Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Worthy is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 36%, for a model edge of +14.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NFL

Xavier Worthy

KC

+14.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +180 (2.80)
+14.5% Edge
Washington Commanders @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Coach Andy Reid noted Thursday that Worthy (shoulder) looked good at this week's minicamp, Jesse Newell of The Athletic reports.
updated Jun 12, 4:51PM UTC · 38d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
35.7%
Model Edge
+14.5%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—35.7%1.99+14.5%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Xavier Worthy (KC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+180)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data does not suggest a strong likelihood of Xavier Worthy scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game. His recent performance indicates that he is in a bit of a scoring slump, with no touchdowns in his last 5 games overall and at home. The hit rate for Worthy is also low with 8 touchdowns in 24 games overall and only 3 in 13 home games. His performance in the past 10 games is slightly better with 2 touchdowns, but still not impressive. The model's edge of 0.145 suggests there is a slight advantage in this bet, but considering Worthy's current hit streak of zero, the data suggests it's not highly likely that he will score a touchdown in the upcoming game against the Washington Commanders.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Xavier Worthy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
model over67%tips tracked1

Xavier Worthy's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Xavier Worthy (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Worthy is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.5% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Kansas City Chiefs at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks