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The latest Bet Better model pick for CeeDee Lamb is Yes on Anytime TD.
On the Anytime TD market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 46%, for a model edge of +3.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
NFL

CeeDee Lamb

DAL

+3.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +116 (2.16) · $100→$216
+3.9% Edge
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Lamb worked with the Cowboys' first-team offense in the first team drill of Wednesday's practice, Jon Machota of The Athletic reports.
updated Jul 29, 10:37PM UTC · 11d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
46.3%
Model Edge
+3.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%46.3%1.99+3.9%

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AI Analysis

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CeeDee Lamb (DAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on CeeDee Lamb to score a touchdown at any time during the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants game seems statistically feasible. Although Lamb's overall hit rate is below 50% (23/53), his performance improves when playing at home (13/26) indicating a hit rate of 50%. Furthermore, when specifically facing the Giants, Lamb's hit rate is at 50% (3/6). Lamb's performance against the Giants at home is less impressive with a 1/3 hit rate, but the sample size is smaller, potentially skewing the results. It's also worth noting Lamb's recent performance, with a 2/5 hit rate in his last five games overall, and the same rate against the Giants. Despite Lamb's current hit streak being at 0, his home and overall hit rates present a compelling case for a potential touchdown. The model edge of 0.039 also suggests a slight advantage for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

CeeDee Lamb's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

CeeDee Lamb (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for CeeDee Lamb is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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