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NFL

Garrett Wilson

NYJ

Value call

Garrett Wilson has one live pick today: under 6.5 receptions that pays $168 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
4.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 79.5% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap +19.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Jets @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Garrett Wilson
under 6.5 receptions
Receptions Under 6.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
Value call
HIGHWins about 79 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.80 Odds-147
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Garrett Wilson is Under 6.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 79%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Garrett Wilson playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Garrett Wilson is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Wilson caught seven of 11 targets for 104 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 17-12 win over the Browns.
updated Oct 11, 8:51PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions79.5%—59.5%1.78+19.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

New England Patriots vs New York Jets: Garrett Wilson Under 6.5 Receptions (-147)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on Garrett Wilson to have under 6.5 receptions against the New England Patriots feels solid. The Patriots' defense has been tough this season, making it hard for receivers to get open. Plus, Wilson has faced some challenges lately, which could limit his chances to catch the ball. While our numbers see this as a strong pick, the Jets' offense can surprise sometimes. If they get creative, Wilson might have a better day than expected. Just remember that the Patriots are really good at shutting down top targets, so this bet has a concrete risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

Garrett Wilson's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 6.5
-102 best over price · 11 books

Garrett Wilson's receptions line is 6.5, best over price -102 across 11 books.

Receiving Yards 75.5
-111 best over price · 8 books

Garrett Wilson's receiving yards line is 75.5, best over price -111 across 8 books.

Receiving Yards 73.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Garrett Wilson's receiving yards line is 73.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

Garrett Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5

Garrett Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5

Garrett Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · New York Jets @ New England PatriotsU 75.5 -114
75.5posted line · receiving yds

Garrett Wilson has a live NFL receiving yards market for New York Jets @ New England Patriots: under 75.5 receiving yds priced at -114.

ReceptionsNext game · New York Jets @ New England PatriotsU 6.5 -112
6.5posted line · receptions

Garrett Wilson has a live NFL receptions market for New York Jets @ New England Patriots: under 6.5 receptions priced at -112.

Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Garrett Wilson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Garrett Wilson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -1429 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets Receptions 5.5 Under +107 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

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About This Player

Garrett Wilson (NYJ) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Garrett Wilson is Under 6.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs New England Patriots on Sunday 18 October at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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