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Model picks & player props
NHL
Capital One Arena, Washington
Indoor
Sun 1 Nov 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Minnesota Wild
9-6 · 5-5 awayLWWWL
VS
Washington Capitals
8-4 · 6-2 at homeWLWWW
Our model's predicted score: Washington Capitals 3.1 – Minnesota Wild 3

Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks · Sun 1 Nov

Our model graded 12 markets for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals and backs Over 6.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $210.

12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 6.5 total goals
Over 6.5 Total Goals
You bet$10 If it wins$21.00Best price+110
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.6%
The price says46.1%

The model graded 12 markets for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $210 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 1 Nov 2026, 3:30 PM ET at Capital One Arena.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Over 6.5 Lean45% chance +110
Total Goals Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High69% chance Members
Spread Members only High74% chance Members
3-Way Moneyline Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean44% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →
Minnesota Wild are the model's favourite to beat Washington Capitals, with a 54% chance to win. Predicted score: Washington Capitals 3.1 – Minnesota Wild 3. Kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 3:30 PM ET at Capital One Arena. Best bet: Over 6.5 at +110.
How they've been scoring this season
Minnesota WildWashington Capitals
Won-lost9-68-4
Goals scored per game3.13.6
Goals allowed per game2.33.1
On the road / at home5-5 away6-2 at home
Last 5 gamesLWWWLWLWWW
Their games average 6.1 total goals this season.
From the 15 Minnesota Wild and 12 Washington Capitals games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Capitals about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Minnesota Wildabout 5 in 10$2.02 (+102)$1.95 (-105)
Capitalsabout 5 in 10$1.98 (-102)$1.91 (-110)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.70 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 24 books we check.

All NHL odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Washington Capitals won 3 straight games up to Thursday 29 October.
  • On Thursday, Minnesota Wild lost 4-3 at home to New York Islanders. On Thursday, Washington Capitals beat Nashville Predators 4-3 on the road.
  • In the first 133 NHL games this season, home teams won 76, close to 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Before you bet: NHL injury report

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Over
6.5
+110
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota Wild3-Way MoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota WildMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Minnesota Wild on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Minnesota Wild
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Washington Capitals
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Wild

  • Jared Spurgeon DOut
  • Brock Faber DOut
  • Filip Gustavsson GOut
  • Marcus Foligno LWOut
  • Nick Foligno LWOut

Washington Capitals

  • Vincent Desharnais DOut
  • Rasmus Sandin DOut
  • Patrick Thomas COut
Availability updated Oct 29, 11:51PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineModel leans Minnesota Wild-108
54%model win %
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G2.0Shots/G33.2vs Capitals4-1

Model leans Minnesota Wild to win, a 54% moneyline pick over Washington Capitals.

Puck LineMinnesota Wild -1.5-1.5 -263
77%model cover %
3-2last 5 record
GF/G3.2GA/G2.0Shots/G33.2vs Capitals4-1

Model backs Minnesota Wild -1.5 on the puck line, a 77% cover vs Washington Capitals.

Total GoalsGame totalO 6.5 +110
55%model over %

Minnesota Wild @ Washington Capitals O 6.5 goals — model 55% over.

Minnesota Wild @ Washington Capitals — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals — recent results

Washington Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 games; Minnesota Wild have won 3 of their last 5.

Washington Capitals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–3NSHAway
W5–2PHIHome
W4–3BUFHome
L2–5LAHome
W4–2NJHome
Minnesota Wild — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4NYIHome
W3–1UTAAway
W4–2VANAway
W5–1SEAAway
L1–2CGYAway

Who’s out or in doubt

8 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Capitals
PlayerStatus
Vincent Desharnais DOUT
Rasmus Sandin DOUT
Patrick Thomas COUT
Minnesota Wild
PlayerStatus
Jared Spurgeon DOUT
Brock Faber DOUT
Filip Gustavsson GOUT
Marcus Foligno LWOUT
Nick Foligno LWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Minnesota Wild @ Washington Capitals — where the money went

Since betting opened on Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals, the market has moved away from Minnesota Wild across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Minnesota Wild -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Washington Capitals -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Washington Capitals 1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Minnesota Wild 1.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 6.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 6▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 6▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 6.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Minnesota Wild @ Washington Capitals — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Washington Capitals playing Minnesota Wild. Includes analysis on key players like Logan Thompson. Analysis includes NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Washington Capitals vs Minnesota Wild stats and odds.

Logan Thompson (Washington Capitals) Over 23.5 Saves (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Wild vs Capitals, or as Capitals vs Wild. The next scheduled game is Sunday 1 November 2026 at Capital One Arena. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Minnesota Wild play Washington Capitals on Sunday 1 November 2026. It starts at 3:30 PM ET at Capital One Arena in Washington. It is an NHL game.

Minnesota Wild: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Lostvs New York Islanders 3-4
  2. 27 Oct 2026Wonat Utah Mammoth 3-1
  3. 25 Oct 2026Wonat Vancouver Canucks 4-2
  4. 24 Oct 2026Wonat Seattle Kraken 5-1
  5. 22 Oct 2026Lostat Calgary Flames 1-2

Washington Capitals: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Wonat Nashville Predators 4-3
  2. 28 Oct 2026Wonvs Philadelphia Flyers 5-2
  3. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Buffalo Sabres 4-3
  4. 20 Oct 2026Lostvs Los Angeles Kings 2-5
  5. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs New Jersey Devils 4-2

Quick answers

When is Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals? Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals is on Sunday 1 November 2026. It starts at 3:30 PM ET at Capital One Arena in Washington.

Where is Minnesota Wild vs Washington Capitals being played? It is being played at Capital One Arena in Washington.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

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