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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for J.K. Dobbins is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 25 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 25%, the price says 12%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:57PM UTC
NFL

J.K. Dobbins

DEN

Value call

J.K. Dobbins has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $850 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer Yes +750 (8.50) · $100→$850
Value call
Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Mon 28 Sep, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
The Broncos believe that Dobbins' injured hamstring is "good" heading into next Sunday's game against the Rams, Tom Pelissero of Netflix reports.
updated Sep 21, 5:00PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
25 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 24.6% · the book's price implies 11.8% · gap +12.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Last Touchdown Scorer24.6%11.8%8.50+12.8%

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AI Analysis

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J.K. Dobbins (DEN) Yes Player last td (+750)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Denver Broncos play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Monday 28 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is J.K. Dobbins (DEN) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +750 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $85 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

J.K. Dobbins's lines for Mon 28 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Last Touchdown Scorer
Questionable

J.K. Dobbins's last touchdown scorer line is posted.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

J.K. Dobbins (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for J.K. Dobbins is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos on Monday 28 September at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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