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NFL

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

Value call

Zach Charbonnet has one live pick today: under 1.5 receptions that pays $157 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
0.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.1% · before adjusting for past results 83.4% · the book's price implies 63.7% · gap +3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Mon 2 Nov, 8:20 PM ET
Zach Charbonnet
under 1.5 receptions
Receptions Under 1.5 -175 (1.57) · $100→$157
Value call
HIGHWins about 67 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.70 Odds-175
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Under 1.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 6:07AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Charbonnet (knee) rushed six times for 23 yards and brought in three of four targets for six yards in the Seahawks' 34-17 loss to the Bears on Monday night.
updated Nov 3, 5:19AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions83.4%67.1%63.7%1.66+19.7%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears: Zach Charbonnet Under 1.5 Receptions (-179)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Zach Charbonnet to have under 1.5 receptions look good at -179. Our numbers really like this pick because both Seattle and Chicago have quarterbacks who are facing a lot of extra defenders. This means they might not be throwing as much, especially to running backs like Charbonnet. Plus, Seattle's offense has been more effective when passing than running, which could lead to fewer catches for him. One risk to consider is that Charbonnet's role could change unexpectedly if the game goes differently. Chicago's defense is also pretty solid against the pass, which makes it even tougher for him to get the ball. Overall, this bet feels strong given the circumstances, but remember, there are no guarantees in sports!

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
53%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Zach Charbonnet's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 53%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
46.5typical line · rushing yds
line range46.5–46.5tips tracked4

Zach Charbonnet's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 46.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards11 lines trackedNo line posted
7.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over54%tips tracked11

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 11 times, typically around a 7.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions5 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5tips tracked5

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receptions prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards 7.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
02 Nov 26 Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zach Charbonnet (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Under 1.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.7% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks on Monday 2 November at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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