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Today's EPL Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Match

Every EPL match coming up, graded and ranked best first. All 21 are below, top pick free.

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21 matches coming up, and the first pick of every match is free

Best EPL bet today: Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur: Coventry City Spread 1 at -115, lean confidence. As Tottenham Hotspur welcomes Coventry City, the odds may favor the hosts, but recent performances tell a different story. 21 games on the board.

Today's Premier League predictions, every match

The one we'd back first · Coventry City v Tottenham Hotspur
Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur: Coventry City Spread 1 -115
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.6%
$50 returns$93.50
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each game below
Coventry City v Tottenham HotspurCOV v TOT Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur: Coventry City Spread 1 Lean52% chance -115
Nottingham Forest v Ipswich TownNOT v IPS Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town: Nottingham Forest Spread -0.25 Lean50% chance -115
Manchester City v Aston VillaMCI v AVL Manchester City at Aston Villa: Aston Villa Spread 0.75 Lean51% chance -115
Fulham v Coventry CityFUL v COV Fulham at Coventry City: Under Total Goals 2.5 Lean43% chance +112
Everton v ArsenalEVE v ARS Everton at Arsenal: Everton Spread 4.5 High94% chance -5000
Tottenham Hotspur v ChelseaTOT v CHE Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea: Tottenham Hotspur Spread 3.5 High92% chance -3333
Brentford v Hull CityBRE v HUL Brentford at Hull City: Hull City Spread 0.75 Lean53% chance -125
Bournemouth v Manchester UnitedBOU v MUN Bournemouth at Manchester United: Bournemouth Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Bournemouth_NA Long-shot33% chance +176
Newcastle United v Crystal PalaceNEW v CRY Newcastle United at Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Spread 0 Lean46% chance +100
Brighton and Hove Albion v LiverpoolBrighton and Hove Albion v Liverpool Brighton and Hove Albion at Liverpool: Liverpool Spread 2.5 High96% chance -3333
Leeds United v SunderlandLEE v SUN Leeds United at Sunderland: Leeds United Spread 2.5 High94% chance -5000
Manchester United v ChelseaMUN v CHE Manchester United at Chelsea: Manchester United Spread 3.5 High96% chance -3333
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
127 more picks on the board
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EPL • COV vs. TOT 2026-10-19 19:00 •
Full preview: Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur →
Show Picks
Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur: Coventry City Spread 1
Chance to win 51.6%
The price says 46.5%
Best price -115

Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Coventry City +1 Goal Handicap (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Tottenham Hotspur welcomes Coventry City, the odds may favor the hosts, but recent performances tell a different story. Spurs have struggled on their home turf, failing to win any of their last five matches, averaging just 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their expected goals (xG) stand at a dismal zero, indicating a lack of creativity and finishing prowess. On the flip side, Coventry has shown resilience, especially on the road, securing two wins in their last five outings and averaging 1.2 goals while conceding only one. Their attacking stats suggest they can exploit Spurs’ frailties. With Coventry’s recent form and Spurs’ home struggles, betting on Coventry City +1 presents an enticing opportunity. It feels like a classic case of underestimating the visitors, and they could very well pull off a surprise.

Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Dominic Solanke To Receive a Card Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Total Cards Total 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Coventry City at Tottenham Hotspur · Total Corners 16.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • NOT vs. IPS 2026-10-23 19:00 •
Full preview: Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town →
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Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town: Nottingham Forest Spread -0.25
Chance to win 50.3%
The price says 49.0%
Best price -115

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest -0.25 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Ipswich Town prepares to host Nottingham Forest, recent form suggests the away side holds the advantage. Ipswich’s home record has been patchy, winning just two of their last five outings, while Forest has fared better overall, with a win in their last away game. The xG data also hints at a struggle for Ipswich; they’ve averaged only 1.4 goals per game recently, and their defensive vulnerabilities have seen them concede 1.8 goals on average. In contrast, Nottingham’s away scoring prowess has improved—they notched 2 goals in their last away fixture, and their attacking stats reflect a more aggressive approach, averaging 15 shots per game. With a recent head-to-head favoring Forest (2 wins in the last 5 encounters), taking Nottingham Forest at -0.25 seems a smart play. The balance of form, scoring chances, and historical context aligns well for an away win.

Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • MCI vs. AVL 2026-10-24 11:30 •
Full preview: Manchester City at Aston Villa →
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Manchester City at Aston Villa: Aston Villa Spread 0.75
Chance to win 51.0%
The price says 49.0%
Best price -115

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Aston Villa +0.75 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Aston Villa prepares to host Manchester City, there's a compelling case for backing Villa with a 0.75 handicap. Recent performances highlight Villa's resilience, boasting a solid home record, with just one loss in their last five matches. Their encounters with City have favored them as well, going 3-0-2 in the last five meetings—clearly not an easy outing for Pep's men. City may be riding high with a five-match unbeaten streak, but Villa has shown they can compete at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals in their last five home games. With City conceding around 1.8 goals per match on the road, Villa’s attacking prowess could exploit any defensive lapses. This matchup is close to call, and taking Villa at a 0.75 handicap could provide a cushion if they manage to secure at least a draw, making it a strategic and enticing bet.

Manchester City at Aston Villa · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Manchester City at Aston Villa · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Manchester City at Aston Villa · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Manchester City at Aston Villa · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Manchester City at Aston Villa · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • FUL vs. COV 2026-10-24 14:00 •
Fulham Away
vs.
Last 5FulhamWLDDLCoventry CityWWLLL
Full preview: Fulham at Coventry City →
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Fulham at Coventry City: Under Total Goals 2.5
Chance to win 43.3%
The price says 44.8%
Best price +112

Coventry City vs Fulham: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Coventry City prepares to host Fulham, the trends point towards a cagey encounter. Coventry's recent home form has been solid, yet they’ve averaged just 1 goal in their last five matches, while their opponents are even less prolific, netting a mere 0.4 goals away. With Fulham struggling to find the back of the net, their away xG is notably low, reflecting a team devoid of attacking rhythm. Moreover, the last five meetings between these clubs have seen Coventry dominate, yet they've still kept the scorelines tight. The stats suggest a defensive battle, with Coventry’s home games yielding an average of 1.8 goals from opponents. Given these patterns, betting on under 2.5 total goals seems wise; both teams are more likely to cancel each other out rather than serve up a high-scoring spectacle. Expect a tight contest where goals are at a premium.

Fulham at Coventry City · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fulham at Coventry City · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fulham at Coventry City · Spread 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • EVE vs. ARS 2026-10-24 14:00 •
Everton Away
vs.
Home Arsenal
Last 5EvertonLDWDDArsenalWWLWW
Full preview: Everton at Arsenal →
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Everton at Arsenal: Everton Spread 4.5
Chance to win 94.0%
The price says 90.7%
Best price -5000

Arsenal vs Everton: Everton +4.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Arsenal prepares to host Everton, recent form paints a stark contrast. The Gunners have been formidable at home, boasting a 4-0-1 record in their last five matches, averaging over two goals while conceding just 0.4. However, Everton's struggles away are hard to ignore. They've only managed one win in their last five matches and show a troubling pattern, particularly against top-tier teams like Arsenal, where they’ve only secured two points from their last five encounters. What’s compelling here is the handicap line at 4.5. Arsenal's explosive attack could indeed overwhelm, but Everton's defense has tightened up lately. With an xG average of 0 for both teams over recent games, it’s reasonable to expect Everton to keep things tighter than expected. While a win seems unlikely, they might just sneak under that hefty line, making a bet on Everton +4.5 a savvy play.

