Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for CeeDee Lamb is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 17 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 17%, the price says 11%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 3:20AM UTC
NFL
CeeDee Lamb
DAL
CeeDee Lamb has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $950 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+850 (9.50) · $100→$950
Value call
Washington Commanders
@
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 339 of 532 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Lamb brought in eight of nine targets for 153 yards and two touchdowns in the Cowboys' 37-20 win over the Commanders on Sunday.
updated Sep 21, 1:13AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
17 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 17.1% · the book's price implies 10.5% · gap +6.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 17.1% | — | 10.5% | 9.50 | +6.6% |
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CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Yes Player last td (+850)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Dallas Cowboys play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +850 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $95 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5
CeeDee Lamb's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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CeeDee Lamb (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for CeeDee Lamb is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys on Sunday 20 September at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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