18+ · Analysis, not advice · Free help 1800 858 858
Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Model v4.0 Updated Daily

Today's Serie A Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Match

Every Serie A match coming up, graded and ranked best first. All 20 are below, top pick free.

20 matches coming up, and the first pick of every match is free

Best Serie A bet today: Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5 at -2500, high confidence. As Genoa prepares to host Fiorentina, all signs point to the home side struggling to find their footing. 20 games on the board.

The one we'd back first · Fiorentina v Genoa
Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5 -2500
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win95.8%
$50 returns$52.00
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each game below
Fiorentina v GenoaFIO v GEN Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5 High96% chance -2500
Parma v Inter MilanPAR v INT Parma at Inter Milan: Parma Spread 2 Lean56% chance +120
Frosinone v NapoliFRO v NAP Frosinone at Napoli: Frosinone Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Frosinone_NA Long-shot23% chance +400
AS Roma v ComoROM v COM AS Roma at Como: Under Total Goals 2.5 Lean46% chance +125
Bologna v LecceBOL v LEC Bologna at Lecce: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA Lean53% chance -104
Monza v LazioMON v LAZ Monza at Lazio: Lazio Spread -1.5 Long-shot32% chance +176
AC Milan v SassuoloACM v SAS AC Milan at Sassuolo: Sassuolo Spread 0.75 Lean52% chance -125
Juventus v CagliariJUV v CAG Juventus at Cagliari: Cagliari Spread 1 High60% chance -120
Venezia v Atalanta BCVEN v ATA Venezia at Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC Spread -1 High66% chance -110
Udinese v TorinoUDI v TOR Udinese at Torino: Udinese Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Udinese_NA Lean45% chance +132
Sassuolo v FrosinoneSAS v FRO Sassuolo at Frosinone: Frosinone Spread 0 High67% chance -135
Napoli v VeneziaNAP v VEN Napoli at Venezia: Napoli Spread -1 Lean59% chance +120
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
110 more picks on the board
Unlock all picks
Serie A • FIO vs. GEN 2026-10-10 13:00 •
Fiorentina Away
vs.
Home Genoa
Last 5FiorentinaDWLLLGenoaLDLLL
Full preview: Fiorentina at Genoa →
Show Picks
Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5
Chance to win 95.8%
The price says 88.5%
Best price -2500

Genoa vs Fiorentina: Genoa +2.5 Goal Handicap (-2500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Genoa prepares to host Fiorentina, all signs point to the home side struggling to find their footing. With just one draw in their last five outings, they’ve averaged a meager 0.6 goals per game at home, while conceding an alarming 2.2. Their xG stats reflect this lack of offensive firepower, consistently hovering at zero. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has shown resilience, scoring 1.4 goals away and generating more threatening chances. Their recent form against Genoa—two wins in their last five meetings—adds to their confidence. Given Genoa's winless streak and Fiorentina's ability to capitalize on defensive lapses, placing a handicap bet on Genoa at -2.5 feels like a calculated risk. With Genoa's defensive frailties and Fiorentina's scoring potential, it’s hard to envision a scenario where the hosts come out unscathed.

Fiorentina at Genoa · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Fiorentina at Genoa · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Fiorentina at Genoa · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Fiorentina at Genoa · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Fiorentina at Genoa · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Fiorentina at Genoa · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • PAR vs. INT 2026-10-10 16:00 •
Parma Away
vs.
Last 5ParmaWLDLL
Full preview: Parma at Inter Milan →
Show Picks
Parma at Inter Milan: Parma Spread 2
Chance to win 55.7%
The price says 43.7%
Best price +120

Inter Milan vs Parma: Parma +2 Goal Handicap (+115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Inter Milan hosts Parma, the betting landscape tells a compelling story. Inter has been on fire at home, averaging a solid three goals per game while conceding just 1.6. Their xG numbers support this attacking prowess, consistently dominating with 24.4 shots per game. However, Parma’s recent struggles shouldn't be dismissed. They've managed just 0.8 goals in their last five outings and look bereft of confidence, especially away where they've struggled to find the net, averaging a paltry 0.4 goals on the road. Yet, when facing Inter, they’ve historically had moments of resilience, and while the odds tilt heavily in favor of Inter, Parma has the potential to surprise. The 2-goal handicap could be the cushion they need to either exceed expectations or at least keep things competitive, making it a tempting wager in a game where anything can happen.