Everton at Arsenal · Spread 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Everton at Arsenal · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • TOT vs. CHE 2026-10-24 16:30 •
vs.
Home Chelsea
Last 5Tottenham HotspurDLDDLChelseaWWLDL
Full preview: Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea →
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Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea: Tottenham Hotspur Spread 3.5
Chance to win 92.0%
The price says 88.9%
Best price -3333

Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur +3.5 Goal Handicap (-2500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

When Chelsea faces off against Tottenham, recent trends paint a clear picture. Chelsea has been dominant at home, but their last five encounters with Spurs show a 5-0-0 record, indicating a psychological edge. However, Tottenham's recent struggles can't be ignored. They've scored only 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings, while Chelsea's defense is solid, conceding just 1.6. Yet, the real intrigue lies in the xG stats. Chelsea's attacking prowess at home has them averaging 2.8 goals, while Spurs are struggling with an xG that reflects their lack of creativity. A handicap of 3.5 seems steep, but Tottenham's resilience might just allow them to keep it respectable. With Chelsea's recent scoring ability paired with Spurs' defensive weaknesses, betting on Tottenham to cover the handicap feels like a smart move, allowing for the possibility of an upset while still keeping the scoreline tight.

Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea · Spread 0.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Tottenham Hotspur at Chelsea · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • BRE vs. HUL 2026-10-25 14:00 •
Brentford Away
vs.
Home Hull City
Last 5BrentfordLDWDDHull CityLDLDD
Full preview: Brentford at Hull City →
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Brentford at Hull City: Hull City Spread 0.75
Chance to win 53.4%
The price says 51.0%
Best price -125

Hull City vs Brentford: Hull City +0.75 Goal Handicap (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Hull City prepares to host Brentford, the tide seems to favor the home side, particularly with the 0.75 handicap in play. Hull's recent home form has been resilient, boasting a record of 2-3-0 in their last five at home. They’ve managed to keep their opponents at bay, conceding just 0.4 goals per match in this stretch. In contrast, Brentford has struggled on the road, suffering four defeats in their last five away matches. What’s compelling is Hull’s defensive solidity coupled with their ability to press effectively, averaging nearly 9.8 tackles at home. While neither team has been overwhelming in attack, Hull's slightly superior xG at home suggests they’re capable of finding the net more consistently. Given Brentford's inconsistency and Hull's home advantage, backing Hull City with a 0.75 handicap could yield promising returns.

Brentford at Hull City · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Brentford at Hull City · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • BOU vs. MUN 2026-10-25 14:00 •
Full preview: Bournemouth at Manchester United →
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Bournemouth at Manchester United: Bournemouth Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Bournemouth_NA
Chance to win 33.3%
The price says 32.0%
Best price +176

Manchester United vs Bournemouth: Bournemouth Draw No Bet (+200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Manchester United prepares to host Bournemouth, the landscape looks favorable for the visitors. United's home form has been shaky, with four draws and a loss in their last five, while Bournemouth's competitive spirit shines through in recent clashes, boasting a 1-4-0 record against United. The Cherries have shown resilience on the road, averaging 1.2 goals in their last five away games, and their ability to create opportunities stands out, with an average of 11.6 shots per match. United, on the other hand, has struggled to convert chances at home, with just 2.4 goals per game despite averaging over 21 shots. With both teams’ xG numbers not reflecting a significant threat, Bournemouth’s ability to secure a draw or even a win makes the Draw No Bet market enticing. Given their head-to-head advantage and United's current struggles, Bournemouth could very well leave Old Trafford with a positive result.

Bournemouth at Manchester United · Spread 0.75 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bournemouth at Manchester United · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bournemouth at Manchester United · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Bournemouth at Manchester United · Total Goals 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • NEW vs. CRY 2026-10-25 14:00 •
Show Picks
Newcastle United at Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Spread 0
Chance to win 46.3%
The price says 45.5%
Best price +100

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Crystal Palace +0 Goal Handicap (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Crystal Palace hosts Newcastle, betting on Palace to cover the handicap at 0 feels promising given their recent form. The Eagles have shown resilience at Selhurst Park, averaging 1.8 goals per home match despite conceding 2.4. Meanwhile, Newcastle struggles on the road, managing only 1 goal per away game and often leaking 2.2. What’s compelling is Palace’s ability to create chances, averaging 12.4 shots per home match, while Newcastle’s defense has looked shaky, with an alarming 12 fouls per game. Both teams have faced each other evenly in recent encounters, but Palace’s home advantage could tilt the scales. With an implied probability of around 45.5%, this matchup could well see Palace emerging victorious, making the handicap bet an intriguing option for those looking to back the home side.

