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Today's Serie A Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Match

Every Serie A match coming up, graded and ranked best first. All 17 are below, top pick free.

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17 matches coming up, and the first pick of every match is free

Best Serie A bet today: Genoa at AS Roma: Over Total Corners 8.5 at -169, high confidence. As AS Roma prepares to face Genoa, the stage is set for a match that could see corners flying. 17 games on the board.

Today's Serie A predictions, every match

The one we'd back first · Genoa v AS Roma
Genoa at AS Roma: Over Total Corners 8.5 -169
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.4%
$50 returns$79.50
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each game below
Genoa v AS RomaGEN v ROM Genoa at AS Roma: Over Total Corners 8.5 High64% chance -169
Lecce v UdineseLEC v UDI Lecce at Udinese: Over Total Corners 8.5 High64% chance -185
Como v FiorentinaCOM v FIO Como at Fiorentina: Over Total Corners 8.5 High64% chance -130
Atalanta BC v AC MilanATA v ACM Atalanta BC at AC Milan: Over Total Corners 8.5 High64% chance -145
Lazio v JuventusLAZ v JUV Lazio at Juventus: Over Total Corners 8.5 High64% chance -200
Cagliari v MonzaCAG v MON Cagliari at Monza: Over Total Corners 8.5 High64% chance -154
Torino v ParmaTOR v PAR Torino at Parma: Over Total Corners 9.5 Lean51% chance +146
Monza v TorinoMON v TOR Monza at Torino: Torino Spread -0.25 Lean54% chance -120
Sassuolo v ComoSAS v COM Sassuolo at Como: Sassuolo Spread 1.75 High63% chance -189
Bologna v CagliariBOL v CAG Bologna at Cagliari: Bologna Spread -0.25 Lean47% chance +105
AS Roma v NapoliROM v NAP AS Roma at Napoli: Napoli Spread 0 Lean46% chance +110
Parma v LazioPAR v LAZ Parma at Lazio: Parma Spread 1 Lean52% chance -115
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Serie A • GEN vs. ROM 2026-10-17 18:45 •
Genoa Away
vs.
Home AS Roma
Last 5GenoaWLDLLAS RomaDDWWW
Full preview: Genoa at AS Roma →
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Genoa at AS Roma: Over Total Corners 8.5
Chance to win 64.4%
The price says 57.2%
Best price -169

AS Roma vs Genoa: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-159)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As AS Roma prepares to face Genoa, the stage is set for a match that could see corners flying. Roma's attacking prowess has shown itself recently, with a tendency to push forward, while Genoa's struggles away from home make them susceptible to sustained pressure. In their last five matches, Genoa averaged a meager 1 goal and generated only 11.6 shots, hinting at a lack of creativity that could lead to more corner opportunities for the home side. Roma, on the other hand, will be looking to exploit Genoa's shaky defense, likely forcing them into desperate situations where corners abound. The combination of Roma's attacking intent and Genoa's defensive frailties suggests that the total corners will surpass 8.5. With both teams' recent form hinting at broken-down play and set pieces, betting on an over here feels like a smart move.

Genoa at AS Roma · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • LEC vs. UDI 2026-10-18 10:30 •
Lecce Away
vs.
Home Udinese
Last 5LecceLLWLLUdineseLLLLW
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Lecce at Udinese: Over Total Corners 8.5
Chance to win 64.4%
The price says 59.0%
Best price -185

Udinese vs Lecce: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-167)

Odds correct at time of publishing

When Udinese faces Lecce, expect a flurry of corners as both teams have shown tendencies that favor a high count. Udinese, despite a rough patch, averages nearly 17 corner attempts in their last five home matches, indicating their relentless attacking style. Although they've struggled to convert those chances into goals, the pressure they apply often results in corners. Lecce, on the other hand, is no stranger to corner kicks either. Their recent away matches have seen them average around 9 corners per game. With both sides bringing a high volume of shots and a tendency to win set pieces, hitting the over on 8.5 corners seems likely. Given the historical matchup where Udinese has consistently racked up corners against Lecce, it’s reasonable to expect a lively contest drawing plenty of corner flags into play.

