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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Yes on Anytime TD.
On the Anytime TD market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 39%, for a model edge of +11.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:17PM UTC
NFL

Zach Charbonnet

SEA

+11.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
+11.0% Edge
Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
OUTSeason pending
The Seahawks have placed Charbonnet (knee) on the physically unable to perform list ahead of training camp, John Boyle of the team's official site reports.
updated Jul 22, 4:54PM UTC · 19d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
39.2%
Model Edge
+11.0%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%—39.2%1.99+11.0%

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AI Analysis

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Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on the provided statistics, betting on Zach Charbonnet to score a touchdown at any time in the game between the Seattle Seahawks and the Los Angeles Rams may not be a favorable choice. Charbonnet has had a poor hit rate in recent games, failing to score a touchdown in his last 5 and 10 games overall, as well as the last 3 games at home or against the Rams. His overall hit rate is also low, with only 8 touchdowns in 46 games. Specifically against the Rams, Charbonnet has never scored a touchdown, neither at home nor away. Therefore, despite the model showing a slight edge of 0.110073651550774, Charbonnet's past performance does not support a strong likelihood of him scoring a touchdown in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
53%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Zach Charbonnet's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 53%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
46.5typical line · rushing yds
line range46.5–46.5tips tracked4

Zach Charbonnet's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 46.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over90%tips tracked9

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions3 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over98%tips tracked3

Zach Charbonnet's NFL receptions prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Zach Charbonnet (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zach Charbonnet is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.0% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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