Parma at Inter Milan · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Parma at Inter Milan · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Parma at Inter Milan · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Parma at Inter Milan · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Parma at Inter Milan · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Parma at Inter Milan · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • FRO vs. NAP 2026-10-10 18:45 •
Frosinone Away
vs.
Home Napoli
Last 5FrosinoneWDWWLNapoliDWLLW
Full preview: Frosinone at Napoli →
Show Picks
Frosinone at Napoli: Frosinone Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Frosinone_NA
Chance to win 22.6%
The price says 17.0%
Best price +400

Napoli vs Frosinone: Frosinone Draw No Bet (+460)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Napoli prepares to face Frosinone, the recent form tells a compelling story. While Napoli has struggled at home, with a mixed record of 2-1-2 in their last five, Frosinone has hit a stride, going 3-1-1 away. They’ve managed to score an impressive 1.8 goals per game lately, while conceding just 0.8, showcasing a solid defense. Frosinone's ability to create opportunities is evident, averaging nearly 17 shots per match. Meanwhile, Napoli's expected goals (xG) numbers reflect a concerning trend—1.4 goals scored but just 1.2 conceded at home suggest they’re vulnerable. Given the stark contrast in current form and Frosinone's resilience on the road, they’re a tempting draw no bet option here. If they can maintain their solid away performances, this could easily turn into a profitable outing.

Frosinone at Napoli · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Frosinone at Napoli · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Frosinone at Napoli · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Frosinone at Napoli · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Frosinone at Napoli · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Frosinone at Napoli · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Frosinone at Napoli · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • ROM vs. COM 2026-10-11 10:30 •
AS Roma Away
vs.
Home Como
Last 5AS RomaDWWWWComoLWWWD
Full preview: AS Roma at Como →
Show Picks
AS Roma at Como: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 46.4%
The price says 43.3%
Best price +125

Como vs AS Roma: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Como prepares to host AS Roma, the stage is set for a match where goals might be at a premium. Over their last five home games, Como has demonstrated a knack for solid defensive play, allowing just 1 goal per match while averaging 2.2 goals scored themselves. However, their xG stats reveal a different story; they haven’t generated much in terms of expected goals lately, suggesting that their scoring prowess might be overstated. On the flip side, AS Roma has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, with a recent average of 1.2 goals per game. Given the statistical trends, both teams are likely to engage in a tactical battle. The likelihood of a low-scoring affair is further supported by Como’s recent head-to-head success against Roma, keeping this matchup tighter than expected. Taking the ‘Under 2.5’ seems like a savvy move for this intriguing Serie A clash.

AS Roma at Como · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AS Roma at Como · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AS Roma at Como · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AS Roma at Como · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AS Roma at Como · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • BOL vs. LEC 2026-10-11 13:00 •
Bologna Away
vs.
Home Lecce
Last 5BolognaDLDLLLecceLWLLW
Full preview: Bologna at Lecce →
Show Picks
Bologna at Lecce: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA
Chance to win 52.7%
The price says 48.1%
Best price -104

Lecce vs Bologna: Both Teams To Score: No (-104)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lecce prepares to face Bologna, the trend lines suggest a low-scoring affair. Both teams have struggled to find the net recently; Lecce averages just one goal over their last five home games, while Bologna's away form has seen them net only 0.8 goals per match. The xG data paints a grim picture as well, with both sides failing to create significant scoring opportunities—Lecce has an xG average of zero in their last five matches, while Bologna isn’t far behind. Additionally, Lecce’s home record against Bologna shows they haven’t beaten them in their last five encounters, with three of those games ending in draws or losses. Given the lack of attacking prowess and the historical context, opting for "No" on the Both Teams to Score market feels like a prudent choice as these teams clash in what promises to be a tactical battle rather than a goal fest.

