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Today's Serie A Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Match

Every Serie A match coming up, graded and ranked best first. All 20 are below, top pick free.

20 matches coming up, and the first pick of every match is free

Best Serie A bet today: Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5 at -2000, high confidence. As we approach the clash between Genoa and Fiorentina, it’s impossible to overlook Genoa's struggles at home. 20 games on the board.

The one we'd back first · Fiorentina v Genoa
Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5 -2000
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win92.8%
$50 returns$52.50
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each game below
Fiorentina v GenoaFIO v GEN Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5 High93% chance -2000
Parma v Inter MilanPAR v INT Parma at Inter Milan: Under Total Goals 3.5 Lean56% chance +100
Frosinone v NapoliFRO v NAP Frosinone at Napoli: Frosinone Spread 1.5 High61% chance -152
AS Roma v ComoROM v COM AS Roma at Como: Under Total Goals 2.5 Lean49% chance +114
Bologna v LecceBOL v LEC Bologna at Lecce: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA Lean54% chance -104
Monza v LazioMON v LAZ Monza at Lazio: Lazio Spread -1.5 Long-shot33% chance +194
AC Milan v SassuoloACM v SAS AC Milan at Sassuolo: Sassuolo Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Sassuolo_NA Long-shot29% chance +250
Juventus v CagliariJUV v CAG Juventus at Cagliari: Cagliari Spread 1.5 High66% chance -208
Venezia v Atalanta BCVEN v ATA Venezia at Atalanta BC: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA Lean49% chance +130
Udinese v TorinoUDI v TOR Udinese at Torino: Udinese Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Udinese_NA Lean46% chance +124
Sassuolo v FrosinoneSAS v FRO Sassuolo at Frosinone: Frosinone Spread 2.5 High93% chance -3333
Napoli v VeneziaNAP v VEN Napoli at Venezia: Napoli Moneyline h2h_Napoli_NA High63% chance -189
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
122 more picks on the board
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Serie AFIO vs. GEN 2026-10-10 13:00
Fiorentina Away
vs.
Home Genoa
Last 5FiorentinaDWLLLGenoaLDLLL
Full preview: Fiorentina at Genoa →
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Fiorentina at Genoa: Genoa Spread 2.5
Chance to win 92.8%
The price says 88.4%
Best price -2000

Genoa vs Fiorentina: Genoa +2.5 Goal Handicap (-2000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As we approach the clash between Genoa and Fiorentina, it’s impossible to overlook Genoa's struggles at home. They’ve gone winless in their last five matches, suffering four losses and only managing to net an average of 0.4 goals per game. Defensively, they've conceded 1.8 goals per match, raising concerns about their ability to keep Fiorentina at bay. On the flip side, Fiorentina has displayed more attacking prowess, averaging 1.2 goals in their recent encounters, although they too have faced defensive challenges. Their recent away form has shown resilience, winning two out of five. Given the current trajectory of both teams, backing Genoa at a handicap of 2.5 seems prudent. They desperately need to turn their fortunes around at home, and with Fiorentina’s fluctuating away performances, this handicap might just offer the perfect cushion for a nail-biting encounter.

Fiorentina at Genoa · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Genoa · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Genoa · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Genoa · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Genoa · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fiorentina at Genoa · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie APAR vs. INT 2026-10-10 16:00
Parma Away
vs.
Last 5ParmaWLDLL
Full preview: Parma at Inter Milan →
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Parma at Inter Milan: Under Total Goals 3.5
Chance to win 56.3%
The price says 47.1%
Best price +100

Inter Milan vs Parma: Under 3.5 Total Goals (+100)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Inter Milan gears up to face Parma, the expectation for a high-scoring affair might be misplaced. Inter’s recent home form showcases their defensive solidity, allowing just 1.4 goals per game while they score an impressive 3.0 on average at home. Their last five encounters at San Siro reflect a trend of control, with an xG that supports their ability to dominate not just possession but also chances created. On the flip side, Parma's away struggles are alarming—they've managed a meager 0.4 goals over their last five road trips and have frequently found themselves stifled in attack. With their xG struggles and a lack of creativity leading to just 10.4 shots per game, it’s hard to foresee a goal frenzy. Thus, betting on under 3.5 goals seems a prudent approach as Inter likely suffocates Parma’s offense, keeping the scoreline tight.

