Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Aaron Rodgers

PIT

Value call

Aaron Rodgers has one live pick today: over 179.5 passing yards that pays $128 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
97 in 100
Predicted
242.9 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 96.6% · before adjusting for past results 98.0% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +18.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Aaron Rodgers
over 179.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt) Over 179.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
Value call
HIGHWins about 97 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.80 Odds-357
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Over 179.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 97 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 97%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 4:47PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Rodgers completed 13 of 25 passes for 172 yards with no touchdowns and one interception in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.
updated Nov 2, 2:43AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards (Alt)98.0%96.6%78.1%1.28+19.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns: Aaron Rodgers Over 179.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-357)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Pittsburgh Steelers are taking on the Cleveland Browns at home, and Aaron Rodgers is looking strong as he leads the offense. With his experience and skill, he has a good chance to rack up passing yards against a Browns defense that has struggled at times. The odds show that our numbers really like this pick, making it a strong favorite. The biggest risk here is that both teams are pretty evenly matched, so things can change quickly. Still, with Rodgers in the game and the Steelers playing at home, it feels like he'll clear 179.5 passing yards. It's a bet worth considering.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Passing Yards291 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–249.5model over97%tips tracked291

Aaron Rodgers's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 291 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards57 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · rushing yds
line range0.5–29.5model over58%tips tracked57

Aaron Rodgers's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 57 times, typically around a 0.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD34 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked34

Aaron Rodgers's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 34 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Aaron Rodgers average?How many rushing yards does Aaron Rodgers average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Passing Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Aaron Rodgers (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Over 179.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 1 November at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.