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NFL

Ted Hurst III

TB

Value call

Ted Hurst III has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $370 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
34 in 100
Predicted
2.4 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 33.8% · before adjusting for past results 42.5% · the book's price implies 27.0% · gap +6.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 8:20 PM ET
Ted Hurst III
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 2.5 +270 (3.70) · $100→$370
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 34 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$37.00 Odds+270
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ted Hurst III is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 34%, the price says 27%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Hurst failed to haul in his lone target during the Buccaneers' 27-24 loss to the Bears on Sunday.
updated Nov 11, 3:00AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)42.5%33.8%27.0%3.70+15.4%

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AI Analysis

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Ted Hurst III (TB) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate (+270)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Monday 9 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ted Hurst III (TB) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $37 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards51 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–79.5model over92%tips tracked51

Ted Hurst III's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 51 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions35 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5model over46%tips tracked35

Ted Hurst III's NFL receptions prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Ted Hurst III's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards 31.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards 30.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receptions 2.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Receptions — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ted Hurst III (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ted Hurst III is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears on Sunday 8 November at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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