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NFL

Germie Bernard

PIT

Value call

Germie Bernard has one live pick today: under 20.5 receiving yards that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
21.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.4% · before adjusting for past results 62.8% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap -0.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Germie Bernard
under 20.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 20.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.10 Odds-110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Germie Bernard is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:40AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Bernard caught six of nine targets for 90 yards during Sunday's 34-22 win over the Colts.
updated Oct 12, 1:55AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards62.8%51.4%52.4%2.02+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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Germie Bernard (PIT) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Steelers play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Germie Bernard (PIT) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4

Germie Bernard's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards16 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over45%tips tracked16

Germie Bernard's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 16 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions3 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over92%tips tracked3

Germie Bernard's NFL receptions prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards 9.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receptions (Alt) 0.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Germie Bernard (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Germie Bernard is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 11 October at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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