Newcastle United at Crystal Palace · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Newcastle United at Crystal Palace · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Newcastle United at Crystal Palace · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Newcastle United at Crystal Palace · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Newcastle United at Crystal Palace · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • vs. LIV 2026-10-25 14:00 •
Show Picks
Brighton and Hove Albion at Liverpool: Liverpool Spread 2.5
Chance to win 95.8%
The price says 90.2%
Best price -3333

Liverpool vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Liverpool +2.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Liverpool prepares to face Brighton, the recent form paints a compelling picture for the Reds. While their home record shows some struggles, their ability to dominate games is undeniable. Over the last five matches at Anfield, they’ve averaged 14 shots per game, a clear indication of their attacking intent. Brighton, while a resilient side, has shown vulnerability, particularly against high-pressing teams like Liverpool. The expected goals (xG) metrics reveal that Liverpool has been creating chances galore, even if they haven’t always converted them. With a recent scoring average of just one goal but a solid defense conceding only 0.8, the Reds seem poised to break through. Considering Brighton’s defensive frailties and Liverpool's recent push to assert dominance at home, a handicap bet of Liverpool -2.5 feels like a wise move, echoing the sentiment that the hosts will ultimately deliver a decisive victory.

Brighton and Hove Albion at Liverpool · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Brighton and Hove Albion at Liverpool · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Brighton and Hove Albion at Liverpool · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Brighton and Hove Albion at Liverpool · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • LEE vs. SUN 2026-10-25 16:30 •
vs.
Home Sunderland
Show Picks
Leeds United at Sunderland: Leeds United Spread 2.5
Chance to win 93.5%
The price says 90.2%
Best price -5000

Sunderland vs Leeds United: Leeds United +2.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Sunderland prepares to host Leeds United, the stats paint a concerning picture for the home side. In their last five matches, Sunderland has managed to score just 0.8 goals on average, while conceding a staggering 2.4. Their recent home form shows a slight uptick, but the overall trend suggests they struggle to find the net consistently. On the flip side, Leeds has shown flashes of attacking prowess, averaging 1.4 goals in their last five games and demonstrating a more robust away performance. Importantly, they’ve found the net in tricky environments. With Sunderland’s defensive frailties on display, Leeds should be able to capitalize. The handicap of 2.5 feels justifiable here, especially considering Sunderland's meager xG outputs and Leeds' ability to exploit these weaknesses. Expect Leeds to cover this line as they look to secure a much-needed away win.

Leeds United at Sunderland · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • MUN vs. CHE 2026-10-31 12:30 •
vs.
Home Chelsea
Show Picks
Manchester United at Chelsea: Manchester United Spread 3.5
Chance to win 95.7%
The price says 90.4%
Best price -3333

Chelsea vs Manchester United: Manchester United +3.5 Goal Handicap (-3333)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Chelsea welcomes Manchester United, history and recent form suggest the Red Devils could capitalize on this encounter. Despite their struggles away, United has consistently found ways to challenge Chelsea, boasting a 2-1-2 record against them in their last five meetings. With Chelsea’s home form showing vulnerability—two wins in the last five—it’s clear they’re not the fortress they once were. On the other hand, while United’s recent away performance hasn’t shone, their offensive output has hovered around 1.4 goals per game. Chelsea’s defense has conceded an average of 2 goals at home lately, indicating a possible defensive lapse. The xG numbers reveal both teams are underperforming, yet United’s ability to create chances, averaging 17.6 shots in away matches, suggests they can exploit Chelsea’s weaknesses. With the handicap set at 3.5, this could be the moment for United to turn the tide in their favor.