Parma at Inter Milan · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Parma at Inter Milan · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Parma at Inter Milan · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AFRO vs. NAP 2026-10-10 18:45
Frosinone Away
vs.
Home Napoli
Last 5FrosinoneWDWWLNapoliDWLLW
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Frosinone at Napoli: Frosinone Spread 1.5
Chance to win 61.2%
The price says 55.6%
Best price -152

Napoli vs Frosinone: Frosinone +1.5 Goal Handicap (-152)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Napoli prepares to host Frosinone, there’s an intriguing case for backing the visitors with a 1.5-goal handicap. Napoli's recent home form shows a mixed bag: while they boast a solid 3-0-2 record, their last two matches saw them struggle against teams that pressed them hard. Frosinone, on the other hand, has displayed resilience away, with a respectable 2-1-2 record in their last five outings. Despite their statistical similarities in expected goals, Frosinone has a knack for grinding out results, particularly against teams like Napoli, where they’ve gone toe-to-toe in previous encounters. With an average of 1.4 goals scored in their last five, they’re capable of keeping things tight. If they can maintain that defensive discipline, they could very well beat the handicap, making Frosinone +1.5 an attractive play in this matchup.

Frosinone at Napoli · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Frosinone at Napoli · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Frosinone at Napoli · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Frosinone at Napoli · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Frosinone at Napoli · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AROM vs. COM 2026-10-11 10:30
AS Roma Away
vs.
Home Como
Last 5AS RomaDWWWWComoLWWWD
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AS Roma at Como: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 48.7%
The price says 44.0%
Best price +114

Como vs AS Roma: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Como prepares to host AS Roma, the dynamics hint at a low-scoring affair. In their recent home games, Como has shown a knack for grinding out results, with their last five matches producing an average of just 2.6 goals combined. They’ve been particularly stingy at home, averaging only 2.2 goals scored while restricting opponents to just 1 goal per game. AS Roma’s form adds another layer of intrigue. They’ve struggled offensively, averaging a mere 1 goal per match over their recent outings. When examining their past meetings, it’s clear that these teams often engage in tight contests, evidenced by Como’s record of drawing twice out of their last five matchups. With both teams trending towards defensive solidity and low xG averages, betting on under 2.5 total goals seems like a savvy play. Expect a tactical battle that could see the scoreline remain tight.

AS Roma at Como · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Como · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Como · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Como · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AS Roma at Como · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ABOL vs. LEC 2026-10-11 13:00
Bologna Away
vs.
Home Lecce
Last 5BolognaDLDLLLecceLWLLW
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Bologna at Lecce: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA
Chance to win 54.3%
The price says 48.1%
Best price -104

Lecce vs Bologna: Both Teams To Score: No (-104)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Lecce prepares to host Bologna, the odds of both teams finding the net seem slim. Lecce's recent form shows they’re struggling to score, averaging just 1 goal at home while conceding 1.6. Their xG numbers tell a similar tale; they’ve been creating very little, with a total of zero xG in their last five matches. Bologna, on the other hand, has managed just 0.8 goals per game away and has an even lower xG average. Their attacking stats reflect a lack of creativity, and with Lecce’s defensive resilience, it’s hard to envision a high-scoring affair. Historically, these teams have faced each other five times recently, with Bologna winning three, but the goals have often been scarce. Given these trends, betting on 'No' for both teams to score seems like a wise move in this clash.

Bologna at Lecce · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bologna at Lecce · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bologna at Lecce · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bologna at Lecce · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AMON vs. LAZ 2026-10-11 13:00
Monza Away
vs.
Home Lazio
Last 5MonzaWLDLLLazioWDWWW
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Monza at Lazio: Lazio Spread -1.5
Chance to win 32.6%
The price says 31.6%
Best price +194

Lazio vs Monza: Lazio -1.5 Goal Handicap (+194)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Lazio prepares to host Monza, the momentum clearly favors the home side, who boast a stellar 4-1-0 record in their last five matches. Their offensive firepower at home averages 1.6 goals, while their defense has been stingy, allowing just 0.8 goals per game. When you look at their recent history against Monza, Lazio has won three of their last five encounters, a trend that underscores their dominance. Conversely, Monza is struggling, with a bleak record of just one draw and four losses in their last five outings. They concede an alarming 2.6 goals per game on the road, and their recent form shows an inability to find the net against Lazio's solid defense. With Lazio's expected goals pointing towards a potential rout, backing them at -1.5 seems like a savvy move in this Serie A clash.

