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Today's EPL Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Match

Every EPL match coming up, graded and ranked best first. All 20 are below, top pick free.

20 matches coming up, and the first pick of every match is free

Best EPL bet today: Leeds United at Arsenal: Leeds United Spread 1.5 at -122, lean confidence. As Arsenal prepares to host Leeds United, it's worth noting the Gunners' impeccable home form, boasting a perfect five wins in their last five matches, averaging two goals and conceding only 0.2. 20 games on the board.

The one we'd back first · Leeds United v Arsenal
Leeds United at Arsenal: Leeds United Spread 1.5 -122
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.3%
$50 returns$91.00
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each game below
Leeds United v ArsenalLEE v ARS Leeds United at Arsenal: Leeds United Spread 1.5 Lean54% chance -122
Fulham v Ipswich TownFUL v IPS Fulham at Ipswich Town: Fulham Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Fulham_NA High61% chance -112
Brighton and Hove Albion v SunderlandBrighton and Hove Albion v Sunderland Brighton and Hove Albion at Sunderland: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA Lean44% chance +130
Bournemouth v ChelseaBOU v CHE Bournemouth at Chelsea: Bournemouth Spread 0.75 Lean55% chance -141
Brentford v Aston VillaBRE v AVL Brentford at Aston Villa: Aston Villa Spread 0.5 High62% chance -204
Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester UnitedTOT v MUN Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United: Tottenham Hotspur Spread 3.5 High92% chance -2500
Everton v Hull CityEVE v HUL Everton at Hull City: Under Total Goals 3.5 High92% chance -385
Nottingham Forest v Crystal PalaceNOT v CRY Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace: Nottingham Forest Spread 2.5 High94% chance -3333
Manchester City v LiverpoolMCI v LIV Manchester City at Liverpool: Manchester City Spread 0 Lean55% chance -141
Newcastle United v Coventry CityNEW v COV Newcastle United at Coventry City: Under Total Goals 2.5 Lean53% chance +124
Chelsea v EvertonCHE v EVE Chelsea at Everton: Under Total Goals 3.5 High67% chance -208
Hull City v FulhamHUL v FUL Hull City at Fulham: Hull City Spread 2.5 High98% chance -714
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
108 more picks on the board
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EPLLEE vs. ARS 2026-10-10 11:30
vs.
Home Arsenal
Last 5Leeds UnitedDWDDWArsenalLWWWW
Full preview: Leeds United at Arsenal →
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Leeds United at Arsenal: Leeds United Spread 1.5
Chance to win 54.3%
The price says 50.5%
Best price -122

Arsenal vs Leeds United: Leeds United +1.5 Goal Handicap (-122)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Arsenal prepares to host Leeds United, it's worth noting the Gunners' impeccable home form, boasting a perfect five wins in their last five matches, averaging two goals and conceding only 0.2. However, Leeds has shown resilience, particularly in their recent away games, where they’ve managed to score an average of 1 goal while holding opponents to 1.4. Despite Leeds' struggles against Arsenal historically—five losses in their last five meetings—their recent form suggests they can at least keep it close. With Arsenal's relentless attacking style generating a staggering 15.6 shots per home game, Leeds will need to tighten their defense, which has averaged just 1.2 goals against on the road. Taking Leeds with a 1.5 handicap offers a safety net against a potential narrow loss, capitalizing on their ability to challenge a formidable Arsenal side that might overlook them. Expect a fierce clash where Leeds can surprise.

Leeds United at Arsenal · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 44.2%
Leeds United at Arsenal · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 18.3%
Leeds United at Arsenal · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 18.3%
Leeds United at Arsenal · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 12.4%
Leeds United at Arsenal · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 54.7%
EPLFUL vs. IPS 2026-10-10 14:00
Fulham Away
vs.
Last 5FulhamDDLLLIpswich TownLWLLW
Full preview: Fulham at Ipswich Town →
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Fulham at Ipswich Town: Fulham Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Fulham_NA
Chance to win 61.4%
The price says 50.9%
Best price -112

