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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

SEA

Value call

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has one live pick today: over 69.5 receiving yards that pays $141 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
98.7 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.7% · before adjusting for past results 90.2% · the book's price implies 70.9% · gap +13.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
over 69.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 69.5 -244 (1.41) · $100→$141
Value call
HIGHWins about 85 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.10 Odds-244
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaxon Smith-Njigba is Over 69.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 85%, the price says 71%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 5:02AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Smith-Njigba reeled in seven of 10 targets for 51 yards during Sunday's 17-3 win against the Cardinals.
updated Nov 9, 1:39AM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)90.2%84.7%70.9%1.41+19.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) Over 69.5 Player reception yds alternate (-244)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Seattle Seahawks play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) Over 69.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (26 picks) 65.4% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD27 lines trackedNo line posted
54%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked27

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 27 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 54%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions46 lines trackedNo line posted
6.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–8.5model over67%tips tracked46

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's NFL receptions prop has been priced 46 times, typically around a 6.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards193 lines trackedNo line posted
49.5typical line · receiving yds
line range24.5–98.5model over99%tips tracked193

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 193 times, typically around a 49.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
model over19%tips tracked1

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Jaxon Smith-Njigba average?How many rushing yards does Jaxon Smith-Njigba average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) 69.5 Over -244 ✗ MISS
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5 Over -370 ✗ MISS
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) 79.5 Over -167 ✗ MISS
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 65.4% on tracked Jaxon Smith-Njigba picks. The latest model pick for Jaxon Smith-Njigba is Over 69.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.3% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 8 November at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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