Monza at Lazio · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Lazio · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Lazio · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Lazio · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Monza at Lazio · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AACM vs. SAS 2026-10-11 16:00
AC Milan Away
vs.
Home Sassuolo
Last 5AC MilanWDDWWSassuoloLWDWL
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AC Milan at Sassuolo: Sassuolo Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Sassuolo_NA
Chance to win 29.4%
The price says 26.9%
Best price +250

Sassuolo vs AC Milan: Sassuolo Draw No Bet (+250)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Sassuolo prepares to host AC Milan, there’s an intriguing narrative unfolding. At home, Sassuolo has shown commendable resilience, boasting a 2-1-2 record in their last five matches and a solid 4-0-1 record at home over their last five home games. Their attacking output averages 2.2 goals per game at home, which contrasts sharply with Milan's underwhelming away performances, where they’ve only managed 1.4 goals. Moreover, recent encounters between these two sides suggest a competitive edge for Sassuolo, having drawn twice and claimed two wins in their last five meetings. AC Milan's struggle to find the back of the net away from home, combined with Sassuolo’s ability to create chances—averaging 13.6 shots at home—paints a promising picture for a Sassuolo victory. Betting on Sassuolo in the Draw No Bet market feels like a smart play in this tightly contested Serie A clash.

AC Milan at Sassuolo · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Sassuolo · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Sassuolo · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Sassuolo · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Sassuolo · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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AC Milan at Sassuolo · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AJUV vs. CAG 2026-10-11 18:45
Juventus Away
vs.
Home Cagliari
Last 5JuventusWLDWWCagliariWWWLW
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Juventus at Cagliari: Cagliari Spread 1.5
Chance to win 66.1%
The price says 62.4%
Best price -208

Cagliari vs Juventus: Cagliari +1.5 Goal Handicap (-208)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Cagliari’s recent home form paints a promising picture as they’ve gone 4-0-1 in their last five matches, showcasing a formidable defense that has allowed just 0.6 goals per game. Their attacking efforts, averaging 1.2 goals and 14.8 shots at home, indicate they can find the net against Juventus. Although the historical record against Juve is mixed, Cagliari seems to be gaining momentum just as the visitors are struggling with consistency on the road, managing only two wins from their last five away matches. Juventus’ away form has been shaky, with a tendency to concede, allowing 1.2 goals per game. Given Cagliari's solid defensive stats and the way they’ve been playing, a handicap of 1.5 in their favor seems a wise bet. They have the momentum and home advantage to push Juventus while capitalizing on their defensive vulnerabilities.

Juventus at Cagliari · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Cagliari · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Cagliari · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Cagliari · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Juventus at Cagliari · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AVEN vs. ATA 2026-10-12 16:30
Venezia Away
vs.
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Venezia at Atalanta BC: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA
Chance to win 48.5%
The price says 41.0%
Best price +130

Atalanta BC vs Venezia: Both Teams To Score: No (+130)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Atalanta BC is set to host Venezia in a matchup that paints a clear picture for bettors. Venezia's recent struggles are hard to ignore; they come into this game with five consecutive losses, failing to score in four of those outings. Their xG numbers tell a troubling tale as well—over their last five matches, they’ve posted an alarming zero for expected goals, highlighting their inability to create meaningful chances. On the flip side, Atalanta has been solid defensively, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals per game against opponents who have averaged around 2.8 in their last five. With Venezia's lack of firepower and Atalanta's robust backline, the likelihood of both teams hitting the scoresheet seems slim. The stats align perfectly, making the 'No' bet on both teams to score a compelling angle for this Serie A clash.

Venezia at Atalanta BC · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Venezia at Atalanta BC · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Venezia at Atalanta BC · Spread 4.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Venezia at Atalanta BC · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AUDI vs. TOR 2026-10-12 18:45
Udinese Away
vs.
Home Torino
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Udinese at Torino: Udinese Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Udinese_NA
Chance to win 46.4%
The price says 42.0%
Best price +124

Torino vs Udinese: Udinese Draw No Bet (+124)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Torino prepares to face Udinese, it’s hard to overlook the growing momentum behind the visitors. While both teams have been inconsistent lately, Udinese's recent away form shows promise, averaging 2.2 goals in their last five away matches. This contrasts with Torino's struggle to find the net at home, averaging just 1.4 goals while conceding 1.8. Their xG figures tell a similar story, where Udinese has been more effective, creating more chances despite their own defensive vulnerabilities. Torino’s home record in their last five matches is a modest 1-2-2, suggesting they're vulnerable at the Stadio Olimpico. With a head-to-head record favoring Udinese in recent encounters, betting on them in the Draw No Bet market feels like a savvy move. If they can capitalize on Torino’s defensive lapses, they could very well walk away with all three points.

