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NFL

Noah Gray

KC

Value call

Noah Gray has one live pick today: under 17.5 receiving yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
19.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.0% · before adjusting for past results 62.9% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -3.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
Noah Gray
under 17.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 17.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.90 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Gray is Under 17.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 3:22AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Gray caught three passes on as many targets for 44 yards during Sunday's 20-3 loss to the Seahawks.
updated Oct 27, 12:55AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards62.9%49.0%52.9%2.00+10.0%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs: Noah Gray Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Noah Gray is up against a tough Seattle Seahawks defense that doesn't let many players rack up receiving yards. The Seahawks have been solid at home, and their defense has been known to keep tight coverage, especially against tight ends. With the pressure from the Seahawks, Gray may find it hard to get open for big plays. While our numbers give a good chance for this bet, it's worth noting that Gray could still have a few opportunities if Kansas City finds success moving the ball. The Chiefs' offense has been known to spread the ball around, which makes it tricky for any one player to shine. But with the way Seattle plays at home, keeping Gray under 17.5 receiving yards seems reasonable.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards123 lines trackedNo line posted
29.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over28%tips tracked123

Noah Gray's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 123 times, typically around a 29.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions50 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over12%tips tracked50

Noah Gray's NFL receptions prop has been priced 50 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD20 lines trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked20

Noah Gray's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 20 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Noah Gray average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Noah Gray (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Gray is Under 17.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.0% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 25 October at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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