Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ameer Abdullah is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 18 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 18%, the price says 11%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:55PM UTC
NFL
Ameer Abdullah
JAX
Ameer Abdullah has one live pick today: Anytime TD Yes that pays $950 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+850 (9.50) · $100→$950
Value call
New England Patriots
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Abdullah carried the ball three times for 11 yards and caught his only target for two yards during Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Broncos.
updated Sep 23, 3:47AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
18 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 17.6% · the book's price implies 10.5% · gap +7.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 17.6% | — | 10.5% | 9.50 | +7.0% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Ameer Abdullah (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+850)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ameer Abdullah (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +850 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $95 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Ameer Abdullah's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+850 best over price · 14 books
Ameer Abdullah's anytime td line is posted, best over price +850 across 14 books.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Ameer Abdullah's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Ameer Abdullah's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · New England Patriots @ Jacksonville JaguarsAnytime TD +850
Ameer Abdullah has a live NFL anytime td market for New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars priced at +850.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Ameer Abdullah (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ameer Abdullah is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.0% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 27 September at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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