Ipswich Town vs Fulham: Fulham Draw No Bet (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Ipswich Town hosts Fulham, the stage is set for an intriguing clash. Recent form indicates that while Ipswich has been strong at home, they’ve struggled against Fulham, losing both of their last two encounters. Ipswich’s home record shows a respectable 3-0-2 in their last five, but they’ve conceded an average of 1.2 goals at home, which plays into Fulham’s hands. Fulham, although they’ve had a rocky away run, averaging a meager 0.2 goals in their last five, are due for a breakout. Their attacking stats, notably an average of 16.2 shots per game, suggest they’re creating opportunities, even if the finishing has been lacking. With the stakes high and Ipswich's defense vulnerable, betting on Fulham via the Draw No Bet market feels promising. Their history against Ipswich, combined with the latter's recent defensive lapses, sets the stage for a favorable outcome.

Fulham at Ipswich Town · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 51.4%
Fulham at Ipswich Town · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 37.9%
Fulham at Ipswich Town · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 37.9%
Fulham at Ipswich Town · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 53.4%
Fulham at Ipswich Town · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 59.0%
EPL vs. SUN 2026-10-10 14:00
Last 5SunderlandLLDWL
Full preview: Brighton and Hove Albion at Sunderland →
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Brighton and Hove Albion at Sunderland: No Both Teams to Score btts_No_NA
Chance to win 44.3%
The price says 41.2%
Best price +130

Sunderland vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Both Teams To Score: No (+130)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Sunderland welcomes Brighton, the trends suggest a cautious approach to the scoreboard. Sunderland's recent home form has been underwhelming, averaging just 0.6 goals at the Stadium of Light, while conceding 1.6. Their overall attack has been lackluster, reflected by an xG of zero in their last five games, meaning they’re struggling to create quality chances. Brighton, on the other hand, hasn't been overly prolific either, and Sunderland’s defensive setup could stifle their attack. With both teams not lighting up the scoreboards lately, the likelihood of a 0-0 or a low-scoring affair seems quite plausible. The stats tell a story of a match where defenses might shine brighter than the attacks, making a "No" on both teams scoring a compelling angle as they battle for crucial points.

Brighton and Hove Albion at Sunderland · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 34.1%
Brighton and Hove Albion at Sunderland · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 34.1%
Brighton and Hove Albion at Sunderland · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 46.8%
Brighton and Hove Albion at Sunderland · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 95.3%
EPLBOU vs. CHE 2026-10-10 14:00
vs.
Home Chelsea
Last 5ChelseaLDLWW
Full preview: Bournemouth at Chelsea →
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Bournemouth at Chelsea: Bournemouth Spread 0.75
Chance to win 55.2%
The price says 52.8%
Best price -141

Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Bournemouth +0.75 Goal Handicap (-141)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Chelsea prepares to host Bournemouth, the narrative of form and resilience leans towards the visitors. Chelsea's recent home record shows a shaky 2-1-2, struggling to find consistent form. Their last five encounters against Bournemouth also paint a concerning picture, with Chelsea only managing to win twice. On the flip side, Bournemouth, despite their own mixed results, have shown a tenacity that could exploit Chelsea’s defensive vulnerabilities. With an average of 1.4 goals scored away from home and a respectable 1.2 goals conceded, they’ve demonstrated the ability to keep things competitive. Considering Chelsea’s average xG and the fact they’ve only netted 1.8 goals at home recently, backing Bournemouth with a 0.75 handicap feels promising. The Cherries are hungry for points, and with a bit of attacking flair, they could very well pull off a result that’s more than just respectable.

Bournemouth at Chelsea · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 32.1%
Bournemouth at Chelsea · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 55.6%
Bournemouth at Chelsea · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 90.7%
Bournemouth at Chelsea · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.1%
Bournemouth at Chelsea · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.1%
Bournemouth at Chelsea · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 22.7%
Bournemouth at Chelsea · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 22.7%
Bournemouth at Chelsea · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 34.0%
EPLBRE vs. AVL 2026-10-10 14:00
Brentford Away
vs.
Last 5BrentfordWDDDWAston VillaWLDLL
Full preview: Brentford at Aston Villa →
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Brentford at Aston Villa: Aston Villa Spread 0.5
Chance to win 62.4%
The price says 60.7%
Best price -204

Aston Villa vs Brentford: Aston Villa +0.5 Goal Handicap (-204)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