Bologna at Lecce · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Bologna at Lecce · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Bologna at Lecce · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Bologna at Lecce · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Bologna at Lecce · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • MON vs. LAZ 2026-10-11 13:00 •
Monza Away
vs.
Home Lazio
Last 5MonzaWLDLLLazioWDWWW
Full preview: Monza at Lazio →
Show Picks
Monza at Lazio: Lazio Spread -1.5
Chance to win 31.8%
The price says 33.3%
Best price +176

Lazio vs Monza: Lazio -1.5 Goal Handicap (+176)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lazio gears up to face Monza, the stats paint a compelling picture favoring the home side. Lazio boasts a formidable home record, winning four of their last five, while Monza has struggled away, managing only one victory in their last five outings. Lazio's average of 1.6 goals scored at home, paired with a mere 0.6 goals conceded, speaks volumes about their defensive solidity. Meanwhile, Monza's frailty is evident; they concede an average of 2.4 goals per game on the road. The expected goals (xG) metrics also tell a story of dominance. Lazio’s ability to generate chances (12.8 shots per game) contrasts sharply with Monza's lackluster attack. With Lazio historically winning three of their last five encounters against Monza, betting on Lazio to win by at least two goals seems a savvy play. Expect Lazio to turn their home advantage into a decisive victory.

Monza at Lazio · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Monza at Lazio · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Monza at Lazio · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Monza at Lazio · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Monza at Lazio · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Saba Goglichidze Anytime Goal Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • ACM vs. SAS 2026-10-11 16:00 •
AC Milan Away
vs.
Home Sassuolo
Last 5AC MilanWDDWWSassuoloLWDWL
Full preview: AC Milan at Sassuolo →
Show Picks
AC Milan at Sassuolo: Sassuolo Spread 0.75
Chance to win 52.4%
The price says 52.6%
Best price -125

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: Sassuolo +0.75 Goal Handicap (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Sassuolo prepares to host AC Milan, recent form and head-to-head records tilt the scales in favor of the home side. With a solid home record of 4-0-1 in their last five at home, Sassuolo has proven to be a tough nut to crack. They’ve averaged 2.2 goals per game at home, showcasing their attacking prowess, while Milan's away form shows vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. The xG numbers tell a similar tale, with Sassuolo generating a steady stream of chances, averaging 13.6 shots at home. Milan, on the other hand, has struggled to convert chances away, averaging just 1.4 goals. Given Sassuolo's recent home dominance and AC Milan's inconsistency on the road, a bet on Sassuolo at a -0.75 handicap seems not just reasonable but potentially fruitful.

AC Milan at Sassuolo · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AC Milan at Sassuolo · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AC Milan at Sassuolo · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AC Milan at Sassuolo · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AC Milan at Sassuolo · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
AC Milan at Sassuolo · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • JUV vs. CAG 2026-10-11 18:45 •
Juventus Away
vs.
Home Cagliari
Last 5JuventusWLDWWCagliariWWWLW
Full preview: Juventus at Cagliari →
Show Picks
Juventus at Cagliari: Cagliari Spread 1
Chance to win 60.2%
The price says 51.6%
Best price -120

Cagliari vs Juventus: Cagliari +1 Goal Handicap (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

When Cagliari takes on Juventus, the dynamics tilt in the home side's favor, especially considering Cagliari's impressive record at home, winning four of their last five matches. They’ve become a fortress, averaging 1.2 goals per game while conceding only 1.2 at home. On the flip side, Juventus, despite their pedigree, have shown vulnerabilities, particularly away, where they’ve managed just a 1.2 goals average against a 1.0 opponent average. Cagliari's recent form suggests they can stifle Juventus's attack, with an xG differential that favors a tight battle. Moreover, their resilience at home—coupled with Juventus’s fluctuating away performances—makes a Cagliari handicap bet look enticing. With Cagliari primed to exploit any lapses in Juventus’s defense, a bet on them to overcome that single-goal hurdle seems not just wise, but backed by solid trends.

