Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Atlanta Falcons

Next game: the Falcons host the Ravens on Sunday 11 October. The market makes the Falcons about a 6 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $1.63. They have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 regular-season games. See the game preview

Won-lost2-2
At home0-1
Points a game24.0
Last 4LLWW
Next Game: vs Baltimore Ravens (Home) Sun 11 Oct, 8:20 PM ET Atlanta Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons
Baltimore Ravens
over 24.5 points
Over 24.5 Alternate Team Total Points
LONG-SHOT
Our numbers say this wins about 36 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $315 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$31.50 Odds+215
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 36% chance to land; the price says about 30%. That gap is why it made the board.

+15.0%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

The model picked today's free one for you. Unlock its full write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

Bet Better Unlock full analysis

$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet. Cancel anytime.

Model updated Oct 10, 8:10PM UTC
Answer
The Atlanta Falcons model is leaning the over in the Alternate Team Total Points market vs Baltimore Ravens.
the full numbers on every bet unlock with a subscription.

Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Team TotalWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total PointsWith Pro
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

Bet Better Unlock every game pick

Cancel anytime.

How the price moved

When prices opened: Falcons about 3 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. Moved toward Falcons since prices opened (from about 3 in 10 to about 6 in 10).

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Ravensabout 4 in 10$2.59 (+159)$2.50 (+150)
Falconsabout 6 in 10$1.63 (-159)$1.60 (-167)

On this game the bookies keep about $3.80 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 20 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Atlanta Falcons same game parlay

With Pro

Our model's same game parlay for Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons, Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET. 3 legs:

Derrick Henry · receptions
Bijan Robinson · rushing + receiving yards
Drake London · receiving yards

See each leg's pick, line and price, and what it pays, with Pro.

Unlock this parlay

Cancel anytime.

No parlay is a sure thing — longer combinations pay more exactly because they lose more often.

Falcons schedule and results, 2026

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotalGame
Sun 13 Sepat Pittsburgh SteelersL 13-20Missed (underdog by 6.5)Under 40.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Carolina PanthersL 3-34Missed (underdog by 2.5)Under 43.5Game page
Thu 24 Sepat Green Bay PackersW 35-14Covered (underdog by 4.5)Over 43.5Game page
Mon 5 Octat New Orleans SaintsW 45-24Covered (underdog by 1.5)Over 47.5Game page
Sun 11 Octvs Baltimore RavensUpcoming · 8:20 PM ET––Preview
Sun 18 Octvs Chicago BearsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 25 Octvs San Francisco 49ersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 1 Novat Tampa Bay BuccaneersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 8 Novvs Cincinnati BengalsUpcoming · 9:30 AM ET–––
Sun 15 Novvs Kansas City ChiefsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 29 Novat Minnesota VikingsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 6 Decvs Detroit LionsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 13 Decat Cleveland BrownsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 20 Decat Washington CommandersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 27 Decvs Tampa Bay BuccaneersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 3 Janvs New Orleans SaintsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 10 Janat Carolina PanthersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview

Spread and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Falcons cover the spread

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Falcons covered the spread in 9 of 17 games: 3 of 8 at home and 6 of 9 away. Their games went over the total 8 times in 17. So far in 2026: covered in 2 of 4, and over in 2 of 4.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
2026 (so far)0 of 12 of 32 of 40 of 12 of 32 of 4
20253 of 86 of 99 of 174 of 84 of 98 of 17
20243 of 93 of 86 of 173 of 94 of 87 of 17
20233 of 82 of 95 of 173 of 84 of 97 of 17
20224 of 9 (1 push)4 of 88 of 17 (1 push)4 of 93 of 87 of 17
20211 of 85 of 9 (1 push)6 of 17 (1 push)3 of 84 of 97 of 17
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the spread, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

What the Falcons defense gives up

  • Number 4 for most passing yards given up to quarterbacks this season: 277 a game.
  • Among the 5 fewest rushing yards given up to running backs this season: 49 a game.
  • Number 4 for most receiving yards given up to wide receivers this season: 195 a game.

See every NFL defense vs position

Falcons injuries

Updated 9 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Yasir AbdullahLBOutHamstringabout 18 Oct
Divine DeabloLBQuestionableHamstringabout 11 Oct
Jake MatthewsOTQuestionableGroinabout 11 Oct
Samson EbukamDEQuestionableHamstringabout 11 Oct
Za'Darius SmithDEQuestionableConcussionabout 11 Oct

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Roof
Closed
Surface
Turf
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Indoor venue — wind and temperature are not a factor.
Season-pending — reflects the most recent scheduled home fixture on file, not necessarily a live upcoming game.

Betting angles

1 market live
Moneylinevs Baltimore RavensNo line posted

Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point Spreadvs Baltimore RavensNo line posted

Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsGame totalOver 43.5 -114
60%over %

Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Questions about the Falcons

When do the Falcons play next?

The Falcons host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday 11 October 2026.

How often do the Falcons cover the spread?

In the 2025 regular season the Falcons covered the spread in 9 of 17 games: 3 of 8 at home and 6 of 9 away. So far in 2026: covered in 2 of 4.

How often do Falcons games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Falcons games went over the total 8 times in 17. So far in 2026: over in 2 of 4.

Who is injured for the Falcons?

5 players are on the injury list as of 9 October: Yasir Abdullah (hamstring), Divine Deablo (hamstring), Jake Matthews (groin), Samson Ebukam (hamstring), Za'Darius Smith (concussion).

Where can I see the Falcons' next game preview?

Bet Better's Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Atlanta Falcons are tracked by the Bet Better model across NFL games. Their next game is against Baltimore Ravens on Sunday 11 October. Use the data above to inform your NFL betting decisions for Atlanta Falcons.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.