On November 01, 2026 our model has run Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Over 20.5 Team Total Points (-111), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Over 20.5 Team Total Points (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Denver Broncos have been showing some spark lately, especially on offense. With their passing game improving, they should be able to score against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that has had its ups and downs. The Broncos need to hit over 20.5 points, and given their recent form, it feels like they have a good chance to do this at home.
The biggest risk here is the Chiefs' strong offense, which could put pressure on the Broncos to keep up. If the game turns into a shootout, Denver might struggle to find their rhythm. Still, with their recent improvement, betting on them to score over 20.5 points looks promising.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Emmett Johnson Over 8.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Denver Broncos are facing the Kansas City Chiefs at home, and it's a big game for both teams. Emmett Johnson has been getting more chances to run the ball, and with the way the Chiefs' defense has struggled against the run lately, this could be a great opportunity for him. The Broncos will want to establish their ground game early, especially since the Chiefs can put up points quickly.
While our numbers show this bet is pretty even, the main risk is that Johnson's role might change if the game gets out of hand. But if he gets the touches he needs, going over 8.5 rushing yards feels like a solid pick. Let's see if he can make it happen!
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Emmett Johnson Over 8.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Emmett Johnson has been showing promise in the Broncos' offense, and playing at home gives him a solid chance to shine. The Chiefs' defense has struggled against the run lately, which opens the door for Johnson to rack up some rushing yards.
This pick is rated close to a coin flip, which means it could go either way. The biggest worry is that the two teams are closely matched overall, making it tough to predict how the game will unfold. Still, with the right opportunities, Johnson could easily go over 8.5 rushing yards.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Xavier Worthy Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Xavier Worthy needs to catch more than 30.5 receiving yards tonight against the Kansas City Chiefs. He has shown he can be a reliable target, and the Chiefs' defense has been known to give up passing yards. With the Broncos playing at home, Worthy might get more opportunities to make big plays.
There's a good chance he hits this mark, especially if the game goes back and forth, as the Chiefs often score a lot. The biggest risk here is that both defenses are decent, so it might not be as easy as it seems. But Worthy has the skills to make it happen.
That is everything our model likes in this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.