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NFL

J.K. Dobbins

DEN

Value call

J.K. Dobbins has one live pick today: over 29.5 rushing yards that pays $126 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
50.7 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 86.7% · before adjusting for past results 91.1% · the book's price implies 79.4% · gap +7.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Thu 15 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
J.K. Dobbins
over 29.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 -385 (1.26) · $100→$126
Value call
HIGHWins about 87 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.60 Odds-385
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for J.K. Dobbins is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 87%, the price says 79%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 1:41AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Dobbins recorded 18 carries for 68 yards and one touchdown and gathered in both targets for six yards during Sunday's 23-17 win at the Chargers.
updated Oct 12, 12:24AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)91.1%86.7%79.4%1.26+11.7%

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AI Analysis

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Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks: J.K. Dobbins Over 29.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (-385)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For J.K. Dobbins to go over 29.5 rushing yards tonight, he needs to find space against the Seattle Seahawks' defense. The Seahawks have been tough against opposing running backs, allowing few touchdowns, but Dobbins has proven he can handle the load when given the chance. The Broncos' offense is a bit shaky, but Dobbins might get more carries, especially if they want to keep the ball moving. Dobbins has the skills to break through and get those yards. The Seahawks' defense has been known to struggle at times, and with Dobbins getting some chances, it feels like he can reach that mark. Just keep in mind that the Seahawks might bring extra rushers to pressure the Broncos' quarterback, which could make it tougher for Dobbins to find his rhythm.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

J.K. Dobbins's lines for Fri 16 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5

J.K. Dobbins's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5

J.K. Dobbins's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5

J.K. Dobbins's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5

J.K. Dobbins's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

J.K. Dobbins's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receptions (Alt) 3.5

J.K. Dobbins's receptions (alt) line is 3.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5

J.K. Dobbins's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards 3.5

J.K. Dobbins's receiving yards line is 3.5.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards42 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · rushing yds
line range14.5–52.5model over98%tips tracked42

J.K. Dobbins's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 42 times, typically around a 19.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receiving yds
line range3.5–39.5tips tracked6

J.K. Dobbins's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 3.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–3.5model over19%tips tracked2

J.K. Dobbins's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does J.K. Dobbins average?How many receiving yards does J.K. Dobbins average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -1429 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

J.K. Dobbins (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for J.K. Dobbins is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos on Thursday 15 October at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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