Lecce at Udinese · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lecce at Udinese · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lecce at Udinese · Spread 1 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lecce at Udinese · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lecce at Udinese · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lecce at Udinese · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • COM vs. FIO 2026-10-18 13:00 •
Como Away
vs.
Home Fiorentina
Last 5ComoDLWWWFiorentinaLDWLL
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Como at Fiorentina: Over Total Corners 8.5
Chance to win 64.4%
The price says 53.0%
Best price -130

Fiorentina vs Como: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-122)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Fiorentina gears up to face Como, the stage is set for a match that could see plenty of corner kicks. Fiorentina, despite a shaky home record, is known for their attacking style, averaging a hefty 17.6 shots per match recently, even if they’ve struggled to convert those into goals. Meanwhile, Como hits the road with a bit more momentum, scoring an impressive 2.2 goals per game away from home. With both sides pushing for the win, we can expect them to earn their fair share of corners as they press forward. Fiorentina's last five outings at home indicate an average of just 1.2 corners earned, but their overall shot volume suggests they’ll create opportunities to force Como into conceding corners. Given Como’s willingness to attack (20.6 shots per game away), betting on over 8.5 corners seems promising in this matchup!

Como at Fiorentina · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • ATA vs. ACM 2026-10-18 16:00 •
vs.
Home AC Milan
Last 5Atalanta BCWLLLWAC MilanDWDDW
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan: Over Total Corners 8.5
Chance to win 64.4%
The price says 54.0%
Best price -145

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-127)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As AC Milan prepares to host Atalanta, expect a dynamic clash that not only promises goals but corners galore. Both teams have showcased an attacking flair lately, and with Milan averaging 11.2 shots per game in their last five outings, the potential for corner kicks is substantial. Atalanta, notorious for their high-pressing style, often forces opposition defenses into desperate situations, leading to corner opportunities. Interestingly, Milan's recent home matches have seen them consistently pushing forward, recording 14 shots at home in their last five games. Coupled with Atalanta's tendency to exploit space, achieving over 8.5 corners seems not just plausible but likely. Remember, their last encounters have historically been corner-heavy, and with both teams eager to assert dominance, the corner count should rise significantly. Buckle up; this one's set to be corner-rich!

Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Spread 0.75 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • LAZ vs. JUV 2026-10-18 18:45 •
Lazio Away
vs.
Home Juventus
Last 5LazioWWDWWJuventusDWLDW
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Lazio at Juventus: Over Total Corners 8.5
Chance to win 64.4%
The price says 61.1%
Best price -200

Juventus vs Lazio: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Juventus prepares to host Lazio, the stage is set for a thrilling encounter that promises plenty of action, particularly in the corners department. Both teams have shown a propensity for getting into attacking positions, with Juventus averaging nearly 21 shots per game at home. Their recent form suggests they’re pushing the envelope, creating opportunities that lead to corners. Lazio, on the other hand, has been equally aggressive away, averaging around 11 shots and consistently generating corner kicks. With both teams combining for a solid average of over 8 corners in their recent encounters, it’s clear that the likelihood of surpassing the 8.5 mark is high. The dynamics of this matchup, alongside their attacking stats and recent trends, lend themselves to a lively corner count, making the 'Over 8.5' bet an enticing prospect in this Serie A clash.

Lazio at Juventus · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Total Cards Total 4.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • CAG vs. MON 2026-10-19 16:30 •
Cagliari Away
vs.
Home Monza
Last 5CagliariDWWWLMonzaLWLDL
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Cagliari at Monza: Over Total Corners 8.5
Chance to win 64.4%
The price says 52.8%
Best price -154

Monza vs Cagliari: Over 8.5 Total Corners (-133)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Monza hosts Cagliari, the stage is set for a lively encounter that could see corners flying in. Both teams are grappling with defensive frailties, evidenced by Monza's recent home performances, where their opponents have averaged 2.4 goals per game and forced them into 12.4 shots. On the flip side, Cagliari's away games have shown a consistent trend of producing action, with their opponents averaging just under 1.2 goals—albeit while managing 11.4 shots themselves. With Monza’s attack averaging 12.4 shots per game at home, and their tendency to concede corners (2 per game at home), the over on 8.5 corners looks enticing. Both teams need points, and the urgency will likely translate to a high-paced match, generating plenty of corner opportunities. Expect the corner flags to be busy as both sides push for vital points!

Cagliari at Monza · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Cagliari at Monza · Spread 0.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Cagliari at Monza · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • TOR vs. PAR 2026-10-19 18:45 •
Torino Away
vs.
Home Parma
Last 5TorinoWDLWLParmaLWLDL
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Torino at Parma: Over Total Corners 9.5
Chance to win 51.4%
The price says 38.4%
Best price +146

Parma vs Torino: Over 9.5 Total Corners (+150)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Parma prepares to host Torino, the stage is set for a clash that suggests plenty of action on the flanks, particularly in terms of corners. Both sides have demonstrated a tendency to push forward, with Parma averaging 7.4 shots per game and Torino not far behind at 10.2. This attacking intent, coupled with their defensive frailties—Parma conceding an average of 1.8 goals over their last five matches—bodes well for a higher corner count. Parma's home games have seen them earn an average of 1.8 corners, while Torino has been steadily applying pressure away, averaging 1.2 corners per game. With both teams vying for points and their recent form indicating a competitive edge, betting on over 9.5 corners feels not just reasonable but likely, as we could very well see an open game with both sides desperate for victory.

