Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns.
On Passing Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 65%, implied 62%, edge +3.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 12:59AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Passing Touchdowns
Under 1.5
-161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+3.5% Edge
Atlanta Falcons
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Rodgers isn't in uniform for Thursday's preseason contest at Buffalo, Alan Saunders of SteelersNow.com reports.
updated Aug 27, 10:22PM UTC · 3d old
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How often this wins
65 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 65.2% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +3.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Touchdowns | 65.2% | — | 61.7% | 1.53 | +3.5% |
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Aaron Rodgers (PIT) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-161)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Steelers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Rodgers (PIT) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Aaron Rodgers (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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