When Aston Villa hosts Brentford, the momentum swings heavily in Villa's favor. Despite a mixed home record, they’ve shown resilience, especially with two home wins in the last five outings. That contrasts sharply with Brentford, who’ve struggled on the road, losing four of their last five away matches. Villa’s attacking stats suggest potential; they average 9.6 shots at home, hinting at an ability to create chances, even if their recent scoring hasn't reflected it. Meanwhile, Brentford's away form showcases a concerning average of just 1 goal scored per match. With Aston Villa boasting a decent historical edge against Brentford, including two wins in their last five meetings, the 0.5 handicap feels quite favorable. Expect Villa to clinch this one, making it a smart bet to back them to win by at least a goal.

Brentford at Aston Villa · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 49.7%
Brentford at Aston Villa · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 36.0%
Brentford at Aston Villa · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 36.0%
Brentford at Aston Villa · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 88.9%
Brentford at Aston Villa · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 95.0%
EPLTOT vs. MUN 2026-10-10 16:30
Full preview: Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United →
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Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United: Tottenham Hotspur Spread 3.5
Chance to win 92.3%
The price says 88.5%
Best price -2500

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur +3.5 Goal Handicap (-2500)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Manchester United prepares to host Tottenham, recent trends reveal a compelling narrative. United's home form has shown some inconsistency, with a mixed bag of results (2-1-2) in their last five. Despite averaging 2.6 goals at home, they've been vulnerable, conceding 1.6. Meanwhile, Spurs, though struggling of late, possess a solid record against United, going 2-2-1 in their last five encounters. When looking at expected goals, both teams have floundered recently, with United posting an xG of just 0 at home in their last five, while Spurs have averaged a mere 0.2 away. Yet, with a better defensive record, Spurs can capitalize on United's shaky backline. Given the stakes and Spurs' ability to grind out results, backing Tottenham with a +3.5 handicap appears prudent, particularly as they could exploit United’s defensive frailties in what promises to be a tightly contested match.

Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 92.6%
Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 36.1%
Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 22.1%
Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 22.1%
Tottenham Hotspur at Manchester United · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 38.3%
EPLEVE vs. HUL 2026-10-11 13:00
Everton Away
vs.
Home Hull City
Last 5EvertonWDDDWHull CityLDDWW
Full preview: Everton at Hull City →
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Everton at Hull City: Under Total Goals 3.5
Chance to win 91.5%
The price says 75.6%
Best price -385

Hull City vs Everton: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-385)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Hull City prepares to host Everton, all signs point toward a low-scoring affair. Hull has been a fortress at home, showcasing a remarkable defensive record, allowing just 0.2 goals per match in their last five home games. They’ve averaged only 1 goal themselves, meaning they’re not exactly lighting up the scoreboard either. Everton, on the other hand, is struggling on the road, scoring just 0.8 goals per game away from home. In their last five matches, both teams have produced minimal expected goals, with Hull and Everton averaging an xG of 0 in their recent outings. With Hull’s defensive solidity and Everton's attacking woes, betting on under 3.5 total goals seems prudent. Given Hull's recent form and Everton's lack of firepower, it’s hard to envision more than three goals in this matchup.

Everton at Hull City · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 27.8%
Everton at Hull City · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 27.8%
Everton at Hull City · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 13.6%
Everton at Hull City · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 92.4%
EPLNOT vs. CRY 2026-10-11 13:00
Full preview: Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace →
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Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace: Nottingham Forest Spread 2.5
Chance to win 94.3%
The price says 89.7%
Best price -3333

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +2.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Crystal Palace hosts Nottingham Forest, the trends tell a compelling story. Palace is struggling at home, boasting a dismal record of just one win in their last five, and their lack of attacking prowess is evident—they average a meager 1.4 goals per game while conceding 2.6. In stark contrast, Forest, despite their own challenges, have shown resilience on the road, scoring an impressive 2.8 goals per game in their last five away matches. With Palace failing to find the net consistently, their expected goals (xG) have plummeted, while Forest, although inconsistent, have managed to find the back of the net more often. Plus, the historical matchup favors Nottingham, who’s won four of the last five encounters. Given these dynamics, a bet on Nottingham Forest with a 2.5 handicap seems prudent, as they seem well-equipped to exploit Palace's vulnerabilities and secure a commanding win.

Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 89.7%
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 49.6%
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 93.6%
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 27.8%
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 27.8%
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 35.7%
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 35.7%
Nottingham Forest at Crystal Palace · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 72.0%
EPLMCI vs. LIV 2026-10-11 15:30
vs.
Home Liverpool
Show Picks
Manchester City at Liverpool: Manchester City Spread 0
Chance to win 54.6%
The price says 52.8%
Best price -141

Liverpool vs Manchester City: Manchester City +0 Goal Handicap (-141)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Liverpool welcomes Manchester City, the dynamics suggest a compelling edge for the visitors. While Liverpool has suffered lately, managing only one win in their last five home matches, City has been a dominant force, going 4-0-1 in their last five overall. Their away scoring average of 2 goals per game, compared to Liverpool's struggle to find the back of the net with an average of just 1.4 at home, highlights the disparity. City's xG metrics, though void of numbers in the last five, still reflect their attacking prowess, allowing them to consistently create chances. With Liverpool’s defensive challenges—conceding an average of 1 goal at home—City looks poised to capitalize. Opting for Manchester City at a handicap of 0 seems like the smart play, as their recent form and head-to-head history against Liverpool suggest they’ll at least secure a draw, if not more.

Manchester City at Liverpool · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 53.2%
Manchester City at Liverpool · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 40.2%
Manchester City at Liverpool · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 40.2%
Manchester City at Liverpool · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 92.6%
Manchester City at Liverpool · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 62.2%
Manchester City at Liverpool · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 37.5%
Manchester City at Liverpool · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.5%
Manchester City at Liverpool · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.5%
EPLNEW vs. COV 2026-10-12 19:00
Show Picks
Newcastle United at Coventry City: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 52.9%
The price says 42.6%
Best price +124

Coventry City vs Newcastle United: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+124)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Coventry City prepares to host Newcastle United, both teams seem to be struggling to find their scoring touch. Coventry’s recent form shows a dismal average of just 0.8 goals per game over their last five, which starkly contrasts their opponents’ modest 1.4. The Sky Blues have been particularly ineffective at home, averaging 1.6 goals but also conceding the same amount. What stands out is the lack of creative spark; Coventry’s xG numbers have plummeted to nearly zero, illustrating their struggles in generating meaningful chances. Newcastle, while slightly more productive, has also faltered with away stats revealing just 0.8 goals scored. With defensive efforts rising on both sides, this encounter feels like a cagey affair. Given the trends and the pressure on both lineups, betting on under 2.5 goals looks like the savvy play here.

Newcastle United at Coventry City · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 84.6%
EPLCHE vs. EVE 2026-10-17 11:30
Chelsea Away
vs.
Home Everton
Show Picks
Chelsea at Everton: Under Total Goals 3.5
Chance to win 67.4%
The price says 64.4%
Best price -208

Everton vs Chelsea: Under 3.5 Total Goals (-208)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Everton prepares to host Chelsea, the stage is set for a match where goals might be at a premium. Recent form suggests both teams have struggled to find the net consistently. Everton has averaged just one goal over their last five matches, while Chelsea’s away form has seen them score only 1.2 per game. The numbers tell a similar story when we look at expected goals; both sides have been underwhelming in their xG, indicating a lack of clear-cut chances. Moreover, Everton's home matches have been gritty affairs with an average of just 1.8 goals scored at Goodison Park. With Chelsea also featuring a defense that can be resolute, it’s reasonable to expect a tightly contested match that stays under 3.5 goals. The recent trends and stats align beautifully to suggest a low-scoring affair, making the 'Under' a compelling bet.

