Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Koziol is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 27, 10:55AM UTC
NFL
Tanner Koziol
JAX
Tanner Koziol has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $7,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+7000 (71.00) · $100→$7,100
Value call
New England Patriots
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 177 of 334 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Koziol (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Broncos, John Oehser of the Jaguars' official site reports.
updated Sep 20, 6:57PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 11.1% · the book's price implies 1.4% · gap +9.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 11.1% | — | 1.4% | 71.00 | +9.7% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Tanner Koziol (JAX) Yes Player last td (+7000)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tanner Koziol (JAX) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +7000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $710 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Tanner Koziol's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Tanner Koziol's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
Tanner Koziol's anytime td line is posted.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Tanner Koziol's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · New England Patriots @ Jacksonville JaguarsAnytime TD +2200
Tanner Koziol has a live NFL anytime td market for New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars priced at +2200.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Tanner Koziol (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Koziol is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 27 September at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.