Manchester United at Chelsea · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • IPS vs. HUL 2026-10-31 15:00 •
vs.
Home Hull City
Show Picks
Ipswich Town at Hull City: Hull City Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Hull City_NA
Chance to win 63.0%
The price says 49.6%
Best price -106

Hull City vs Ipswich Town: Hull City Draw No Bet (-106)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Hull City prepares to host Ipswich, there’s a compelling case for a Draw No Bet on the Tigers. Despite a rocky home record, Hull has shown signs of resilience, especially at home where they’ve averaged just one goal against in their last five matches. They’ll be eager to turn their fortunes around against an Ipswich side that, while they’ve managed a couple of wins lately, has been leaky on the road, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game away. What’s intriguing is the xG dynamics; both teams struggle to create clear chances, but Hull’s defense could stifle Ipswich’s attack. With Hull’s home XG showing potential for improvement and Ipswich’s away woes, this matchup feels ripe for Hull to edge it. Given the recent trends, backing Hull with the safety of the Draw No Bet seems prudent—this could be their moment to shine.

Ipswich Town at Hull City · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Ipswich Town at Hull City · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Ipswich Town at Hull City · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Ipswich Town at Hull City · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • SUN vs. COV 2026-10-31 15:00 •
Sunderland Away
vs.
Show Picks
Sunderland at Coventry City: Coventry City Spread 0.5
Chance to win 63.3%
The price says 59.5%
Best price -189

Coventry City vs Sunderland: Coventry City +0.5 Goal Handicap (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Coventry City prepares to host Sunderland, recent form paints a compelling picture favoring the home side. Coventry's been resilient at home, marking a 3-0-2 record in their last five matches, while averaging a solid 2.4 goals per game in front of their own fans. They've managed to keep opponents to 1.8 goals, showcasing a sturdy defense. Sunderland, on the other hand, has struggled away, with just one draw and four losses in their last five, conceding an alarming 2.2 goals per game. Their lack of scoring punch, averaging only 1.6 goals away, coupled with their recent head-to-head record against Coventry—where they’ve won only once in the last five encounters—further tilts the odds. With Coventry's attacking prowess and Sunderland's defensive vulnerabilities, backing Coventry with a 0.5 handicap looks promising for this matchup.

Sunderland at Coventry City · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sunderland at Coventry City · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sunderland at Coventry City · Spread 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sunderland at Coventry City · Total Goals 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sunderland at Coventry City · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sunderland at Coventry City · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Sunderland at Coventry City · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • LEE vs. BOU 2026-10-31 15:00 •
vs.
Show Picks
Leeds United at Bournemouth: Bournemouth Spread -0.25
Chance to win 51.7%
The price says 49.6%
Best price -120

Bournemouth vs Leeds United: Bournemouth -0.25 Goal Handicap (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Bournemouth prepares to host Leeds United, there's an intriguing narrative unfolding. Both teams have struggled recently, but Bournemouth has shown flashes of potential at home, averaging 1.2 goals scored while limiting opponents to just 1. Leeds, on the other hand, has faltered on the road, averaging a mere 0.8 goals away from home. What stands out is Bournemouth's ability to generate more shots, averaging 17 per game at home, compared to Leeds' 11.2 on the road. With xG data indicating Bournemouth's attacking play is beginning to click, and given Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities, this matchup favors the Cherries. Taking Bournemouth at -0.25 on the handicap not only capitalizes on their home advantage but also plays into Leeds’ struggles to find the net away. Expect Bournemouth to edge this one out, making this bet a compelling choice.

Leeds United at Bournemouth · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Leeds United at Bournemouth · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Leeds United at Bournemouth · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Leeds United at Bournemouth · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Leeds United at Bournemouth · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Leeds United at Bournemouth · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • NOT vs. BRE 2026-10-31 15:00 •
Show Picks
Nottingham Forest at Brentford: Nottingham Forest Spread 3.5
Chance to win 95.5%
The price says 90.5%
Best price -5000

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest +3.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Brentford hosts Nottingham Forest, the recent form suggests an intriguing matchup. The Bees have struggled at home lately, managing just one win in their last five, while Forest has shown resilience on the road, with their last away game ending in a hard-fought draw. Statistically, Brentford's attacking metrics are concerning; they average just 1.8 goals per game in their last five, and their expected goals (xG) are alarmingly low, hinting at a lack of creativity. Conversely, Nottingham has maintained a respectable scoring rate, averaging 2 goals per game in their recent away outings. With Brentford's defense leaking an average of 1.4 goals at home, there's a strong case for Nottingham to cover a 3.5-goal handicap. Given their head-to-head history and current form, backing Nottingham to exceed expectations seems both sensible and rewarding.

