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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kirk Cousins is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On the Rushing Yards (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 15%, versus the book's implied 2%, for a model edge of +13.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NFL

Kirk Cousins

ATL

+13.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 +4800 (49.00)
+13.2% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
15.3%
Implied Probability
2.0%
Model Edge
+13.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)15.3%—2.0%6.55+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Kirk Cousins (ATL) Over 29.5 Player rush yds alternate (+4800)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Given the historical data, it seems like a risky proposition to bet on Kirk Cousins to rush for over 29.5 yards. Cousins has a poor overall hit rate, with just 1 successful bet out of 45. Moreover, his hit rate at home is even worse at 0 out of 23. Specifically against the Seahawks, he hasn't hit a successful bet in his last encounter. Looking at his last 5, 10, and 20 games, he hasn't managed to surpass this rushing yard mark. His current hit streak is also at zero, which doesn't inspire confidence in his ability to achieve this feat. Furthermore, considering his performance against the Seahawks at home, he hasn't had any successful bets in this regard. Thus, the statistical data doesn't support a bet on Cousins to rush for over 29.5 yards in this upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted
29.5typical line · rushing yds
line range29.5–29.5model over15%tips tracked2

Kirk Cousins's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 29.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kirk Cousins (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kirk Cousins is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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