Udinese at Torino · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Udinese at Torino · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Udinese at Torino · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Udinese at Torino · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Udinese at Torino · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Udinese at Torino · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ASAS vs. FRO 2026-10-16 18:45
Sassuolo Away
vs.
Home Frosinone
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Sassuolo at Frosinone: Frosinone Spread 2.5
Chance to win 93.2%
The price says 90.2%
Best price -3333

Frosinone vs Sassuolo: Frosinone +2.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Frosinone prepares to host Sassuolo, there's a compelling case to back the home side on the handicap at 2.5. Frosinone's recent form at home shows a resilient edge, boasting a solid 2-0-3 record in their last five matches. They’ve averaged 1.2 goals at home while keeping their opponents to 1.8, demonstrating a solid defensive structure. Sassuolo, on the other hand, is struggling on the road, having only averaged 0.8 goals in their last five away games, which further compounds their issues. With Frosinone creating 16.4 shots per match and maintaining a strong xG presence, they’re poised to capitalize on Sassuolo's vulnerabilities. The historical matchup also favors Frosinone, as they’ve shown they can compete effectively against Sassuolo. With everything considered, backing Frosinone on the alternate handicap line seems not just reasonable, but quite strategic.

Sassuolo at Frosinone · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sassuolo at Frosinone · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sassuolo at Frosinone · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sassuolo at Frosinone · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ANAP vs. VEN 2026-10-17 13:00
Napoli Away
vs.
Home Venezia
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Napoli at Venezia: Napoli Moneyline h2h_Napoli_NA
Chance to win 63.1%
The price says 60.5%
Best price -189

Venezia vs Napoli: Napoli Moneyline (-189)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Napoli heads into this match against Venezia riding a wave of momentum, having secured three wins in their last five outings, including a solid performance away from home with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. In stark contrast, Venezia has struggled mightily, still searching for their first home win this season, recording five straight losses. They’ve averaged just 1.2 goals at home, while conceding a hefty 2.4, revealing significant defensive vulnerabilities. When you consider their recent head-to-heads, Napoli has triumphed in three of the last four encounters, which further tilts the scales in their favor. With an xG and scoring average that suggest they can find the net easily, Napoli seems poised to capitalize on Venezia's woes. This match presents an opportunity for Napoli to solidify their position, making them the clear favorites to claim victory here.

Napoli at Venezia · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Napoli at Venezia · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Napoli at Venezia · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Napoli at Venezia · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Napoli at Venezia · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Napoli at Venezia · Spread 4.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Napoli at Venezia · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AINT vs. BOL 2026-10-17 16:00
vs.
Home Bologna
Show Picks
Inter Milan at Bologna: Bologna Spread 4.5
Chance to win 96.6%
The price says 91.9%
Best price -5000

Bologna vs Inter Milan: Bologna +4.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Bologna prepares to host Inter Milan, the dynamics point intriguingly toward the home side covering an alternate handicap of 4.5. While Bologna has struggled in recent outings, sporting a 0-2-3 record at home in their last five, they remain resilient, averaging nearly 14 shots per game. Inter, on the other hand, is riding high with a robust away record, having scored over 2.6 goals in their last five. However, their defensive vulnerabilities could leave room for Bologna to exploit, especially considering the historical context where these teams have drawn tightly contested matches. Bologna's average of 1 goal per home game might not seem impressive, but those shots can translate into opportunities, especially against a team like Inter that has shown occasional lapses. All signs suggest that a spirited performance from Bologna could see them keep the scoreline closer than expected. A bet on Bologna +4.5 becomes a calculated risk worth taking.

