Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cade Otton is Over 4.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 27 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 27%, the price says 21%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 10:07PM UTC
NFL
Cade Otton
TB
Cade Otton has one live pick today: Receptions (Alt) Over 4.5 that pays $467 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions (Alt)
Over 4.5
+367 (4.67) · $100→$467
Value call
Cleveland Browns
@
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Otton caught three of five targets for 26 yards in Tampa Bay's loss to the Bengals on Sunday.
updated Sep 14, 7:01PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
27 in 100
Predicted
4.1 Receptions (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 27.4% · before adjusting for past results 39.9% · the book's price implies 21.4% · gap +5.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions (Alt) | 39.9% | 27.4% | 21.4% | 4.67 | +18.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Cade Otton (TB) Over 4.5 Player receptions alternate (+367)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cade Otton (TB) Over 4.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +367 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $46.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards51 lines trackedNo line posted 19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over84%tips tracked51
Cade Otton's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 51 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2
Cade Otton's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions30 lines trackedNo line posted 2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–7.5model over78%tips tracked30
Cade Otton's NFL receptions prop has been priced 30 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Cade Otton (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cade Otton is Over 4.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 20 September at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.