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NFL

Kyle Williams

NE

Value call

Kyle Williams has one live pick today: under 1.5 receptions that pays $171 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
1.5 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.1% · before adjusting for past results 60.4% · the book's price implies 58.5% · gap -9.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Kyle Williams
under 1.5 receptions
Receptions Under 1.5 -141 (1.71) · $100→$171
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.10 Odds-141
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyle Williams is Under 1.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 58%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 11:37AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Williams caught his lone target for a 43-yard touchdown during Sunday's 24-19 win over the Dolphins.
updated Nov 2, 4:34AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions60.4%49.1%58.5%1.83+1.9%

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AI Analysis

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Kyle Williams (NE) Under 1.5 Receptions (-141)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Miami Dolphins play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 1 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kyle Williams (NE) Under 1.5 Receptions. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD24 lines trackedNo line posted
15%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked24

Kyle Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 24 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 15%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions30 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over45%tips tracked30

Kyle Williams's NFL receptions prop has been priced 30 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards19 lines trackedNo line posted
11.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over54%tips tracked19

Kyle Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 19 times, typically around a 11.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Kyle Williams average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Receptions 1.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards 20.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards 19.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kyle Williams (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyle Williams is Under 1.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.9% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 1 November at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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