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NFL

Ty Johnson

BUF

Value call

Ty Johnson has one live pick today: under 15.5 receiving yards that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
18.9 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.2% · before adjusting for past results 60.1% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap -9.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Ty Johnson
under 15.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 15.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 42 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty Johnson is Under 15.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 42%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 9:27AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Johnson took four carries for four yards and caught all three of his targets for 19 yards during Sunday's 36-10 win versus the Ravens.
updated Nov 4, 2:39AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards60.1%42.2%51.8%2.04+8.3%

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AI Analysis

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Ty Johnson (BUF) Under 15.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 1 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ty Johnson (BUF) Under 15.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions30 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over35%tips tracked30

Ty Johnson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 30 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards22 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range3.5–49.5model over12%tips tracked22

Ty Johnson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 22 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards56 lines trackedNo line posted
49.5typical line · receiving yds
line range13.5–69.5model over10%tips tracked56

Ty Johnson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 56 times, typically around a 49.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD12 lines trackedNo line posted
20%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked12

Ty Johnson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 12 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 20%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Ty Johnson average?How many rushing yards does Ty Johnson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Receptions 2.5 Over +143 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders Receptions 2.5 Under -182 ✓ HIT
12 Oct 26 Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams Rushing Yards 5.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Receiving Yards — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Receiving Yards — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ty Johnson (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ty Johnson is Under 15.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills on Sunday 1 November at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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