Torino at Parma · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Torino at Parma · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Torino at Parma · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Torino at Parma · Spread 0.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Torino at Parma · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Torino at Parma · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • MON vs. TOR 2026-10-23 18:45 •
Monza Away
vs.
Home Torino
Last 5MonzaLWLDLTorinoWDLWL
Full preview: Monza at Torino →
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Monza at Torino: Torino Spread -0.25
Chance to win 53.6%
The price says 51.6%
Best price -120

Torino vs Monza: Torino -0.25 Goal Handicap (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Torino prepares to face Monza, the trends suggest a favorable outcome for the home side. Torino’s recent form at home reflects a mix of resilience and scoring capability, averaging 1.4 goals while conceding 1.6 in their last five home matches. Although they’ve had their struggles lately, their 2-1-2 record shows they can grind out results. On the flip side, Monza has been less convincing away, managing just one goal per game and leaking an alarming 2.6 goals per match in their last five outings on the road. With Torino's solid history against Monza—winning two of their last five encounters—backing them at -0.25 seems like a wise choice. Expect Torino to leverage home advantage and capitalize on Monza’s defensive frailties, potentially edging this one out for a narrow victory.

Monza at Torino · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Torino · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Torino · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Torino · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Torino · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • SAS vs. COM 2026-10-24 13:00 •
Sassuolo Away
vs.
Home Como
Show Picks
Sassuolo at Como: Sassuolo Spread 1.75
Chance to win 62.8%
The price says 62.0%
Best price -189

Como vs Sassuolo: Sassuolo +1.75 Goal Handicap (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Como prepares to host Sassuolo, the stats paint a compelling picture favoring the visitors. While Como has enjoyed a decent home record with three wins in their last five, they’ve struggled to score, averaging just 1.2 goals at home, where they allow 1 goal per match. Sassuolo, despite a mixed bag of results lately, brings a more potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals in their last five outings, even if their defense has been leaky, conceding 2.2 goals per game. The underlying numbers tell a story too; Sassuolo has significantly higher expected goals, indicating they’re generating better chances. With Como’s home defense looking vulnerable against a Sassuolo side that’s desperate for a win, backing Sassuolo with a handicap of 1.75 seems wise. Expect them to navigate this challenge and come away with a convincing result.

Sassuolo at Como · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sassuolo at Como · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sassuolo at Como · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • BOL vs. CAG 2026-10-24 13:00 •
Bologna Away
vs.
Home Cagliari
Show Picks
Bologna at Cagliari: Bologna Spread -0.25
Chance to win 46.8%
The price says 46.3%
Best price +105

Cagliari vs Bologna: Bologna -0.25 Goal Handicap (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Cagliari prepares to host Bologna, the form book suggests an intriguing edge for the visitors. Bologna has a solid recent record, especially against Cagliari, winning three of their last five encounters. Their away performances show resilience, averaging around 1.2 goals per game and maintaining a respectable xG across their last outings. On the flip side, Cagliari's home form is a mixed bag, with a scoring average that’s dipped to just 0.8 goals per game. Their attacking stats tell a story of struggles, with limited shots on target and a concerning xG of zero at home recently. Bologna's ability to create more chances, coupled with their strong defensive record, paints a picture of them edging this matchup. Betting on Bologna -0.25 seems wise, given their positive trajectory and Cagliari’s current woes. This clash could very well tilt in Bologna's favor.

Bologna at Cagliari · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bologna at Cagliari · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bologna at Cagliari · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bologna at Cagliari · Total Goals 4.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • ROM vs. NAP 2026-10-24 16:00 •
AS Roma Away
vs.
Home Napoli
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AS Roma at Napoli: Napoli Spread 0
Chance to win 45.9%
The price says 44.9%
Best price +110

Napoli vs AS Roma: Napoli +0 Goal Handicap (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Napoli prepares to welcome AS Roma, the backdrop of recent form paints an intriguing picture. While their overall home record shows a mixed bag of results, Napoli has found a rhythm at home, boasting a solid 3-0-2 record in their last five at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. They’ve averaged 1.6 goals per game at home, and their attacking prowess is reflected in their robust 15.2 shots per match, hinting that they can break down Roma’s defense. Conversely, AS Roma has struggled to contain momentum lately, often falling short against top-tier opponents. With Napoli’s average expected goals (xG) indicating potential for even greater offensive output, a handicap line of 0 feels just right. Backing Napoli here taps into their home advantage, and against a Roma side that’s faltered, it’s a bet that carries a promising edge.

