Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jakobi Meyers is Under 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 63%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 3:25AM UTC
NFL
Jakobi Meyers
JAX
Jakobi Meyers has one live pick today: Receptions Under 3.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions
Under 3.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Cleveland Browns
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 339 of 532 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Meyers secured his only target for 28 yards in Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Broncos.
updated Sep 21, 2:47AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
63 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 63.0% · before adjusting for past results 63.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +9.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 63.0% | 63.0% | 53.2% | 2.00 | +9.8% |
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Jakobi Meyers (JAX) Under 3.5 Receptions (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jakobi Meyers (JAX) Under 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards81 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–40.5model over94%tips tracked81
Jakobi Meyers's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 81 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions19 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–3.5tips tracked19
Jakobi Meyers's NFL receptions prop has been priced 19 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Jakobi Meyers's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receptions |
3.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-250 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
29.5 |
Over |
-196 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Jakobi Meyers (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jakobi Meyers is Under 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 13 September at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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