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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rico Dowdle is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 13%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:18PM UTC
NFL

Rico Dowdle

PIT

Value call

Rico Dowdle has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $750 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer Yes +650 (7.50) · $100→$750
Value call
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 702 of 1,223 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Head coach Mike McCarthy said that Dowdle (toe) had a positive workout Friday and is "making progress" in his recovery, but the Steelers aren't yet certain if he'll be available to play Week 5 versus the Colts, Nick Farabaugh of PennLive.com reports.
updated Oct 5, 8:38PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 1.1% · before adjusting for past results 16.3% · the book's price implies 13.3% · gap -12.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Last Touchdown Scorer16.3%1.1%13.3%7.50+3.0%

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AI Analysis

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Rico Dowdle (PIT) Yes Player last td (+650)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Steelers play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rico Dowdle (PIT) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +650 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $75 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards5 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · rushing yds
line range14.5–39.5model over99%tips tracked5

Rico Dowdle's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 14.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -2500 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Rico Dowdle (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rico Dowdle is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 27 September at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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