Juventus at Cagliari · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Juventus at Cagliari · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Juventus at Cagliari · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Juventus at Cagliari · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Juventus at Cagliari · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Juventus at Cagliari · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Juventus at Cagliari · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Juventus at Cagliari · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • VEN vs. ATA 2026-10-12 16:30 •
Venezia Away
vs.
Show Picks
Venezia at Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC Spread -1
Chance to win 66.4%
The price says 49.5%
Best price -110

Atalanta BC vs Venezia: Atalanta BC -1 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Atalanta prepares to host Venezia, the home side looks poised for a convincing performance. Their recent form speaks volumes, with an impressive scoring average of 2.6 goals in their last five matches, while Venezia is mired in a rut, failing to find the net with an abysmal xG of zero over the same span. Their away record is troubling, too—five straight matches without a win and conceding an average of 2.2 goals. Atalanta’s attacking prowess, combined with Venezia's defensive frailties, suggests a likely landslide. The hosts are not just scoring; they’re creating chances at will, and Venezia's struggle to generate offense could see them overwhelmed. With Atalanta needing to assert dominance at home, backing them with a -1 handicap feels not just sensible, but a strategic play for a team ready to capitalize on their opponent’s weaknesses.

Venezia at Atalanta BC · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Venezia at Atalanta BC · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Venezia at Atalanta BC · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Venezia at Atalanta BC · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Venezia at Atalanta BC · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Venezia at Atalanta BC · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • UDI vs. TOR 2026-10-12 18:45 •
Udinese Away
vs.
Home Torino
Show Picks
Udinese at Torino: Udinese Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Udinese_NA
Chance to win 44.7%
The price says 42.7%
Best price +132

Torino vs Udinese: Udinese Draw No Bet (+124)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Torino gears up to face Udinese, the recent form and underlying stats offer a compelling narrative favoring the visitors. Torino’s home record reveals a struggle, with just one win from their last five and an average of only 1.4 goals scored. On the flip side, Udinese has shown more attacking intent, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five away matches, and their ability to generate chances—over 10 shots per game—highlights a potent offense. Moreover, both teams have a similar xG output, but Udinese’s recent away performances paint them as the more dangerous side. With a combined history of 2-1-2 against Torino in their last five encounters, backing Udinese in the Draw No Bet market feels like a wise choice. They have the momentum and attacking flair to capitalize on Torino’s recent woes, making this match-up a prime opportunity for Udinese to steal the points.

Udinese at Torino · Spread 0.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Udinese at Torino · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Udinese at Torino · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Udinese at Torino · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Udinese at Torino · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • SAS vs. FRO 2026-10-16 18:45 •
Sassuolo Away
vs.
Home Frosinone
Show Picks
Sassuolo at Frosinone: Frosinone Spread 0
Chance to win 67.2%
The price says 53.5%
Best price -135

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: Frosinone +0 Goal Handicap (-135)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Frosinone prepares to host Sassuolo, recent form suggests the home side has the edge. With a solid 3-1-1 record over the last five matches, they’ve been particularly resilient at home, averaging 1.8 goals while limiting opponents to just 0.8. Their attacking prowess is underscored by a staggering average of nearly 17 shots per game, indicating a consistent threat in front of goal. Conversely, Sassuolo has struggled on the road, managing only one win in their last five away matches. They’ve been held to just one goal per game lately, often outshot by their opponents. Given Frosinone's ability to control games at home and their strong recent performances against Sassuolo, backing Frosinone at a handicap of zero feels like a smart play. This could be a match where home advantage makes all the difference, and the stats certainly suggest they can secure at least a draw if not a win.

