Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derrick Henry is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On the Receiving Yards (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 54%, versus the book's implied 37%, for a model edge of +16.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL
Derrick Henry
BAL
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 9.5
+168 (2.68)
+16.7% Edge
![Away team]()
Houston Texans
@
![Home team]()
Baltimore Ravens
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Ravens coach Jesse Minter said Henry has "run every scheme throughout his career" but will still need to adjust to terminology changes under new offensive coordinator Declan Doyle, Jeff Zrebiec of The Athletic reports.
updated Jun 25, 1:22PM UTC · 25d old
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Implied Probability
37.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 54.0% | — | 37.3% | 1.85 | +16.7% |
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Derrick Henry (BAL) Over 9.5 Player reception yds alternate (+168)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards54 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–29.5model over53%tips tracked54
Derrick Henry's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 54 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions6 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–1.5tips tracked6
Derrick Henry's NFL receptions prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Derrick Henry (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derrick Henry is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.7% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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