Nottingham Forest at Brentford · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Nottingham Forest at Brentford · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Nottingham Forest at Brentford · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Nottingham Forest at Brentford · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Nottingham Forest at Brentford · Spread 0.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • vs. MCI 2026-10-31 15:00 •
Show Picks
Brighton and Hove Albion at Manchester City: Brighton and Hove Albion Spread 4.5
Chance to win 97.5%
The price says 92.6%
Best price -5000

Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Brighton and Hove Albion +4.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Manchester City rolls into this clash against Brighton, they’re riding high with an impeccable home record, averaging a solid 2.6 goals per game over their last five. However, let’s not overlook Brighton's resilience. Despite City's dominance, they’ve shown they can weather storms, even on the road. Brighton’s last encounters have been spirited, and they’ve often managed to keep matches tighter than expected. With City’s relentless attack (boasting an impressive shot average of 14.2), it’s easy to forget that they sometimes allow goals. Their opponents have averaged 1 goal against them lately, hinting at vulnerabilities. In this matchup, taking Brighton with a +4.5 handicap feels like a savvy bet. It’s about playing the odds; Brighton's ability to stay competitive means they could very well cover that line, even in a challenging environment. This game might just surprise us!

Brighton and Hove Albion at Manchester City · Total Goals 6.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Brighton and Hove Albion at Manchester City · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Brighton and Hove Albion at Manchester City · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • CRY vs. TOT 2026-10-31 17:30 •
Show Picks
Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur: Crystal Palace Spread 0.75
Chance to win 50.6%
The price says 47.2%
Best price -110

Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace +0.75 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Tottenham prepares to host Crystal Palace, recent form paints a concerning picture for Spurs. They’ve struggled at home, managing just a single win in their last five matches, averaging a meager 0.6 goals scored. In stark contrast, Palace has shown resilience, especially in their last encounters, winning three of the last five against Spurs. They’ve been finding the net more consistently, averaging 1.6 goals across their last five outings. Tottenham's xG numbers tell a similar story; they’ve created little threat, accumulating zero xG in their last five home games. Meanwhile, Palace’s away form, though not stellar, suggests they can exploit Spurs’ vulnerabilities. With Tottenham’s defensive frailties and Palace's recent uptick in scoring, backing Crystal Palace at +0.75 on the handicap seems not just wise—it feels like a bet that’s ripe for value.

Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • FUL vs. AVL 2026-10-31 20:00 •
Fulham Away
vs.
Show Picks
Fulham at Aston Villa: Fulham Spread 3.5
Chance to win 96.3%
The price says 90.7%
Best price -5000

Aston Villa vs Fulham: Fulham +3.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Aston Villa prepares to host Fulham, it’s hard to overlook the recent trends that favor the visitors. Villa's home form has been shaky, with just one win in their last five at home, while Fulham has consistently struggled on the road, not winning any of their last five away games. However, they’ve shown resilience against Villa, boasting a solid head-to-head record of 4-0-1 in their last five matchups. Fulham’s attack has been less than prolific lately, averaging just one goal in their last five matches, but they've managed to create opportunities, averaging 15.6 shots per game. With Villa conceding an average of 1.8 goals at home, one has to wonder if Fulham might snatch a goal or two. Betting on Fulham with a 3.5 handicap feels like a savvy move here, considering the dynamics at play and the potential gap in performance.

