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NFL

Cade Otton

TB

Value call

Cade Otton has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $214 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
4.5 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.1% · before adjusting for past results 65.7% · the book's price implies 46.7% · gap +4.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Thu 8 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Cade Otton
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions Over 3.5 +114 (2.14) · $100→$214
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.40 Odds+114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cade Otton is Over 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 47%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:50AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Otton caught three of four targets for 25 yards in a 24-16 win over Dallas on Thursday.
updated Oct 9, 11:53PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions65.7%51.1%46.7%2.27+19.0%

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AI Analysis

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Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Cade Otton Over 3.5 Receptions (+114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Cade Otton has been stepping up for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers lately, and he's starting to get more targets in the passing game. The Cowboys have struggled to stop tight ends, allowing a lot of yards through the air. With the way Otton is playing, he has a good chance to grab over 3.5 receptions. While the Buccaneers are not the best on grass, their offense is finding its rhythm. The Cowboys have given up a lot of yards this season, and that could give Otton plenty of opportunities. The biggest risk here is that both teams are close in how they play, so it might not be a walk in the park for Otton.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards150 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–79.5model over79%tips tracked150

Cade Otton's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 150 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
25%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Cade Otton's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 25%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions95 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–7.5model over73%tips tracked95

Cade Otton's NFL receptions prop has been priced 95 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Cade Otton average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -139 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions (Alt) 2.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cade Otton (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cade Otton is Over 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.0% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys on Thursday 8 October at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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