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NFL

Xavier Worthy

KC

Value call

Xavier Worthy has one live pick today: under 35.5 receiving yards that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
30.5 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.1% · before adjusting for past results 67.4% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +0.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Xavier Worthy
under 35.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 35.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Worthy is Under 35.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:45AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Worthy caught four of seven targets for 70 yards in Sunday's 30-27 win over the Raiders.
updated Oct 5, 1:04AM UTC · 9d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards67.4%54.1%53.5%1.97+13.9%

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AI Analysis

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Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs: Xavier Worthy Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Raiders' defense has shown they can be tough against the pass, allowing just over 214 yards per game last season. They have a solid way of stopping receivers, and Xavier Worthy might find it tricky to get those yards against them. The Raiders also let up about 116 yards rushing, which means teams often lean on their running game, possibly taking away chances in the air. On the other side, Worthy's chances of getting over 35.5 receiving yards aren't great when you consider how the Chiefs' offense has struggled at times. They've been moving the chains less frequently, which might limit his opportunities. With both teams having their challenges, betting on Worthy to stay under 35.5 receiving yards looks promising, even if it's not a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD12 lines trackedNo line posted
35%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked12

Xavier Worthy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 12 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 35%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · rushing yds
line range0.5–4.5model over57%tips tracked3

Xavier Worthy's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 0.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions35 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over55%tips tracked35

Xavier Worthy's NFL receptions prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards25 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–40.5model over96%tips tracked25

Xavier Worthy's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 25 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Xavier Worthy average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs Receiving Yards 40.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs Receptions (Alt) 3.5 Over +118 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs Receptions 3.5 Over +117 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Xavier Worthy (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Worthy is Under 35.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 4 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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