Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyler Murray is Over 39.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 32%, implied 26%, edge +6.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 13, 7:20PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 39.5
+290 (3.90) · $100→$390
+6.3% Edge
Green Bay Packers
@
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Murray played six snaps during Minnesota's three-game preseason slate.
updated Sep 3, 3:58PM UTC · 10d old
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How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
34.1 Rushing Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 32.0% · the book's price implies 25.6% · gap +6.3%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 32.0% | — | 25.6% | 3.90 | +6.3% |
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Kyler Murray (MIN) Over 39.5 Player rush yds alternate (+290)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kyler Murray (MIN) Over 39.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +290 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $39 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Kyler Murray's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Kyler Murray's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Kyler Murray's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5
-110 best over price · 2 books
Kyler Murray's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5, best over price -110 across 2 books.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
Kyler Murray's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5
Kyler Murray's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5
Kyler Murray's rushing yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Rushing Yards 23.5
-114 best over price · 7 books
Kyler Murray's rushing yards line is 23.5, best over price -114 across 7 books.
Rushing Attempts 5.5
Kyler Murray's rushing attempts line is 5.5.
Betting angles
2 markets livePassing YardsNext game · Green Bay PackersO 174.5 -333
174.5posted line · passing yds
Kyler Murray has a live NFL passing yards market for Green Bay Packers: over 174.5 passing yds priced at -333.
Rushing YardsNext game · Green Bay PackersO 23.5 -114 23.5posted line · rushing yds
Kyler Murray has a live NFL rushing yards market for Green Bay Packers: over 23.5 rushing yds priced at -114.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Kyler Murray (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyler Murray is Over 39.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings on Sunday 13 September at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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