Sassuolo at Frosinone · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Sassuolo at Frosinone · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Sassuolo at Frosinone · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Sassuolo at Frosinone · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Sassuolo at Frosinone · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Sassuolo at Frosinone · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Sassuolo at Frosinone · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • NAP vs. VEN 2026-10-17 13:00 •
Napoli Away
vs.
Home Venezia
Show Picks
Napoli at Venezia: Napoli Spread -1
Chance to win 59.3%
The price says 42.4%
Best price +120

Venezia vs Napoli: Napoli -1 Goal Handicap (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Venezia prepares to host Napoli, the trends suggest a lopsided encounter. Napoli arrives with a respectable away record, scoring 1.6 goals per game lately, while Venezia has struggled at home, managing just 1.2 goals and allowing a hefty 2.4. The numbers tell us that Venezia is winless in their last five home matches, with a glaring lack of creativity, averaging just 0.8 expected goals. In contrast, Napoli has consistently found the back of the net, posting a solid xG average, while also holding a dominant 3-1 record against Venezia in recent encounters. Given that Napoli has the attacking firepower to exploit Venezia's defensive frailties, backing them to win by at least two goals seems a savvy play. Expect Napoli to capitalize on their momentum and secure a convincing victory.

Napoli at Venezia · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Napoli at Venezia · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Napoli at Venezia · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Napoli at Venezia · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • INT vs. BOL 2026-10-17 16:00 •
vs.
Home Bologna
Show Picks
Inter Milan at Bologna: Inter Milan Spread 1.5
Chance to win 95.3%
The price says 89.1%
Best price -2500

Bologna vs Inter Milan: Inter Milan +1.5 Goal Handicap (-2500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Inter Milan, the disparity in form is glaring. Bologna has struggled at home recently, managing just two draws and three losses in their last five, while Inter roars in with four wins and a solitary draw from the same stretch. The home side's scoring average of only 0.6 goals is a stark contrast to Inter’s impressive 3 goals per game. Bologna’s xG stats are particularly concerning; they’ve failed to register any expected goals over the last five matches. Inter, on the other hand, is firing on all cylinders with an average of 24.4 shots per match, a testament to their attacking prowess. Given Bologna’s inability to find the net and Inter’s relentless offense, backing Inter to cover a handicap of 1.5 seems not just reasonable, but almost inevitable. Expect a dominant performance from the visitors in this Serie A clash.

Inter Milan at Bologna · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Inter Milan at Bologna · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • GEN vs. ROM 2026-10-17 18:45 •
Genoa Away
vs.
Home AS Roma
Show Picks
Genoa at AS Roma: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 44.5%
The price says 39.5%
Best price +144

AS Roma vs Genoa: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+144)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As AS Roma prepares to host Genoa, all signs point towards a low-scoring affair. Genoa has been struggling mightily on the road, managing just a paltry 0.2 goals per game in their last five away matches. Their xG figures tell a similar story—zero expected goals in recent outings, underscoring their struggles in front of the net. On the flip side, Roma’s defense has been solid, conceding just 0.8 goals per game in their last five, which bodes well for this matchup. Considering Genoa's recent form—winless in five and averaging just 0.6 goals overall—the likelihood of this match exceeding 2.5 goals feels slim. With the stakes high and both teams seemingly content to play it safe, betting on the 'Under 2.5' total goals could very well pay off.

Genoa at AS Roma · Spread 1.75 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Genoa at AS Roma · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Genoa at AS Roma · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Genoa at AS Roma · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Genoa at AS Roma · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Genoa at AS Roma · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Genoa at AS Roma · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • LEC vs. UDI 2026-10-18 10:30 •
Lecce Away
vs.
Home Udinese
Show Picks
Lecce at Udinese: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 54.8%
The price says 51.5%
Best price -120

Udinese vs Lecce: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Udinese prepares to host Lecce, recent form suggests a gritty encounter rather than a goal fest. Udinese has struggled to find the net at home, averaging a mere 0.8 goals across their last five matches, while their defense has been tested, conceding an average of 1.0 goals. Lecce, on the other hand, hasn't exactly lit up the scoreboard either, netting just 1.4 goals per match away from home. Both teams have shown a tendency to grind out results rather than entertain, with Udinese's last home outings yielding limited excitement. Moreover, their head-to-head record leans towards tight contests, emphasizing a pattern of low-scoring affairs. Given these trends, betting on the 'Under 2.5' total goals seems wise; expect a tactical battle where defenses will likely reign supreme over attacking flair.

