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NFL

Greg Dortch

BUF

Value call

Greg Dortch has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,800 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.8% · before adjusting for past results 17.0% · the book's price implies 5.6% · gap +3.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Greg Dortch
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1700 (18.00) · $100→$1,800
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$180.00 Odds+1700
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Greg Dortch is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 10:43AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Dortch went without a target while logging four of the Bills' 82 snaps on offense in Sunday's 36-10 win over the Ravens. He returned one kickoff for 22 yards and three punts for 40 yards.
updated Nov 2, 3:08PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD17.0%8.8%5.6%18.00+11.5%

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AI Analysis

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Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens: Greg Dortch Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1700)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Greg Dortch to score a touchdown are pretty tempting at +1700. Our numbers suggest he has a decent chance, especially since the Bills' offense has been better at passing than running. With their quarterback seeing a lot of extra rushers, it might create openings for Dortch to make a play in the end zone. On the flip side, the Ravens' defense can be tough, and they've been more effective on artificial turf than grass. Still, with the Bills favoring the pass and Dortch being an outsider at these odds, it feels like a shot worth taking. Just remember, the Ravens might put up a strong fight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
15.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1

Greg Dortch's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 15.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD21 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked21

Greg Dortch's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 21 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
17 Sep 26 Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Greg Dortch (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Greg Dortch is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.5% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills on Sunday 1 November at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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