Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kenny Gainwell is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 12 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 12%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:58PM UTC
NFL
Kenny Gainwell
TB
Kenny Gainwell has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1200 (13.00) · $100→$1,300
Value call
Minnesota Vikings
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Gainwell rushed two times for 10 yards in Sunday's 23-19 loss to the Browns. He added three catches for five yards on four targets.
updated Sep 21, 1:56AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
12 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 12.5% · the book's price implies 7.7% · gap +4.8%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 12.5% | — | 7.7% | 13.00 | +4.8% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Kenny Gainwell (TB) Yes Player last td (+1200)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kenny Gainwell (TB) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Kenny Gainwell's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Kenny Gainwell's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted 39.5typical line · receiving yds
line range39.5–49.5model over14%tips tracked2
Kenny Gainwell's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 39.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rush + Rec Yards |
43.5 |
Under |
-115 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rush + Rec Yards |
44.5 |
Under |
-111 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Kenny Gainwell (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kenny Gainwell is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 27 September at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.