Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James Cook is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 10%, the price says 13%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 22, 11:49AM UTC
NFL
James Cook
BUF
James Cook has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $800 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+700 (8.00) · $100→$800
Value call
Detroit Lions
@
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
Fri 18 Sep, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Cook rushed 21 times for 135 yards and a touchdown and brought in one of three targets for four yards in the Bills' 41-31 win over the Lions on Thursday.
updated Sep 18, 3:58AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
10 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 10.0% · before adjusting for past results 26.2% · the book's price implies 12.5% · gap -2.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 26.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.00 | +13.7% |
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James Cook (BUF) Yes Player last td (+700)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Buffalo Bills play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is James Cook (BUF) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +700 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards21 lines trackedNo line posted 13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5tips tracked21
James Cook's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 21 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions7 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–6.5model over91%tips tracked7
James Cook's NFL receptions prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 18 Sep 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills |
Receptions (Alt) |
0.5 |
Over |
-1667 |
✓ HIT |
| 18 Sep 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 18 Sep 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 18 Sep 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 18 Sep 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 18 Sep 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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James Cook (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Cook is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills on Friday 18 September at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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