Chelsea at Everton · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 76.2%
Chelsea at Everton · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 43.0%
Chelsea at Everton · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 39.4%
Chelsea at Everton · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 89.7%
Chelsea at Everton · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.5%
Chelsea at Everton · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.5%
Chelsea at Everton · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 33.0%
Chelsea at Everton · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 33.0%
EPLHUL vs. FUL 2026-10-17 14:00
Hull City Away
vs.
Home Fulham
Show Picks
Hull City at Fulham: Hull City Spread 2.5
Chance to win 97.7%
The price says 81.1%
Best price -714

Fulham vs Hull City: Hull City +2.5 Goal Handicap (-714)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

When Fulham faces Hull City, the dynamics favor the visitors significantly. Recent form reveals Hull's resilience, with an impressive away record of 3 wins in their last 5 matches, showcasing their ability to score 1.6 goals on average while conceding just 1.2. In contrast, Fulham has struggled at home, managing only 1.4 goals per game with a lack of creativity, averaging just 5.2 shots on target in their last five home fixtures. Notably, Hull's previous encounters against Fulham have been favorable, winning their last two matchups. With the current xG numbers hinting at Hull's offensive edge and Fulham's defensive vulnerabilities, backing Hull with a 2.5 handicap seems sensible. Expect Hull to capitalize on Fulham's shaky home form, potentially leading to a decisive victory that covers the line comfortably. This matchup is ripe for Hull to shine.

Hull City at Fulham · Total Goals 4.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 81.3%
Hull City at Fulham · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 23.3%
Hull City at Fulham · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 23.3%
EPLIPS vs. MCI 2026-10-17 14:00
Show Picks
Ipswich Town at Manchester City: Manchester City Spread -2
Chance to win 57.3%
The price says 47.2%
Best price -110

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town: Manchester City -2 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Manchester City prepares to host Ipswich Town, the gulf in quality is palpable. City’s recent home form is nothing short of dominant, racking up four wins in their last five at the Etihad, averaging 2 goals while conceding just 0.6. Their attacking prowess is underscored by a staggering 16.8 shots per game at home, ensuring they’re frequently on the scoreboard. Conversely, Ipswich arrives with an away record that shows vulnerability. Despite a decent run, their last two meetings against City ended in defeat, and they’ve struggled to contain the Cityzens' relentless offense. With City’s expected goals (xG) consistently high and Ipswich's defense looking shaky, backing Manchester City to win by at least two goals seems not just logical, but a likely outcome. This matchup is set for a showcase of City's firepower, and -2 on the handicap looks like a savvy play.

Ipswich Town at Manchester City · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 48.0%
Ipswich Town at Manchester City · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 77.2%
Ipswich Town at Manchester City · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 77.2%
Ipswich Town at Manchester City · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 91.1%
Ipswich Town at Manchester City · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 48.1%
EPLLIV vs. BRE 2026-10-17 14:00
Liverpool Away
vs.
Home Brentford
Show Picks
Liverpool at Brentford: Liverpool Spread 2.5
Chance to win 92.2%
The price says 88.5%
Best price -2500

Brentford vs Liverpool: Liverpool +2.5 Goal Handicap (-2500)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Brentford welcomes Liverpool, the gulf in form and quality is evident. The Bees have struggled at home recently, with just one win in their last five, while Liverpool seems to have found their rhythm, even amidst mixed results. Their away performance shows a solid scoring average of 2 goals per game, compared to Brentford's lackluster home score of 1.8. Brentford’s xG has stagnated, reflecting their limited attacking threat, while Liverpool’s front line is primed to exploit any defensive lapses. With Liverpool’s impressive record against Brentford, winning three of their last five encounters, the Reds appear well-positioned to cover the 2.5 handicap. Given their attacking prowess and Brentford's defensive vulnerabilities, backing Liverpool to secure a comprehensive victory feels like a wise investment. It’s hard not to see Liverpool flexing their muscles in this matchup.

Liverpool at Brentford · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 59.9%
Liverpool at Brentford · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 35.3%
Liverpool at Brentford · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 51.8%
Liverpool at Brentford · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.2%
Liverpool at Brentford · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.2%
EPLAVL vs. NEW 2026-10-17 16:30
Show Picks
Aston Villa at Newcastle United: Aston Villa Spread 3.5
Chance to win 95.7%
The price says 90.7%
Best price -5000

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: Aston Villa +3.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Newcastle United hosts Aston Villa, the latter is looking to capitalize on their recent form against a home side struggling defensively. Despite having a respectable home scoring average of 2.2 goals, Newcastle’s recent performances reveal a concerning trend, allowing an average of 1.6 goals at St. James' Park during their last five home games. Villa, while not prolific, has a solid head-to-head record against Newcastle, winning 2 of their last 5 encounters. The xG numbers further bolster this narrative; both teams are underperforming offensively, but Villa’s ability to keep things tight could play a pivotal role. With Newcastle’s shaky defense and Villa’s knack for exploiting weaknesses, betting on Aston Villa with a 3.5 handicap seems a compelling bet, especially considering Newcastle’s leaky defense and Villa’s potential to grind out a result. This matchup could very well favor the visitors.

