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The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is Over 19.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 8:22PM UTC
NFL

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

JAX

Value call

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Over 19.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 19.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 226 of 421 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Rodriguez turned eight carries into 37 yards and a touchdown during the Jaguars' 35-6 win over the Patriots on Sunday.
updated Sep 29, 12:01AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
27.1 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.5% · before adjusting for past results 61.3% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -3.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards61.3%49.5%53.2%1.99+8.1%

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AI Analysis

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Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Chris Rodriguez Jr. Over 19.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Bengals have been known to struggle on defense, allowing over 392 yards per game in 2025, which is quite a lot. This gives the Jaguars a good opportunity to find success on the ground. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been strong lately, and with the Bengals giving up so many rushing yards, he should get plenty of chances to rack up those yards. Rodriguez needs to run for over 19.5 yards, which is pretty reasonable considering how both teams have been performing. The Jaguars' defense has also allowed some rushing gains, but they're not as bad as the Bengals. The biggest risk here is that the Bengals could tighten up their defense at home, but overall, the chance of Rodriguez hitting that mark looks good.

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Pick History & Track Record

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s lines for Sun 4 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 19.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards line is 19.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards (alt) line is 9.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards (alt) line is 4.5.

Rushing Yards 20.5
-109 best over price · 9 books

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards line is 20.5, best over price -109 across 9 books.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Betting angles

1 market live
Rushing YardsNext game · Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati BengalsO 14.5 -189
14.5posted line · rushing yds

Chris Rodriguez Jr. has a live NFL rushing yards market for Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals: over 14.5 rushing yds priced at -189.

Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
48%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 48%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars Rushing Yards 21.5 Under -111 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -278 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 26 Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Rodriguez Jr. is Over 19.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday 4 October at Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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