AS Roma at Napoli · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Napoli · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Napoli · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Napoli · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Napoli · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • PAR vs. LAZ 2026-10-24 18:45 •
Parma Away
vs.
Home Lazio
Show Picks
Parma at Lazio: Parma Spread 1
Chance to win 51.7%
The price says 50.0%
Best price -115

Lazio vs Parma: Parma +1 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lazio hosts Parma, it's hard not to notice the contrasting forms. Lazio has been solid at home, but their recent record against Parma shows a more balanced rivalry, with both teams sharing the spoils in prior encounters. Plus, Parma's recent struggles shouldn't overshadow their potential; they’ve shown glimpses of resilience, even if their last five away matches have been tough, with a score average of just 0.2 goals. Now, consider Lazio's impressive home stats, averaging 1.6 goals but conceding 1.4. These defensive lapses hint that they’re not invincible, especially against a Parma side that, despite low scoring, has the ability to capitalize on any slip. With an implied probability of 50% for Parma to keep it close, taking them on a +1 handicap could be a savvy move. After all, in football, surprises are just around the corner!

Parma at Lazio · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Parma at Lazio · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Parma at Lazio · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • FIO vs. INT 2026-10-25 11:30 •
Fiorentina Away
vs.
Show Picks
Fiorentina at Inter Milan: Inter Milan Moneyline h2h_Inter Milan_NA
Chance to win 70.7%
The price says 67.6%
Best price -294

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina: Inter Milan Moneyline (-294)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Inter Milan prepares to face Fiorentina, the home side’s form is nothing short of impressive. They've rolled through their last five matches at home with a commanding 4-1-0 record, averaging a striking 3.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.4. Their attacking prowess, highlighted by a remarkable average of 22 shots per game, puts them in a prime position to dominate. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, managing only one win in their last five outings and conceding an average of 2.4 goals. With Inter's recent head-to-head performances showing a favorable 3-1-1 record against Fiorentina, it’s hard to overlook the momentum and confidence that the Nerazzurri bring into this match. Given their robust home advantage, Inter's victory seems highly probable, making them a strong pick for the win.

Fiorentina at Inter Milan · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Inter Milan · Spread 1.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Inter Milan · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Inter Milan · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Inter Milan · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • FRO vs. ATA 2026-10-25 14:00 •
Frosinone Away
vs.
Show Picks
Frosinone at Atalanta BC: Over Total Goals 3.5
Chance to win 51.1%
The price says 44.3%
Best price +110

Atalanta BC vs Frosinone: Over 3.5 Total Goals (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

When Atalanta hosts Frosinone, expect fireworks. Atalanta’s attacking prowess has been on full display, averaging over two goals a game in their last five outings, while Frosinone, despite their inconsistent form, has managed to find the net consistently, scoring two goals on average during the same stretch. What's even more enticing is the xG battle. While Frosinone's expected goals may not reflect their scoring ability fully, their last games have shown they can create chances, boasting nearly 20 shots in their recent fixtures. Atalanta thrives on high-scoring matches, and the atmosphere at home is likely to elevate their performance. Given the trends, a total of over 3.5 goals seems not just probable, but almost inevitable. With both teams capable of putting points on the board, this matchup is primed for a goal fest. Buckle up for an exciting showdown!

Frosinone at Atalanta BC · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Frosinone at Atalanta BC · Spread 1.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Frosinone at Atalanta BC · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Frosinone at Atalanta BC · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • VEN vs. GEN 2026-10-25 14:00 •
Venezia Away
vs.
Home Genoa
Show Picks
Venezia at Genoa: Genoa Spread -0.25
Chance to win 53.5%
The price says 52.0%
Best price -125

Genoa vs Venezia: Genoa -0.25 Goal Handicap (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Genoa prepares to face Venezia, the trends lean heavily in their favor. Despite a modest home record of 1-1-3 over the last five matches, they’ve shown resilience, averaging a solid 12 shots per game, even if the quality of chances hasn’t translated to goals. Meanwhile, Venezia has struggled mightily on the road, failing to secure a win in their last five matches away, averaging only 0.8 goals while conceding a staggering 2.4. Genoa’s expected goals (xG) might not tell the full story, but they’ve consistently put themselves in positions to score, and with Venezia’s leaky defense, it’s likely they’ll exploit that weakness. With Genoa having a slight edge historically against Venezia in their last five encounters, backing them at -0.25 feels like a savvy play, especially as they look to turn their home fortunes around.