Fulham at Aston Villa · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fulham at Aston Villa · Total Goals 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fulham at Aston Villa · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fulham at Aston Villa · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Fulham at Aston Villa · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • ARS vs. LIV 2026-11-01 16:30 •
Arsenal Away
vs.
Home Liverpool
Show Picks
Arsenal at Liverpool: Arsenal Spread 2.5
Chance to win 95.7%
The price says 90.5%
Best price -5000

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Arsenal +2.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Liverpool welcomes Arsenal, recent form suggests the Gunners are primed for a strong showing. Arsenal’s unbeaten run of four away matches, coupled with a solid average of 1.4 goals scored per game, sets the stage nicely. Meanwhile, Liverpool has struggled at home recently, averaging just 0.8 goals in their last five matches at Anfield. Their defense has been leaky, allowing an average of 1.4 goals at home, and that inconsistency could be their downfall. The historical context adds to the intrigue; Arsenal has had the upper hand in their last five encounters, boasting a 3-1-1 record against Liverpool. With the odds stacked in Arsenal's favor—especially considering their ability to press high and exploit Liverpool's frailties—betting on Arsenal +2.5 appears to be a strategic play. Expect the Gunners to capitalize on this opportunity and deliver a performance that could tilt the match decisively in their favor.

Arsenal at Liverpool · Spread 0.75 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Arsenal at Liverpool · Total Goals 2.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Arsenal at Liverpool · Draw No Bet Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Arsenal at Liverpool · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Arsenal at Liverpool · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Arsenal at Liverpool · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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EPL • EVE vs. NEW 2026-11-02 20:00 •
Everton Away
vs.
Show Picks
Everton at Newcastle United: Newcastle United Draw No Bet draw_no_bet_Newcastle United_NA
Chance to win 60.5%
The price says 58.1%
Best price -152

Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United Draw No Bet (-152)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Newcastle prepares to host Everton, there’s plenty of reason to back the Magpies in the Draw No Bet market. Despite their recent home form showing only one win in the last five, they've managed to average 1.8 goals at St. James' Park, showcasing their attacking capabilities. Meanwhile, Everton’s away struggles are hard to overlook; they've failed to register a win on the road in five attempts, with a meager scoring average of just one goal per match. Interestingly, Newcastle’s xG numbers indicate they create opportunities consistently, even if they haven’t always converted. Everton, on the other hand, appears to be floundering, struggling to find their rhythm against a Newcastle side that historically holds sway in this matchup. Given these trends, siding with Newcastle for the Draw No Bet seems prudent, especially with their home advantage in a crucial clash.

Everton at Newcastle United · Spread 0.25 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Everton at Newcastle United · Spread 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Everton at Newcastle United · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Everton at Newcastle United · Head to Head (3-Way) Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Everton at Newcastle United · Total Goals 5.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Everton at Newcastle United · Both Teams to Score Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
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Quick answer

What are EPL picks?

EPL picks are model-generated predictions for Premier League betting markets including 1X2 (match result), Asian Handicap, totals (over/under goals) and player props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming EPL match with predictions across all major markets. Expand any match to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

EPL pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
1X2 (Match Result) Home win, draw or away win over the full match. Simple single bet or a low-risk multi leg.
Asian Handicap Win by more than a handicap margin, with the draw removed. When one side is expected to dominate or the match should be close.
Totals (O/U Goals) Over or under the combined goals scored in the match. Match tempo, attacking form, defensive matchups and scoring trends.
Player Props Individual stats — shots, goals, assists, cards. Exploit role changes, matchup edges or recent form streaks.

How to read EPL picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a match. Matches are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that fixture.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated EPL picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Checked every day

Our model checks every EPL match on the board each day and gives each pick its chance to win, logged before it starts.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

EPL Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are EPL picks?

EPL picks are our model's call on which side to back in an EPL match. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between EPL picks and EPL best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every EPL match on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day. If you want the model's top selections only, use Picks.

What types of EPL picks are available?

We post EPL picks on who wins or whether it is a draw, total goals, both teams to score, and handicaps. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are EPL picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use EPL picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the EPL Multis page.

Does Bet Better guarantee EPL picks will win?

No, and nobody can. EPL picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do EPL picks come out?

As soon as the day's matches and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Most matches land on the weekend, with midweek rounds as well.

Do you pick every EPL match?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some matches get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one match.

Do I have to pay to see the EPL picks?

The first pick in every match is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

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