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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 34%, for a model edge of +16.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 11:02PM UTC
NFL

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

WAS

+16.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +195 (2.95)
+16.3% Edge
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
Washington · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
33.9%
Model Edge
+16.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—33.9%1.99+16.3%

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AI Analysis

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Chris Rodriguez Jr. (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+195)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Chris Rodriguez Jr. to score a touchdown anytime in this game may seem promising given his recent performances. Rodriguez Jr. has been a consistent player in the Washington Commanders' offense, which is also reflected in his last five (L5) averages. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.163247463448415 indicates a positive mathematical expectation of this bet. This means that based on the statistical model's predictions, there is a 16.32% greater chance of Rodriguez Jr. scoring a touchdown than the odds imply. Therefore, the 'Yes' bet for Rodriguez Jr. in the 'player_anytime_td' market is a statistically sound bet. However, it's important to note that the outcome of such bets is also contingent on various unpredictable factors like game flow, play-calling, and injuries during the game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.3% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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