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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty Johnson is Over 0.5 on Receptions.
On the Receptions market the model assigns a model win probability of 58%, versus the book's implied 48%, for a model edge of +10.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL

Ty Johnson

BUF

+10.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receptions Over 0.5 +110 (2.10)
+10.7% Edge
New Orleans Saints @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Johnson (ankle) is participating in OTAs, Jeffrey Barnes of the Bluefield Daily Telegraph reports.
updated May 27, 6:01PM UTC · 54d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
58.3%
Implied Probability
47.6%
Model Edge
+10.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions58.3%—47.6%1.72+10.7%

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AI Analysis

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Ty Johnson (BUF) Over 0.5 Receptions (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ty Johnson for Over 0.5 in the 'player_receptions' market in the Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints game is a good choice based on his recent performance and trends. Johnson has a positive overall hit rate, with 24 successes out of 42 attempts, giving a hit rate of 57%. His performance at home games is also encouraging, with a hit rate of 50% (11 out of 22). Looking at more recent games, Johnson's overall hit rate in the last 5 games is 60% (3 out of 5) and a commendable 80% (4 out of 5) for home games. This suggests a strong likelihood that he will continue this trend. The model also gives an edge of around 10.6%, adding statistical weight to the bet. Johnson's current hit streak for both overall and home games stands at 1, indicating that he is in good form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
model over58%tips tracked1

Ty Johnson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ty Johnson (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ty Johnson is Over 0.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.7% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Buffalo Bills at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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