Lecce at Udinese · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lecce at Udinese · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lecce at Udinese · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • COM vs. FIO 2026-10-18 13:00 •
Como Away
vs.
Home Fiorentina
Show Picks
Como at Fiorentina: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA
Chance to win 42.9%
The price says 38.3%
Best price +148

Fiorentina vs Como: Both Teams To Score: No (+148)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Fiorentina prepares to host Como on October 18, recent performances point to a low-scoring affair. Fiorentina has struggled at home, averaging just 0.6 goals while allowing 1.4, and their attacking xG has been alarmingly close to zero. Meanwhile, Como has found some form away but has also been modest, scoring an average of 2.2 goals yet facing opponents who have only managed 1.2 against them. With Fiorentina’s last five home games yielding three draws and two losses, the home team seems unable to capitalize on their chances, often shooting but failing to convert. Both teams have a history of tight encounters, with the last four meetings yielding no more than one goal for Fiorentina. Given these trends, a bet on "No" for both teams to score feels like a savvy move, bolstered by strong defensive play from Como and Fiorentina’s current scoring woes.

Como at Fiorentina · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Como at Fiorentina · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Como at Fiorentina · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Como at Fiorentina · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Como at Fiorentina · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • ATA vs. ACM 2026-10-18 16:00 •
vs.
Home AC Milan
Show Picks
Atalanta BC at AC Milan: Atalanta BC Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Atalanta BC_NA
Chance to win 40.8%
The price says 30.0%
Best price +220

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC Draw No Bet (+220)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As AC Milan prepares to face Atalanta, there's a compelling case for backing the visitors in the Draw No Bet market. While Milan boasts a decent home record of 3-2-0 in their last five outings, their recent history against Atalanta is troubling—failing to secure a win in their last five matchups. Atalanta, on the other hand, arrives with a robust form, showcasing an impressive attacking style that consistently outperforms their opponents, averaging 2 goals per game recently. The expected goals (xG) metrics favor Atalanta too, hinting at their offensive prowess. Milan's defense has looked shaky, allowing an average of 1 goal at home while their own xG numbers have been underwhelming. With Atalanta’s attacking rhythm and Milan’s struggles against them, placing a bet on Atalanta in a Draw No Bet scenario feels like a savvy move ahead of this intriguing Serie A clash.

Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Spread 0.75 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • LAZ vs. JUV 2026-10-18 18:45 •
Lazio Away
vs.
Home Juventus
Show Picks
Lazio at Juventus: Lazio Spread 1
Chance to win 68.4%
The price says 55.7%
Best price -149

Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio +1 Goal Handicap (-149)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Juventus prepares to host Lazio, the current form suggests an intriguing matchup. While Juventus boasts a solid home record, they've been less dominant lately, with just two wins in their last five at home. Their xG stats reveal a concerning trend, averaging only 1.6 goals while conceding 0.8. This defensive resilience is commendable, but it often relies heavily on individual brilliance rather than consistent team performance. On the flip side, Lazio is on a roll, having gone unbeaten in their last five away matches, with a scoring average of 1.4 goals and a stifling defense that concedes just 0.8. With the odds leaning favorably towards an alternate handicap of Lazio +1, it's hard to ignore their upward trajectory and Juventus's recent struggles. Expect Lazio to not only keep it tight but potentially capitalize on any Juventus slip-ups, making the bet on Lazio quite tempting.

