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The latest Bet Better model pick for Greg Dortch is Under 15.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 60%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +7.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL

Greg Dortch

ARI

+7.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 15.5 -110 (1.91)
+7.6% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
59.9%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Model Edge
+7.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards59.9%52.4%1.67+7.6%

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AI Analysis

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Greg Dortch (ARI) Under 15.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

It's advisable to bet on Greg Dortch for Under 15.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market, when the Arizona Cardinals host the Seattle Seahawks. The main reason for this is Dortch's recent performance, showing a lack of consistency. He has not hit this mark in his last three or five games overall, and his overall hit rate is less than half (18/40). His performance at home is also not encouraging, missing this mark in his last three and five out of his last ten home games. Although his performance against the Seahawks (4/4) and specifically at home against the Seahawks (3/3) is perfect, it's important to consider the overall trend, which suggests he's struggling to maintain the 15.5 yard threshold. Therefore, the under bet seems to be a safer choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
15.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1

Greg Dortch's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 15.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Greg Dortch (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Greg Dortch is Under 15.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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