Venezia at Genoa · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Venezia at Genoa · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Venezia at Genoa · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Venezia at Genoa · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Venezia at Genoa · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • JUV vs. LEC 2026-10-25 17:00 •
Juventus Away
vs.
Home Lecce
Show Picks
Juventus at Lecce: Under Total Goals 4.5
Chance to win 85.1%
The price says 83.2%
Best price -909

Lecce vs Juventus: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-909)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lecce prepares to host Juventus, the forecast for goals seems rather muted, making the 'Under 4.5' total goals market an enticing option. Lecce has struggled offensively lately, averaging a mere 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, which paints a clear picture of their attacking woes. At home, they’ve been even less prolific, scoring just 1 goal while conceding 1.8. Juventus, while slightly more productive with 1.6 goals per game, faces a Lecce side that’s defensively resilient, especially given their xG stats that hint at a lack of clear-cut chances. With recent head-to-heads favoring low-scoring affairs—Juventus winning just 3 of the last 5—it's hard to envision a goal frenzy here. Given these trends, betting on the under feels not just safe, but quite sensible for this Serie A clash.

Juventus at Lecce · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Lecce · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Lecce · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Lecce · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Lecce · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Lecce · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie A • ACM vs. UDI 2026-10-25 19:45 •
AC Milan Away
vs.
Home Udinese
Show Picks
AC Milan at Udinese: Over Total Goals 1.5
Chance to win 76.7%
The price says 72.2%
Best price -345

Udinese vs AC Milan: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-345)

Odds correct at time of publishing

When Udinese hosts AC Milan, expect fireworks on the pitch. Recent form hints at a lively contest; while Udinese has struggled at home, averaging just 0.8 goals in their last five, they are conceding 1.0. Milan, however, has been sharper on the road, netting 1.6 goals away, showcasing their ability to exploit defensive lapses. What’s compelling is the trend in expected goals. Udinese's attack, despite its low scoring, generates a solid number of shots, averaging 16.4 per game at home. Milan’s defense, while generally reliable, has shown vulnerability, allowing 1.2 goals on average in away games. With AC Milan's strong record against Udinese—winning four of their last five encounters—it's reasonable to anticipate at least two goals in this clash. With both sides capable of finding the net, betting on over 1.5 goals seems like a prudent move.

AC Milan at Udinese · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Udinese · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Udinese · Spread 0.75 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Udinese · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Udinese · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Udinese · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Quick answer

What are Serie A picks?

Serie A picks are model-generated predictions for Serie A betting markets including 1X2 (moneyline), Asian Handicap, Over/Under goals and player props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming Serie A match with predictions across all major markets. Expand any match to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

Serie A pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
1X2 (Moneyline) Home win, draw, or away win in 90 minutes. A simple match-result angle without handicaps.
Asian Handicap A spread applied to level the matchup, often with push protection. Backing the stronger team at a fairer price, or an underdog with a head start.
Over/Under Goals Total match goals over or under a line (e.g. 2.5). Style, tempo, and defensive strength matter more than the winner.
Player Props Individual stats — shots, goals, assists. Exploit matchup edges, role changes or recent form streaks.

How to read Serie A picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a match. Matches are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that fixture.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated Serie A picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

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Our model checks every Serie A match on the board each day and gives each pick its chance to win, logged before it starts.

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Serie A Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are Serie A picks?

Serie A picks are our model's call on which side to back in a Serie A match. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between Serie A picks and Serie A best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every Serie A match on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day. If you want the model's top selections only, use Picks.

What types of Serie A picks are available?

We post Serie A picks on who wins or whether it is a draw, total goals, both teams to score, and handicaps. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are Serie A picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use Serie A picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the Serie A Parlays page.

Does Bet Better guarantee Serie A picks will win?

No, and nobody can. Serie A picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do Serie A picks come out?

As soon as the day's matches and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Most matches land on the weekend, with midweek rounds as well.

Do you pick every Serie A match?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some matches get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one match.

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The first pick in every match is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

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