Aston Villa at Newcastle United · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 94.3%
Aston Villa at Newcastle United · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 81.2%
Aston Villa at Newcastle United · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 61.5%
Aston Villa at Newcastle United · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.0%
Aston Villa at Newcastle United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.0%
EPLCRY vs. 2026-10-18 13:00
Show Picks
Crystal Palace at Brighton and Hove Albion: Crystal Palace Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Crystal Palace_NA
Chance to win 29.7%
The price says 21.3%
Best price +350

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Draw No Bet (+350)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Brighton prepares to face Crystal Palace in this fierce rivalry, the odds favor a tight encounter. While Palace's recent form shows a disheartening 1-0-4 record in their last five, they've faced some tough competition, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. However, xG numbers often tell a different story. Palace’s attack has sputtered recently, averaging just 1.4 goals, yet their defensive metrics suggest they can frustrate Brighton. The Eagles have consistently matched up well against the Seagulls, and with the stakes high in a derby, you can expect a gritty display. Brighton's home advantage may not be enough to secure a win, especially if Palace can weather the storm. Consequently, taking Crystal Palace in the Draw No Bet market provides a layer of safety; if it ends level, your stake is returned, and given the rivalry's unpredictability, it's a wise move worth considering.

Crystal Palace at Brighton and Hove Albion · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 16.7%
Crystal Palace at Brighton and Hove Albion · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 16.7%
Crystal Palace at Brighton and Hove Albion · Spread 4.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 91.4%
Crystal Palace at Brighton and Hove Albion · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 21.1%
Crystal Palace at Brighton and Hove Albion · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 21.1%
Crystal Palace at Brighton and Hove Albion · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 56.3%
EPLSUN vs. BOU 2026-10-18 13:00
Sunderland Away
vs.
Show Picks
Sunderland at Bournemouth: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 50.0%
The price says 47.6%
Best price +100

Bournemouth vs Sunderland: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+100)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Bournemouth prepares to host Sunderland, the signs point to a low-scoring affair. Bournemouth's recent home form has been dismal, with just one win in their last five matches, and they’ve averaged a mere 1.4 goals per game during this stretch. Their expected goals (xG) stats reflect a worrying trend; they’ve struggled to create clear-cut chances, averaging zero xG over their last five outings. On the flip side, Sunderland’s away form is similarly uninspiring, yielding just 1.8 goals per game with a similar xG deficiency. With both teams showing a tendency to stifle rather than flourish in front of goal, the Under 2.5 market feels enticing. The stats suggest a battle for midfield control, rather than a free-scoring showcase, making a low-scoring game the most likely outcome. Expect a gritty contest, but don’t hold your breath for a goal fest!

Sunderland at Bournemouth · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 43.7%
Sunderland at Bournemouth · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 90.7%
Sunderland at Bournemouth · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 92.4%
Sunderland at Bournemouth · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.7%
Sunderland at Bournemouth · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.7%
EPLMUN vs. LEE 2026-10-18 13:00
Show Picks
Manchester United at Leeds United: Leeds United Spread 2.5
Chance to win 92.4%
The price says 88.0%
Best price -2000

Leeds United vs Manchester United: Leeds United +2.5 Goal Handicap (-2000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Leeds United prepares to host Manchester United, the home side’s recent form at Elland Road shines brightly. With a solid home record of 4-1-0 in their last five, they've been scoring an impressive 2.4 goals per game while conceding just 0.6. This attacking prowess is backed by a commendable average of nearly 14 shots and 4.6 shots on target, suggesting they’re more than capable of putting pressure on the visitors. Conversely, Manchester United has shown vulnerability on the road, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in their last five away matches. With Leeds’ confidence surging and United’s away struggles, taking Leeds with a 2.5 handicap seems a promising wager. The underlying xG metrics paint a picture of Leeds dominating the expected chances, making this matchup ripe for a home victory. Expect the home side to capitalize on their momentum and deliver a standout performance.

