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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 35%, for a model edge of +15.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NFL

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

+15.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +185 (2.85)
+15.1% Edge
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Coach Mike Macdonald said Wednesday that Charbonnet continues to do a "great job" in his recovery from the torn ACL he suffered during the divisional-round of last season's playoffs, Cameron Van Til of Seattle Sports reports.
updated Jun 11, 4:14PM UTC · 39d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
35.1%
Model Edge
+15.1%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%35.1%1.99+15.1%

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AI Analysis

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Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+185)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on the historical data and recent performance of Zach Charbonnet, the betting rationale would recommend against betting on him to score a touchdown at any time in the game. Charbonnet has failed to score in his last 10 games overall, and in his last 5 games at home. Additionally, he has never scored against the Los Angeles Rams in his career, including two games played at home. The model's slight edge of 0.151 is not substantial enough to outweigh these negative trends. Even looking at a broader sample size, Charbonnet's hit rates are not promising, with only 8 touchdowns in 46 overall games, and 4 in 22 home games. His current hit streak in all categories is zero, indicating a lack of momentum in scoring touchdowns. Therefore, the statistical reasoning suggests that it is not advisable to bet on Charbonnet scoring a touchdown in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
53%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Zach Charbonnet's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 53%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
46.5typical line · rushing yds
line range46.5–46.5tips tracked4

Zach Charbonnet's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 46.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over90%tips tracked9

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions3 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over98%tips tracked3

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receptions prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Zach Charbonnet (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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