Ty Johnson has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $650 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
18 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 18.0% · the book's price implies 15.4% · gap +2.6%.
Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bills
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Ty Johnson
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD
Yes
+550 (6.50) · $100→$650
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 18 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$65.00
Odds+550
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty Johnson is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 18 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 18%, the price says 15%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Ty Johnson playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Ty Johnson is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Johnson caught all four of his targets for 72 yards during the Bills' 37-34 overtime win over the Rams on Monday.
updated Oct 14, 12:28AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 18.0% | — | 15.4% | 6.50 | +2.6% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Ty Johnson (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+550)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ty Johnson (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +550 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $65 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Ty Johnson's lines for Sun 18 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+550 best over price · 14 books
Ty Johnson's anytime td line is posted, best over price +550 across 14 books.
Receiving Yards 15.5
-114 best over price · 7 books
Ty Johnson's receiving yards line is 15.5, best over price -114 across 7 books.
Receptions 2.5
+154 best over price · 4 books
Ty Johnson's receptions line is 2.5, best over price +154 across 4 books.
Betting angles
3 markets liveAnytime TDNext game · Las Vegas RaidersAnytime TD +550
Ty Johnson has a live NFL anytime td market for Las Vegas Raiders priced at +550.
Receiving YardsNext game · Las Vegas RaidersU 15.5 -110 15.5posted line · receiving yds
Ty Johnson has a live NFL receiving yards market for Las Vegas Raiders: under 15.5 receiving yds priced at -110.
ReceptionsNext game · Las Vegas RaidersU 2.5 -192 2.5posted line · receptions
Ty Johnson has a live NFL receptions market for Las Vegas Raiders: under 2.5 receptions priced at -192.
Rushing Yards17 lines trackedNo line posted 24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over12%tips tracked17
Ty Johnson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 17 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 12 Oct 26 |
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards |
5.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 12 Oct 26 |
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
39.5 |
Over |
+990 |
✓ HIT |
| 12 Oct 26 |
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
+346 |
✓ HIT |
| 12 Oct 26 |
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rush + Rec Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 12 Oct 26 |
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rush + Rec Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 12 Oct 26 |
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Ty Johnson (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ty Johnson is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 18 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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