the Seahawks. Seattle's defense struggles when teams throw the ball, and they let the quarterback face extra pressure often. Johnson has shown he can make plays in the air, and with the Seahawks focusing on stopping the run, he could find some space to work. The risk here is that both teams have quarterbacks dealing with lots of extra rushers. If the Bears' quarterback feels pressured, it might mean fewer chances for Johnson. Still, our numbers suggest he will have a good shot to get those catches, especially with the way Seattle's defense has been playing lately.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD13 lines trackedNo line posted
10%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked13

Roschon Johnson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 13 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 10%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards30 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over50%tips tracked30

Roschon Johnson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 30 times, typically around a 19.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions17 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over56%tips tracked17

Roschon Johnson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 17 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards26 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over34%tips tracked26

Roschon Johnson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 26 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over +112 ✓ HIT
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Rushing Yards 12.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Rushing Yards (Alt) 12.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions — — — Pending
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Roschon Johnson (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Roschon Johnson is Over 1.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks on Monday 2 November at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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