Manchester United at Leeds United · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 46.8%
Manchester United at Leeds United · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 89.2%
Manchester United at Leeds United · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 63.4%
Manchester United at Leeds United · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 34.6%
Manchester United at Leeds United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 34.6%
Manchester United at Leeds United · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 38.2%
Manchester United at Leeds United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 25.7%
EPLARS vs. NOT 2026-10-18 15:30
Arsenal Away
vs.
Show Picks
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 52.5%
The price says 49.5%
Best price -108

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to face Arsenal, the narrative suggests a potential for a low-scoring affair. Forest's recent home form has been shaky, with just one win in their last five, scoring an average of only 1.2 goals per game at home. Meanwhile, their defense has tightened, allowing just 0.8 goals on average during that stretch. Arsenal, despite their impressive unbeaten run, seem to have settled into a pattern of moderate scoring, netting around 1.4 goals on the road. Their last five away matches saw them conceding a mere 0.6 goals, indicating a defensive solidity that could frustrate the Forest attack. With both teams trending towards lower-than-expected goal totals—Forest’s xG figures hovering near zero—the under 2.5 goals bet looks wise. Expect a tactical battle where chances are scarce, making the case for a low-scoring showdown all the more compelling.

Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 63.5%
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 24.0%
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 24.0%
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 20.5%
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 90.4%
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 16.3%
Arsenal at Nottingham Forest · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 16.3%
EPLCOV vs. TOT 2026-10-19 19:00
Show Picks
Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur: Under Total Goals 1.5
Chance to win 32.9%
The price says 18.7%
Best price +410

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Under 1.5 Total Goals (+410)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Tottenham Hotspur prepares to face Coventry City, all signs are pointing towards a low-scoring affair. In their last five matches, Spurs have averaged a meager 0.2 goals per game, while Coventry hasn't fared much better with just 0.8. Both teams are struggling to find the back of the net, and their recent xG stats reflect this stark reality, with both sides generating minimal chances. Home advantage hasn't buoyed Spurs either; they’ve only managed to score 0.8 goals at home in their last five. Coupled with Coventry’s lack of attacking firepower on the road, it's hard to see this match exceeding 1.5 goals. With both defenses tightening up and attacking stats in the gutter, the under is not just a reasonable wager; it’s a compelling one as these teams battle for points rather than goals.

Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 42.7%
Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 81.2%
Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Spread 4.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says 90.7%

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Quick answer

What are EPL picks?

EPL picks are model-generated predictions for Premier League betting markets including 1X2 (match result), Asian Handicap, totals (over/under goals) and player props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming EPL match with predictions across all major markets. Expand any match to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

EPL pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
1X2 (Match Result) Home win, draw or away win over the full match. Simple single bet or a low-risk multi leg.
Asian Handicap Win by more than a handicap margin, with the draw removed. When one side is expected to dominate or the match should be close.
Totals (O/U Goals) Over or under the combined goals scored in the match. Match tempo, attacking form, defensive matchups and scoring trends.
Player Props Individual stats — shots, goals, assists, cards. Exploit role changes, matchup edges or recent form streaks.

How to read EPL picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a match. Matches are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that fixture.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated EPL picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Monte Carlo models

20,000+ simulations per match estimate true outcome probabilities across every major EPL market, updated as odds move daily.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

EPL Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are EPL picks?

EPL picks are our model's call on which side to back in an EPL match. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between EPL picks and EPL best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every EPL match on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day. If you want the model's top selections only, use Picks.

What types of EPL picks are available?

We post EPL picks on who wins or whether it is a draw, total goals, both teams to score, and handicaps. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are EPL picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use EPL picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the EPL Multis page.

Does Bet Better guarantee EPL picks will win?

No, and nobody can. EPL picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do EPL picks come out?

As soon as the day's matches and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Most matches land on the weekend, with midweek rounds as well.

Do you pick every EPL match?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some matches get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one match.

Do I have to pay to see the EPL picks?

The first pick in every match is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

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