Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derrick Henry is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 54%, implied 37%, edge +16.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:20PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 9.5
+168 (2.68) · $100→$268
+16.7% Edge
Houston Texans
@
Baltimore Ravens
No injury designationSeason pending
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How often this wins
54 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 54.0% · the book's price implies 37.3% · gap +16.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 54.0% | — | 37.3% | 1.85 | +16.7% |
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Derrick Henry (BAL) Over 9.5 Player reception yds alternate (+168)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards54 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–29.5model over53%tips tracked54
Derrick Henry's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 54 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions6 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–1.5tips tracked6
Derrick Henry's NFL receptions prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Derrick Henry (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derrick Henry is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.7% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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