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The latest Bet Better model pick for Efton Chism III is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:57PM UTC
NFL

Efton Chism III

NE

Value call

Efton Chism III has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $6,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer Yes +6500 (66.00) · $100→$6,600
Value call
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 1.3% · before adjusting for past results 13.4% · the book's price implies 1.5% · gap -0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Last Touchdown Scorer13.4%1.3%1.5%66.00+11.9%

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AI Analysis

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Efton Chism III (NE) Yes Player last td (+6500)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New England Patriots play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Efton Chism III (NE) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +6500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $660 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4

Efton Chism III's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Efton Chism III (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Efton Chism III is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots on Sunday 20 September at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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