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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

SEA

Value call

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has one live pick today: over 69.5 receiving yards that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
97.3 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.3% · before adjusting for past results 89.4% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +9.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
over 69.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 69.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.40 Odds-294
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaxon Smith-Njigba is Over 69.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 11:12PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)89.4%84.3%74.6%1.34+14.8%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-294)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Seattle is set to host Kansas City, and this matchup could really favor Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The Chiefs have struggled against wide receivers at times, especially when their quarterback faces a lot of pressure. Jaxon has been showing great promise, and with the Chiefs' defense allowing fewer touchdowns to tight ends than most teams, there's a chance he could see plenty of action. However, the Chiefs are not pushovers, and they have a solid defense overall. Kansas City has a mixed record on grass, winning less than half their games in that setting lately. Still, with Jaxon's recent form and the way the Seahawks plan to use him, betting on him to get over 69.5 receiving yards looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's lines for Mon 26 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 69.5

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards (alt) line is 69.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards (alt) line is 59.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 79.5

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards (alt) line is 79.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.

Anytime TD

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's anytime td line is posted.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 89.5

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards (alt) line is 89.5.

Receiving Yards 92.5

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's receiving yards line is 92.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Anytime TDNext game · Kansas City ChiefsAnytime TD +125

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has a live NFL anytime td market for Kansas City Chiefs priced at +125.

Receiving YardsNext game · Kansas City ChiefsO 59.5 -455
59.5posted line · receiving yds

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has a live NFL receiving yards market for Kansas City Chiefs: over 59.5 receiving yds priced at -455.

Receptions44 lines trackedNo line posted
6.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–8.5model over67%tips tracked44

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's NFL receptions prop has been priced 44 times, typically around a 6.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
model over19%tips tracked1

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Jaxon Smith-Njigba average?How many rushing yards does Jaxon Smith-Njigba average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) 69.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) 79.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaxon Smith-Njigba is Over 69.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.8% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 25 October at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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