Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rashee Rice is Under 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 66%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 8:39PM UTC
NFL
Rashee Rice
KC
Rashee Rice has one live pick today: Receptions Under 4.5 that pays $200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions
Under 4.5
+100 (2.00) · $100→$200
Value call
Kansas City Chiefs
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 226 of 421 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Rice caught seven of nine targets for 88 yards in Sunday's 24-10 win over the Dolphins.
updated Sep 27, 8:33PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
66 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 66.2% · the book's price implies 50.0% · gap +16.2%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 66.2% | — | 50.0% | 2.12 | +16.2% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Rashee Rice (KC) Under 4.5 Receptions (+100)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rashee Rice (KC) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Rashee Rice's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions 4.5
-125 best over price · 12 books
Rashee Rice's receptions line is 4.5, best over price -125 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Rashee Rice's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards 54.5
-114 best over price · 7 books
Rashee Rice's receiving yards line is 54.5, best over price -114 across 7 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersU 54.5 -110 54.5posted line · receiving yds
Rashee Rice has a live NFL receiving yards market for Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders: under 54.5 receiving yds priced at -110.
ReceptionsNext game · Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersU 4.5 +100 4.5posted line · receptions
Rashee Rice has a live NFL receptions market for Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders: under 4.5 receptions priced at +100.
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
45%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9
Rashee Rice's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 45%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 15 Sep 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
14.5 |
Over |
-2500 |
✓ HIT |
| 15 Sep 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs |
Receiving Yards |
56.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 15 Sep 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs |
Receiving Yards |
55.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 15 Sep 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 15 Sep 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 15 Sep 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Rashee Rice (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rashee Rice is Under 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 4 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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