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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyren Williams is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On the Receiving Yards (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 52%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NFL

Kyren Williams

LA

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 9.5 +102 (2.02)
+2.3% Edge
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Following the Rams' offseason program, Williams and Blake Corum remain atop the RB depth chart, as was the case last season, Stu Jackson of the team's official site reports.
updated Jun 24, 5:17PM UTC · 26d old
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Model Probability
51.8%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+2.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)51.8%49.5%1.93+2.3%

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AI Analysis

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Kyren Williams (LA) Over 9.5 Player reception yds alternate (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Kyren Williams to go over 9.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market is risky given his recent performance. Overall, Williams' hit rate is less than 40% (17/43), and his recent performances have been disappointing with no successful hits in the last five games. His hit rate at home is also less than 50% (9/21). However, there are a few positives in Williams' favor. He has a perfect hit rate in his last two games versus San Francisco at home, suggesting he performs well against this specific opponent in his home stadium. His overall hit rate against San Francisco is also strong (2/3). In conclusion, while Williams' recent form and home performances indicate this bet is risky, his strong record against San Francisco, especially at home, suggests there may be value in betting on him to surpass 9.5 reception yards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–24.5model over42%tips tracked9

Kyren Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kyren Williams (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyren Williams is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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