Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:03PM UTC
NFL
Aaron Rodgers
PIT
Aaron Rodgers has one live pick today: Anytime TD Yes that pays $1,700 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+1600 (17.00) · $100→$1,700
Value call
Cincinnati Bengals
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Rodgers completed 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, no touchdowns and one interception in Sunday's 20-3 loss to the Patriots. He also rushed once for five yards and fumbled twice, losing one.
updated Sep 20, 9:30PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
11 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 10.7% · the book's price implies 5.9% · gap +4.8%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 10.7% | — | 5.9% | 17.00 | +4.8% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Aaron Rodgers (PIT) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1600)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Steelers play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Rodgers (PIT) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +1600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $170 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Aaron Rodgers's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+950 best over price · 1 book
Aaron Rodgers's anytime td line is posted, best over price +950 across 1 book.
Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5
Aaron Rodgers's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5
Aaron Rodgers's passing yards (alt) line is 179.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5
Aaron Rodgers's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Aaron Rodgers's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 1.5
Aaron Rodgers's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 1.5.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 0.5
Aaron Rodgers's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 0.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5
Aaron Rodgers's passing yards (alt) line is 169.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveAnytime TDNext game · Cincinnati BengalsAnytime TD +1600
Aaron Rodgers has a live NFL anytime td market for Cincinnati Bengals priced at +1600.
Passing YardsNext game · Cincinnati BengalsO 174.5 -385
174.5posted line · passing yds
Aaron Rodgers has a live NFL passing yards market for Cincinnati Bengals: over 174.5 passing yds priced at -385.
Rushing Yards17 lines trackedNo line posted 0.5typical line · rushing yds
line range0.5–0.5model over57%tips tracked17
Aaron Rodgers's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 17 times, typically around a 0.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
174.5 |
Over |
-278 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Pass + Rush Yards |
218.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
159.5 |
Over |
-588 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Interceptions Thrown |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Aaron Rodgers (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 27 September at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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