Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Mayer is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 19%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 29, 6:13PM UTC
NFL
Michael Mayer
LV
Michael Mayer has one live pick today: Anytime TD Yes that pays $520 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+420 (5.20) · $100→$520
Value call
Kansas City Chiefs
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 491 of 840 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Mayer caught all three of his targets for 32 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 35-27 win over the Saints.
updated Sep 28, 12:55AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
32 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 31.7% · the book's price implies 19.2% · gap +12.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 31.7% | — | 19.2% | 5.20 | +12.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Michael Mayer (LV) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+420)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Michael Mayer (LV) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +420 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Michael Mayer's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+450 best over price · 11 books
Michael Mayer's anytime td line is posted, best over price +450 across 11 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersAnytime TD +420
Michael Mayer has a live NFL anytime td market for Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders priced at +420.
Receptions35 lines trackedNo line posted 2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5model over59%tips tracked35
Michael Mayer's NFL receptions prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards33 lines trackedNo line posted 39.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–59.5model over31%tips tracked33
Michael Mayer's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 33 times, typically around a 39.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders |
Receiving Yards |
40.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders |
Receiving Yards |
39.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
29.5 |
Over |
+225 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Michael Mayer (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Mayer is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.5% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 4 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.