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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty Johnson is Over 0.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 58%, implied 48%, edge +10.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:26PM UTC
NFL

Ty Johnson

BUF

+10.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receptions Over 0.5 +110 (2.10) · $100→$210
+10.7% Edge
New Orleans Saints @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Johnson (lower leg) didn't practice Tuesday, but head coach Joe Brady said that the running back has resumed sprinting, Jay Skurski of The Buffalo News reports.
updated Aug 25, 3:05PM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
58 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 58.3% · the book's price implies 47.6% · gap +10.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions58.3%47.6%1.72+10.7%

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AI Analysis

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Ty Johnson (BUF) Over 0.5 Receptions (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ty Johnson for Over 0.5 in the 'player_receptions' market in the Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints game is a good choice based on his recent performance and trends. Johnson has a positive overall hit rate, with 24 successes out of 42 attempts, giving a hit rate of 57%. His performance at home games is also encouraging, with a hit rate of 50% (11 out of 22). Looking at more recent games, Johnson's overall hit rate in the last 5 games is 60% (3 out of 5) and a commendable 80% (4 out of 5) for home games. This suggests a strong likelihood that he will continue this trend. The model also gives an edge of around 10.6%, adding statistical weight to the bet. Johnson's current hit streak for both overall and home games stands at 1, indicating that he is in good form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
model over58%tips tracked1

Ty Johnson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ty Johnson (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ty Johnson is Over 0.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.7% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Buffalo Bills at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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