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NFL

Kyler Murray

MIN

Value call

Kyler Murray has one live pick today: under 20.5 completed passes that pays $196 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
18.3 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 70.8% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +19.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Kyler Murray
under 20.5 completed passes
Pass Completions Under 20.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
Value call
HIGHWins about 71 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.60 Odds-104
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyler Murray is Under 20.5 on Pass Completions.
On Pass Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 24, 1:39PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Kyler Murray playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Kyler Murray is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Murray completed 24 of 30 passes for 229 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions while adding 10 rushes for 51 yards in the Vikings' 23-13 win over the Saints on Sunday. He also recovered a fumble.
updated Oct 11, 9:32PM UTC · 12d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pass Completions70.8%—51.0%2.08+19.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: Kyler Murray Under 20.5 Pass Completions (-104)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Kyler Murray has been battling some tough defenses lately, and the Vikings know how to put pressure on quarterbacks. Playing at home gives them an advantage, and their defense has been solid, limiting opposing quarterbacks from completing passes. With both teams needing a win, the intensity will be high, which often leads to mistakes and fewer completions. Murray has shown flashes of brilliance but also inconsistency, making it tricky to predict how he'll perform. The most concrete risk here is that he could surprise everyone and get hot, but overall, the numbers suggest that under 20.5 completions is a smart pick. With the way these teams are playing, it feels like a good chance to go with.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Kyler Murray's lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pass Completions 20.5

Kyler Murray's pass completions line is 20.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5

Kyler Murray's passing yards (alt) line is 169.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5

Kyler Murray's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5

Kyler Murray's passing yards (alt) line is 179.5.

Rushing Yards 25.5
-114 best over price · 7 books

Kyler Murray's rushing yards line is 25.5, best over price -114 across 7 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5

Kyler Murray's passing yards (alt) line is 159.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5

Kyler Murray's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5

Kyler Murray's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Passing YardsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsO 169.5 -303
169.5posted line · passing yds

Kyler Murray has a live NFL passing yards market for Indianapolis Colts: over 169.5 passing yds priced at -303.

Rushing YardsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsU 25.5 -108
25.5posted line · rushing yds

Kyler Murray has a live NFL rushing yards market for Indianapolis Colts: under 25.5 rushing yds priced at -108.

Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Kyler Murray's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Passing Touchdowns 1.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Passing Yards (Alt) 124.5 Over -1429 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Interceptions Thrown 0.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Kyler Murray (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyler Murray is Under 20.5 on Pass Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings on Sunday 25 October at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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