Lazio at Juventus · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lazio at Juventus · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lazio at Juventus · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lazio at Juventus · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lazio at Juventus · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lazio at Juventus · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Lazio at Juventus · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • CAG vs. MON 2026-10-19 16:30 •
Cagliari Away
vs.
Home Monza
Show Picks
Cagliari at Monza: Cagliari Spread 0.25
Chance to win 65.0%
The price says 48.0%
Best price -105

Monza vs Cagliari: Cagliari +0.25 Goal Handicap (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Monza prepares to host Cagliari, the recent form heavily favors the visitors. Cagliari has been on fire lately, racking up four wins in their last five outings, showcasing a robust average of 1.2 goals scored per game while conceding a mere 0.4. Contrast that with Monza, who struggle at home, averaging just 1 goal while allowing 2.4. Their last five home matches reveal a concerning trend; Monza’s expected goals (xG) sit at a dismal zero, leaving them vulnerable. Cagliari, on the other hand, has shown resilience and a solid away game strategy. Their consistent performance against Monza in recent meetings (2 wins, 1 draw in the last 5) adds to the confidence. With the odds favoring Cagliari at +0.25, backing them to at least avoid defeat feels like a savvy move in this Serie A clash.

Cagliari at Monza · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Cagliari at Monza · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Cagliari at Monza · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Cagliari at Monza · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Serie A • TOR vs. PAR 2026-10-19 18:45 •
Torino Away
vs.
Home Parma
Show Picks
Torino at Parma: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA
Chance to win 53.8%
The price says 51.1%
Best price -118

Parma vs Torino: Both Teams To Score: No (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Parma prepares to host Torino, the recent scoring trends paint a rather grim picture for both sides. In their last five matches, Parma has averaged a mere 0.8 goals, while Torino hasn't been much better, netting just 1 goal per game. Both teams have struggled to convert chances, showing an xG of 0 in their last outings, which suggests a real lack of attacking threat. Defensively, Parma has allowed an average of 1.4 goals against at home, while Torino concedes 1.6 on the road. However, with both teams exhibiting a tendency to falter in front of goal, the likelihood of both finding the net seems slim. Given their recent form and the low scoring averages, betting 'No' on both teams to score aligns perfectly with the current narrative of this matchup.

Torino at Parma · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Torino at Parma · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Torino at Parma · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Torino at Parma · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Torino at Parma · Spread 0.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
Torino at Parma · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says

Bet Better Pro

You're seeing a sample. Pro unlocks every strong pick.

Free shows you every game, the market and the line, plus three picks with the reasoning. Pro adds which side the model backs on every pick, and why, with props and multis unlocked across 10+ leagues.

  • Every high-value pick unlocked — no gating
  • Top picks with full smart-betting angles
  • AI-powered player props & multis
  • High-value team prop opportunities
  • Proprietary models across 10+ leagues
  • Join a network of sharp bettors
Unlock all picks
Quick answer

What are Serie A picks?

Serie A picks are model-generated predictions for Serie A betting markets including 1X2 (moneyline), Asian Handicap, Over/Under goals and player props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming Serie A match with predictions across all major markets. Expand any match to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

Serie A pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
1X2 (Moneyline) Home win, draw, or away win in 90 minutes. A simple match-result angle without handicaps.
Asian Handicap A spread applied to level the matchup, often with push protection. Backing the stronger team at a fairer price, or an underdog with a head start.
Over/Under Goals Total match goals over or under a line (e.g. 2.5). Style, tempo, and defensive strength matter more than the winner.
Player Props Individual stats — shots, goals, assists. Exploit matchup edges, role changes or recent form streaks.

How to read Serie A picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a match. Matches are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that fixture.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated Serie A picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Monte Carlo models

20,000+ simulations per match estimate true outcome probabilities across every major Serie A market, updated as odds move daily.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

Serie A Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are Serie A picks?

Serie A picks are our model's call on which side to back in a Serie A match. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between Serie A picks and Serie A best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every Serie A match on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day. If you want the model's top selections only, use Picks.

What types of Serie A picks are available?

We post Serie A picks on who wins or whether it is a draw, total goals, both teams to score, and handicaps. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are Serie A picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use Serie A picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the Serie A Parlays page.

Does Bet Better guarantee Serie A picks will win?

No, and nobody can. Serie A picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do Serie A picks come out?

As soon as the day's matches and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Most matches land on the weekend, with midweek rounds as well.

Do you pick every Serie A match?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some matches get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one match.

Do I have to pay to see the Serie A picks?

The first pick in every match is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.