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NFL

Kirk Cousins

LV

Value call

Kirk Cousins has one live pick today: under 22.5 completed passes that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
20.2 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 70.2% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +17.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Kirk Cousins
under 22.5 completed passes
Pass Completions Under 22.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
HIGHWins about 70 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.10 Odds-110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kirk Cousins is Under 22.5 on Pass Completions.
On Pass Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:44AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Kirk Cousins playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Kirk Cousins is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Cousins completed 19 of 28 passes for 243 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 45-17 loss to the Patriots.
updated Oct 12, 1:00AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pass Completions70.2%—52.4%2.03+17.9%

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AI Analysis

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Las Vegas Raiders vs Buffalo Bills: Kirk Cousins Under 22.5 Pass Completions (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Kirk Cousins has been under pressure a lot lately, facing extra rushers more than the average quarterback. This could make it tough for him to complete a bunch of passes against a solid Buffalo Bills defense. Last season, the Bills were really good at stopping tight ends, so Cousins might struggle to find his usual targets. The Bills have a decent record against the spread on grass, but Cousins will need to be on point to hit over 22.5 completions. With the way Buffalo's defense is playing and Cousins' recent struggles under pressure, betting on under 22.5 completions seems like a smart choice. Just remember, this isn't a sure thing since Cousins can surprise us sometimes.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Kirk Cousins's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pass Completions 22.5

Kirk Cousins's pass completions line is 22.5.

Passing Yards 241.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Kirk Cousins's passing yards line is 241.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

Passing Yards 240.5
-114 best over price · 1 book

Kirk Cousins's passing yards line is 240.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.

Passing Touchdowns 1.5

Kirk Cousins's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5

Kirk Cousins's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.

Rushing Yards 1.5
-105 best over price · 3 books

Kirk Cousins's rushing yards line is 1.5, best over price -105 across 3 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5

Kirk Cousins's passing yards (alt) line is 179.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5

Kirk Cousins's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Anytime TDNext game · Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas RaidersAnytime TD +1600

Kirk Cousins has a live NFL anytime td market for Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders priced at +1600.

Passing YardsNext game · Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas RaidersU 241.5 -114
241.5posted line · passing yds

Kirk Cousins has a live NFL passing yards market for Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders: under 241.5 passing yds priced at -114.

Rushing YardsNext game · Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas RaidersU 1.5 -118
1.5posted line · rushing yds

Kirk Cousins has a live NFL rushing yards market for Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders: under 1.5 rushing yds priced at -118.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards 0.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kirk Cousins (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kirk Cousins is Under 22.5 on Pass Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.9% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 18 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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