Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyren Williams is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 17%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 7:06PM UTC
NFL
Kyren Williams
LA
Kyren Williams has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+500 (6.00) · $100→$600
Value call
New York Giants
@
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles · Indoor
Tue 22 Sep, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 349 of 542 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 7.1% · before adjusting for past results 23.6% · the book's price implies 16.7% · gap -9.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 23.6% | 7.1% | 16.7% | 6.00 | +6.9% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Kyren Williams (LA) Yes Player last td (+500)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play New York Giants in the NFL on Tuesday 22 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kyren Williams (LA) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Kyren Williams's lines for Tue 22 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Kyren Williams's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Kyren Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Receptions (Alt) 6.5
+130 best over price · 12 books
Kyren Williams's receptions (alt) line is 6.5, best over price +130 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 5.5
+130 best over price · 12 books
Kyren Williams's receptions (alt) line is 5.5, best over price +130 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 1.5
+130 best over price · 12 books
Kyren Williams's receptions (alt) line is 1.5, best over price +130 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 69.5
Kyren Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 69.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5
Kyren Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Kyren Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · New York Giants @ Los Angeles RamsO 39.5 +490 39.5posted line · receiving yds
Kyren Williams has a live NFL receiving yards market for New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams: over 39.5 receiving yds priced at +490.
ReceptionsNext game · New York Giants @ Los Angeles RamsO 1.5 -250 1.5posted line · receptions
Kyren Williams has a live NFL receptions market for New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams: over 1.5 receptions priced at -250.
Rushing Yards88 lines trackedNo line posted 24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range19.5–57.5model over98%tips tracked88
Kyren Williams's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 88 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 11 Sep 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
39.5 |
Over |
-313 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Sep 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
29.5 |
Over |
-667 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Sep 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-1250 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Sep 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Sep 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Sep 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Kyren Williams (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyren Williams is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams on Tuesday 22 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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