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The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Worthy is Yes on Anytime TD.
On the Anytime TD market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 36%, for a model edge of +14.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 2:25PM UTC
NFL

Xavier Worthy

KC

+14.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +180 (2.80) · $100→$280
+14.5% Edge
Washington Commanders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Worthy (shoulder) didn't practice Friday, Pete Sweeney of The Kansas City Star reports.
updated Aug 7, 3:45PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
35.7%
Model Edge
+14.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%35.7%1.99+14.5%

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AI Analysis

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Xavier Worthy (KC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data does not suggest a strong likelihood of Xavier Worthy scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game. His recent performance indicates that he is in a bit of a scoring slump, with no touchdowns in his last 5 games overall and at home. The hit rate for Worthy is also low with 8 touchdowns in 24 games overall and only 3 in 13 home games. His performance in the past 10 games is slightly better with 2 touchdowns, but still not impressive. The model's edge of 0.145 suggests there is a slight advantage in this bet, but considering Worthy's current hit streak of zero, the data suggests it's not highly likely that he will score a touchdown in the upcoming game against the Washington Commanders.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Xavier Worthy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
model over67%tips tracked1

Xavier Worthy's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Xavier Worthy (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Worthy is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.5% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Kansas City Chiefs at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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