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Derrick Henry

BAL

Value call

Derrick Henry has one live pick today: over 59.5 rushing yards that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
94 in 100
Predicted
84.7 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 94.2% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +19.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
Derrick Henry
over 59.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 59.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
HIGHWins about 94 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.40 Odds-294
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derrick Henry is Over 59.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 94 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 94%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 1:38AM UTC

Is Derrick Henry playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Derrick Henry is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Henry carried the ball 23 times for 73 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 24-18 win over the Titans. He also caught both his targets for six yards.
updated Oct 4, 10:39PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)94.2%—74.6%1.34+19.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens: Derrick Henry Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (-294)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Derrick Henry is playing against the Baltimore Ravens this week, and he's been on a roll lately. The Falcons are at home, which should give them a boost. Henry is a powerful runner, and with the Ravens' defense giving up some rushing yards, he has a good chance to break through. Our numbers really like him to go over 59.5 rushing yards. However, the Ravens are known for their tough defense, so it won't be a walk in the park. Still, Henry has a strong chance to get those yards if he finds the right holes. It should be an exciting matchup, and I think Henry can clear that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Derrick Henry's lines for Mon 12 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5

Derrick Henry's rushing yards (alt) line is 59.5.

Receptions (Alt) 2.5
+170 best over price · 12 books

Derrick Henry's receptions (alt) line is 2.5, best over price +170 across 12 books.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 69.5

Derrick Henry's rushing yards (alt) line is 69.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5

Derrick Henry's rushing yards (alt) line is 49.5.

Receptions (Alt) 3.5
+170 best over price · 12 books

Derrick Henry's receptions (alt) line is 3.5, best over price +170 across 12 books.

Receptions (Alt) 0.5
+170 best over price · 12 books

Derrick Henry's receptions (alt) line is 0.5, best over price +170 across 12 books.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5

Derrick Henry's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receiving Yards 5.5
-105 best over price · 6 books

Derrick Henry's receiving yards line is 5.5, best over price -105 across 6 books.

Betting angles

4 markets live
ReceptionsNext game · Atlanta FalconsO 2.5 +530
2.5posted line · receptions

Derrick Henry has a live NFL receptions market for Atlanta Falcons: over 2.5 receptions priced at +530.

Anytime TDNext game · Atlanta FalconsAnytime TD -141

Derrick Henry has a live NFL anytime td market for Atlanta Falcons priced at -141.

Receiving YardsNext game · Atlanta FalconsU 5.5 -112
5.5posted line · receiving yds

Derrick Henry has a live NFL receiving yards market for Atlanta Falcons: under 5.5 receiving yds priced at -112.

Rushing YardsNext game · Atlanta FalconsO 59.5 -294
59.5posted line · rushing yds

Derrick Henry has a live NFL rushing yards market for Atlanta Falcons: over 59.5 rushing yds priced at -294.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Rushing Attempts 19.5 Under -127 ✗ MISS
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Receptions 1.5 Over +154 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Rushing Yards 94.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Derrick Henry (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derrick Henry is Over 59.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons on Sunday 11 October at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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