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NFL

Ted Hurst III

TB

Value call

Ted Hurst III has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $292 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
36 in 100
Predicted
2.6 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 36.2% · before adjusting for past results 47.1% · the book's price implies 34.3% · gap +2.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Thu 8 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Ted Hurst III
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 2.5 +192 (2.92) · $100→$292
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 36 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$29.20 Odds+192
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ted Hurst III is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 36 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 36%, the price says 34%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Hurst did not record a target during the Buccaneers' 24-16 win over the Cowboys on Thursday.
updated Oct 10, 5:27PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)47.1%36.2%34.3%2.92+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Ted Hurst III (TB) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate (+192)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dallas Cowboys play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Friday 9 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ted Hurst III (TB) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards25 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over93%tips tracked25

Ted Hurst III's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 25 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions23 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5model over72%tips tracked23

Ted Hurst III's NFL receptions prop has been priced 23 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receptions 2.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ted Hurst III (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ted Hurst III is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys on Thursday 8 October at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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