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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sean Tucker is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 31%, for a model edge of +19.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NFL

Sean Tucker

TB

+19.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +225 (3.25)
+19.5% Edge
Arizona Cardinals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
The Buccaneers signed Tucker, who had been a restricted free agent, on Monday, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports.
updated Apr 20, 9:53PM UTC · 91d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
30.8%
Model Edge
+19.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%30.8%1.99+19.5%

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AI Analysis

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Sean Tucker (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+225)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Sean Tucker to score a touchdown anytime in the game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Arizona Cardinals appears to be a risky proposition. Historically, Tucker's hit rate for scoring a touchdown is low. In the last 20 games, he's only managed to score twice, equating to a 10% hit rate. The picture is even bleaker when specifically looking at home games, with Tucker unable to score in his last 11 appearances. His recent performance doesn't inspire confidence either, with a zero hit rate in his last 10 games overall, as well as his last 5 home games. While the model edge of 0.194649127110218 suggests some statistical advantage, it's important to interpret this in the context of Tucker's consistent inability to score. Therefore, based on Tucker's historical and recent performance, this bet seems to carry a high degree of risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Sean Tucker's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sean Tucker (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sean Tucker is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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