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NFL

Xavier Worthy

KC

Value call

Xavier Worthy has one live pick today: over 19.5 receiving yards that pays $142 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
42.3 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.7% · before adjusting for past results 85.3% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap +8.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Xavier Worthy
over 19.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 19.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
Value call
HIGHWins about 79 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.20 Odds-238
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Worthy is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 79%, the price says 70%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 3:30PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Worthy caught three of six targets for 13 yards during Sunday's 28-24 loss to the Broncos.
updated Nov 2, 2:33AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)85.3%78.7%70.4%1.42+14.9%

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AI Analysis

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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Xavier Worthy Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-238)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Xavier Worthy needs to rack up over 19.5 receiving yards for this bet to win. He's been a solid target for the Denver Broncos, especially since their passing game has been more effective than their running game this season. The Broncos quarterback has been under pressure often, but Worthy still gets open, and that could help him get those yards easily. The Chiefs' defense has struggled against the pass lately, and they've given up quite a few yards to receivers. While the Broncos have a mixed track record against the line on grass, Worthy has shown he can step up in big moments. The biggest risk is that both teams are close in talent, so it could be a nail-biter.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD12 lines trackedNo line posted
35%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked12

Xavier Worthy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 12 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 35%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · rushing yds
line range0.5–4.5model over57%tips tracked3

Xavier Worthy's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 0.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions55 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over54%tips tracked55

Xavier Worthy's NFL receptions prop has been priced 55 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards56 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–59.5model over96%tips tracked56

Xavier Worthy's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 56 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Xavier Worthy average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receptions (Alt) 2.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receptions (Alt) 1.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Xavier Worthy (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Worthy is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.9% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos on Sunday 1 November at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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