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NFL

Tyler Allgeier

ARI

Value call

Tyler Allgeier has one live pick today: over 39.5 rushing yards that pays $691 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
28 in 100
Predicted
35.1 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 27.8% · before adjusting for past results 34.4% · the book's price implies 14.5% · gap +13.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Tyler Allgeier
over 39.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 39.5 +591 (6.91) · $100→$691
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 28 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$69.10 Odds+591
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Allgeier is Over 39.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 28 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 28%, the price says 14%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 3:33PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Allgeier is slated to work as Arizona's No. 1 running back for at least the next four weeks after Jeremiyah Love (ankle) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday, Darren Urban of the team's official site reports.
updated Nov 4, 12:17AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)34.4%27.8%14.5%6.91+20.0%

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AI Analysis

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Tyler Allgeier (ARI) Over 39.5 Player rush yds alternate (+591)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dallas Cowboys play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 1 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Allgeier (ARI) Over 39.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +591 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $69.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
Overall Hit Rate (36 picks) 55.6% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions6 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–2.5tips tracked6

Tyler Allgeier's NFL receptions prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards23 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–39.5model over54%tips tracked23

Tyler Allgeier's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 23 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD24 lines trackedNo line posted
48%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked24

Tyler Allgeier's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 24 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 48%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards84 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–59.5model over95%tips tracked84

Tyler Allgeier's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 84 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Tyler Allgeier average?How many receiving yards does Tyler Allgeier average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over +591 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over +1460 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Rushing Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Allgeier (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 55.6% on tracked Tyler Allgeier picks. The latest model pick for Tyler Allgeier is Over 39.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys on Sunday 1 November at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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