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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty Johnson is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 2%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:02PM UTC
NFL

Ty Johnson

BUF

Value call

Ty Johnson has one live pick today: Total Touchdowns Over 1.5 that pays $4,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns Over 1.5 +4000 (41.00) · $100→$4,100
Value call
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
Fri 18 Sep, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
questionable
updated Sep 22, 8:56PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
Predicted
0.3 Total Touchdowns
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 2.2% · before adjusting for past results 3.7% · the book's price implies 2.4% · gap -0.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Total Touchdowns3.7%2.2%2.4%41.00+1.2%

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AI Analysis

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Ty Johnson (BUF) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+4000)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Buffalo Bills play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ty Johnson (BUF) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +4000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $410 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
model over58%tips tracked1

Ty Johnson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ty Johnson (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ty Johnson is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills on Friday 18 September at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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