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NFL

Malik Willis

MIA

Value call

Malik Willis has one live pick today: under 208.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
194.4 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 58.0% · before adjusting for past results 68.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +4.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Malik Willis
under 208.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 208.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Malik Willis is Under 208.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 5:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Dolphins hope Willis (abdomen) will return this year but haven't ruled out season-ending surgery, Joe Schad of The Palm Beach Post reports.
updated Nov 11, 8:15PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards68.0%58.0%53.2%2.00+14.8%

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AI Analysis

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Malik Willis (MIA) Under 208.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Miami Dolphins play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Malik Willis (MIA) Under 208.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Passing Yards131 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range99.5–208.5model over98%tips tracked131

Malik Willis's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 131 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards45 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–33.5model over96%tips tracked45

Malik Willis's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 45 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Malik Willis average?How many passing yards does Malik Willis average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards 208.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards 207.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Touchdowns 1.5 Under -169 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Malik Willis (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Malik Willis is Under 208.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.8% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 8 November at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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