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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cade Otton is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +16.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:17PM UTC
NFL

Cade Otton

TB

+16.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 20.5 -112 (1.89)
+16.1% Edge
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
69.0%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+16.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards69.0%—52.9%1.45+16.1%

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AI Analysis

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Cade Otton (TB) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Cade Otton for under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles game is based on his recent and historical performance. Otton's recent performance shows a consistent underperformance against this prop, with a hit rate of 0/3 in the last three games overall, at home, and against Philadelphia. This extends to a hit rate of 0/5 in the last five games overall and at home. His historical performance also supports this bet. His overall hit rate is 18/50, and 9/25 at home. His hit rate is slightly better against Philadelphia (1/2), but this is based on a much smaller sample size. His current hit streak in all categories is 0, further supporting the under bet. The model edge of 0.161 also suggests that the under bet has a statistical advantage.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
18.5typical line · receiving yds
line range18.5–20.5tips tracked9

Cade Otton's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 18.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Cade Otton's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cade Otton (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cade Otton is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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