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NFL

Tanner Koziol

JAX

Value call

Tanner Koziol has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $3,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.9% · before adjusting for past results 12.2% · the book's price implies 3.2% · gap +5.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 9:30 AM ET
Tanner Koziol
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +3000 (31.00) · $100→$3,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$310.00 Odds+3000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tanner Koziol is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 10:13PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,073 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD12.2%8.9%3.2%31.00+9.0%

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AI Analysis

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans: Tanner Koziol Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+3000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a strong defense, especially against running backs, allowing fewer touchdowns than most teams last season. However, the Houston Texans can be tricky, especially since their quarterback faces fewer extra rushers compared to the average. This could open up more opportunities for their plays. Tanner Koziol is the pick to score a touchdown in this game. He's an outsider at +3000 odds, meaning it's a long shot, but he could surprise everyone. The biggest risk is that both teams have shown they can be inconsistent, which makes it hard to predict who will find the end zone.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD20 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked20

Tanner Koziol's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 20 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tanner Koziol (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tanner Koziol is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 18 October at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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