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NFL

CeeDee Lamb

DAL

Value call

CeeDee Lamb has one live pick today: over 49.5 receiving yards that pays $123 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
81.1 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 88.9% · before adjusting for past results 93.2% · the book's price implies 81.3% · gap +7.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Thu 8 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
CeeDee Lamb
over 49.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 49.5 -435 (1.23) · $100→$123
Value call
HIGHWins about 89 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.30 Odds-435
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for CeeDee Lamb is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 89%, the price says 81%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 7:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Lamb is believed to be dealing with a "quad bruise" that is "not considered to be serious," Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
updated Oct 9, 12:44PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)93.2%88.9%81.3%1.23+11.9%

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AI Analysis

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CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate (-435)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dallas Cowboys play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Friday 9 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -435 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
52%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

CeeDee Lamb's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 52%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards40 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · receiving yds
line range24.5–89.5model over94%tips tracked40

CeeDee Lamb's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 40 times, typically around a 39.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions12 lines trackedNo line posted
5.5typical line · receptions
line range5.5–6.5tips tracked12

CeeDee Lamb's NFL receptions prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 5.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does CeeDee Lamb average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions 6.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions 5.5 Under +124 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receiving Yards 82.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

CeeDee Lamb (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for CeeDee Lamb is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys on Thursday 8 October at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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