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NFL

Keenan Allen

IND

Value call

Keenan Allen has one live pick today: under 5.5 receptions that pays $168 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
4.3 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.4% · before adjusting for past results 73.2% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap -2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Keenan Allen
under 5.5 receptions
Receptions Under 5.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.80 Odds-147
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keenan Allen is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 4:14AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Allen caught all three of his targets for 31 yards during Sunday's 16-10 loss to the Vikings.
updated Oct 26, 11:34PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions73.2%57.4%59.5%1.78+13.7%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Keenan Allen Under 5.5 Receptions (-147)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Keenan Allen has been a solid player, but in this matchup against the Minnesota Vikings, it looks like he might struggle a bit. The Vikings' defense has been tough, and they tend to limit passing plays, which could affect his ability to grab more than 5 receptions. Plus, the Vikings usually do better against teams on grass, and they've had good results against receivers like Allen in the past. While Allen has talent, the risk here lies in how often the Vikings pressure quarterbacks. Their defense has been aggressive, which might force him into tougher situations. Given all this, betting on him to have under 5.5 receptions seems like a smart choice. Just remember, a lot can happen in a game!

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions21 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5model over59%tips tracked21

Keenan Allen's NFL receptions prop has been priced 21 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards115 lines trackedNo line posted
29.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–89.5model over71%tips tracked115

Keenan Allen's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 115 times, typically around a 29.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
24%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Keenan Allen's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 24%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Receptions 5.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Receptions 4.5 Under +120 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Keenan Allen (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keenan Allen is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.7% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings on Sunday 25 October at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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