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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyren Williams is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 52%, implied 50%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:28PM UTC
NFL

Kyren Williams

LA

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 9.5 +102 (2.02) · $100→$202
+2.3% Edge
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Williams has been consistently finding holes through the defense at training camp, Brock Vierra of Rams Wire reports.
updated Aug 12, 1:49AM UTC · 18d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
52 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 51.8% · the book's price implies 49.5% · gap +2.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)51.8%49.5%1.93+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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Kyren Williams (LA) Over 9.5 Player reception yds alternate (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Kyren Williams to go over 9.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market is risky given his recent performance. Overall, Williams' hit rate is less than 40% (17/43), and his recent performances have been disappointing with no successful hits in the last five games. His hit rate at home is also less than 50% (9/21). However, there are a few positives in Williams' favor. He has a perfect hit rate in his last two games versus San Francisco at home, suggesting he performs well against this specific opponent in his home stadium. His overall hit rate against San Francisco is also strong (2/3). In conclusion, while Williams' recent form and home performances indicate this bet is risky, his strong record against San Francisco, especially at home, suggests there may be value in betting on him to surpass 9.5 reception yards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–24.5model over42%tips tracked9

Kyren Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · rushing yds
line range19.5–57.5model over99%tips tracked12

Kyren Williams's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 19.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kyren Williams (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyren Williams is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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