Inter Milan at Bologna · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Inter Milan at Bologna · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Inter Milan at Bologna · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Inter Milan at Bologna · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AGEN vs. ROM 2026-10-17 18:45
Genoa Away
vs.
Home AS Roma
Show Picks
Genoa at AS Roma: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 44.4%
The price says 38.7%
Best price +144

AS Roma vs Genoa: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+144)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When AS Roma hosts Genoa, the smart play is to bank on a low-scoring affair, particularly under 2.5 goals. Genoa’s recent form reveals a troubling trend; they’ve only managed to score a mere 0.4 goals in their last five matches, while conceding 1.8. Their xG tells a similar story, effectively sitting at zero in those outings. On the flip side, Roma has tightened their defense, making it difficult for any opponent to find the net. With Genoa's away form showing a paltry 0.6 goals against and Roma’s compact backline, it’s hard to envision a goal fest here. Considering both teams struggle with creativity—Genoa’s average of just 2.4 shots on target per game further supports our case—it’s reasonable to expect a tense, low-scoring match. The stage is set for an underwhelming scoreline, making the under 2.5 goals a compelling wager.

Genoa at AS Roma · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Genoa at AS Roma · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ALEC vs. UDI 2026-10-18 10:30
Lecce Away
vs.
Home Udinese
Show Picks
Lecce at Udinese: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 54.1%
The price says 51.5%
Best price -120

Udinese vs Lecce: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-120)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Udinese prepares to host Lecce, the signs point towards a low-scoring affair. Neither team has been prolific in front of goal lately, with Udinese averaging just 0.8 goals at home over their last five matches. Their defensive struggles are evident too, conceding an average of 1 per game at home. Lecce, while slightly better on the road with 1.4 goals scored, has faced a similar trend, allowing only 0.8 goals to opponents in away fixtures. The xG numbers reflect this cautious approach, with both teams struggling to convert chances—Udinese's expected goals are alarmingly low. Historically, this matchup has leaned towards tight contests, with four of the last five encounters ending with fewer than 2.5 goals. Given the current form and historical trends, betting on the under seems like a savvy move.

Lecce at Udinese · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lecce at Udinese · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lecce at Udinese · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ACOM vs. FIO 2026-10-18 13:00
Como Away
vs.
Home Fiorentina
Show Picks
Como at Fiorentina: Como Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Como_NA
Chance to win 67.7%
The price says 61.7%
Best price -189

Fiorentina vs Como: Como Draw No Bet (-189)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Fiorentina prepares to host Como, the form lines tell a compelling story. Fiorentina's recent home record is concerning, with just one win from their last five matches, averaging a meager 0.4 goals per game at home. They've struggled to convert pressure into results, often leaving their defense exposed, conceding 1.2 goals on average at home. Conversely, Como is in fine fettle, riding a wave of confidence with four wins in their last five outings, scoring an impressive 2.4 goals per game away. Their attacking prowess is backed by a solid expected goals (xG) performance that reflects their ability to create chances. Given Fiorentina's lackluster home form and Como's upward trajectory, betting on Como in the Draw No Bet market feels like a savvy move. With Como's momentum against a floundering home side, they seem well-positioned to either secure a win or at least avoid defeat.

Como at Fiorentina · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Como at Fiorentina · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie AATA vs. ACM 2026-10-18 16:00
vs.
Home AC Milan
Show Picks
Atalanta BC at AC Milan: Atalanta BC Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Atalanta BC_NA
Chance to win 37.9%
The price says 29.5%
Best price +220

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC: Atalanta BC Draw No Bet (+220)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As the Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC approaches, it's hard to ignore Atalanta's resilience, especially given their impressive recent form. While AC Milan's home record shows a shaky 2-2-1 in their last five outings, their struggles against Atalanta—who have dominated the last encounters with a 3-0-2 record—paint a compelling picture. Milan's average of just 1.6 goals per game combined with their lack of xG (expected goals) suggests a struggling attack. In contrast, Atalanta's attacking prowess has seen them average 1.6 goals in their last five, and they come off a strong performance that reflects their ability to capitalize on defensive lapses. With their solid recent form and Milan's inconsistency, the Draw No Bet market on Atalanta feels like a savvy approach to leverage their potential for an upset.

Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Atalanta BC at AC Milan · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ALAZ vs. JUV 2026-10-18 18:45
Lazio Away
vs.
Home Juventus
Show Picks
Lazio at Juventus: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 54.1%
The price says 50.4%
Best price -115

Juventus vs Lazio: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-115)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Juventus meets Lazio, expect a tactical battle that favors a low-scoring affair. Both teams have shown a tendency to tighten their defenses recently. Juventus, in their last five home matches, averaged just 1.2 goals scored while conceding only 0.8. Their xG figures tell a similar story, indicating a struggle to convert chances into goals. Lazio, on the other hand, while boasting a strong away record, has also kept opponents to a meager 0.8 goals in their last five games. The absence of standout finishing from both sides—coupled with Juventus’s propensity for drawing matches and Lazio's defensive solidity—makes a total of under 2.5 goals a compelling narrative. With recent form leaning heavily towards low outputs, punters should feel confident backing the under in this clash.

Lazio at Juventus · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Lazio at Juventus · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ACAG vs. MON 2026-10-19 16:30
Cagliari Away
vs.
Home Monza
Show Picks
Cagliari at Monza: Cagliari Moneyline h2h_Cagliari_NA
Chance to win 38.0%
The price says 29.2%
Best price +220

Monza vs Cagliari: Cagliari Moneyline (+220)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Monza welcomes Cagliari, the recent form strongly favors the visitors. Monza has struggled at home, managing just one draw in their last five matches and averaging a meager 0.8 goals per game at home while conceding 2.8. Their lack of attacking efficiency is glaring, with an average expected goals of zero over those outings. Conversely, Cagliari is riding a wave of confidence, boasting a solid away record of 4-0-1 in their last five. They’ve shown resilience, allowing only 0.6 goals per match during that stretch. Despite both teams showing low expected goals, Cagliari’s ability to grind out results and their positive head-to-head record against Monza makes them a compelling choice here. With Monza's home woes and Cagliari's resurgence, backing the visitors feels like the savvy move for this Serie A clash.

Cagliari at Monza · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Cagliari at Monza · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Serie ATOR vs. PAR 2026-10-19 18:45
Torino Away
vs.
Home Parma
Show Picks
Torino at Parma: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA
Chance to win 53.2%
The price says 48.9%
Best price -108

Parma vs Torino: Both Teams To Score: No (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Parma prepare to host Torino, both teams have shown a concerning inability to find the back of the net consistently. Parma's recent home form is particularly alarming, averaging just 1 goal while allowing 1 per game over their last five at home. The xG numbers reinforce this, as both sides have averaged an abysmal 0 in their last outings, reflecting their struggles to generate quality chances. Torino, despite their slight edge in offensive output, manage only 0.8 goals away from home, with opponents capitalizing to the tune of 1.4. This pattern suggests a match that could easily end without either team scoring. Given recent trends and their historical performances against each other, betting on 'No' for Both Teams to Score seems prudent as both teams grapple with offensive inefficacy. Expect a defensive battle rather than a shootout.

Torino at Parma · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Torino at Parma · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Torino at Parma · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Quick answer

What are Serie A picks?

Serie A picks are model-generated predictions for Serie A betting markets including 1X2 (moneyline), Asian Handicap, Over/Under goals and player props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming Serie A match with predictions across all major markets. Expand any match to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

Serie A pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
1X2 (Moneyline) Home win, draw, or away win in 90 minutes. A simple match-result angle without handicaps.
Asian Handicap A spread applied to level the matchup, often with push protection. Backing the stronger team at a fairer price, or an underdog with a head start.
Over/Under Goals Total match goals over or under a line (e.g. 2.5). Style, tempo, and defensive strength matter more than the winner.
Player Props Individual stats — shots, goals, assists. Exploit matchup edges, role changes or recent form streaks.

How to read Serie A picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a match. Matches are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that fixture.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated Serie A picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Monte Carlo models

20,000+ simulations per match estimate true outcome probabilities across every major Serie A market, updated as odds move daily.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

Serie A Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are Serie A picks?

Serie A picks are our model's call on which side to back in a Serie A match. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between Serie A picks and Serie A best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every Serie A match on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day. If you want the model's top selections only, use Picks.

What types of Serie A picks are available?

We post Serie A picks on who wins or whether it is a draw, total goals, both teams to score, and handicaps. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are Serie A picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use Serie A picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the Serie A Parlays page.

Does Bet Better guarantee Serie A picks will win?

No, and nobody can. Serie A picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do Serie A picks come out?

As soon as the day's matches and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Most matches land on the weekend, with midweek rounds as well.

Do you pick every Serie A match?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some matches get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one match.

Do I have to pay to see the Serie A picks?

The first pick in every match is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

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