KC Concepcion has one live pick today: under 46.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
36.9 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 71.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +18.8%.
Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Browns
@
New Orleans Saints
KC Concepcion
under 46.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards
Under 46.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.80
Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for KC Concepcion is Under 46.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is KC Concepcion playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. KC Concepcion is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Concepcion caught three of four targets for 37 yards in Sunday's 27-6 loss to the Steelers.
updated Nov 2, 2:54AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
See every number
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards | 71.9% | — | 53.2% | 2.00 | +18.8% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
KC Concepcion (CLE) Under 46.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New Orleans Saints play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is KC Concepcion (CLE) Under 46.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Overall Hit Rate (27 picks)
66.7%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
KC Concepcion's lines for Sun 8 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards 46.5
-114 best over price · 7 books
KC Concepcion's receiving yards line is 46.5, best over price -114 across 7 books.
Receptions 4.5
+110 best over price · 17 books
KC Concepcion's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +110 across 17 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · New Orleans SaintsU 46.5 -114 46.5posted line · receiving yds
KC Concepcion has a live NFL receiving yards market for New Orleans Saints: under 46.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
ReceptionsNext game · New Orleans SaintsU 4.5 -114 4.5posted line · receptions
KC Concepcion has a live NFL receptions market for New Orleans Saints: under 4.5 receptions priced at -114.
Rushing Yards5 lines trackedNo line posted 5.5typical line · rushing yds
line range0.5–5.5tips tracked5
KC Concepcion's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 5.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receiving Yards |
47.5 |
Under |
-111 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receiving Yards |
46.5 |
Under |
-110 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receptions |
4.5 |
Under |
+103 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 25 Oct 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 25 Oct 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
KC Concepcion (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 66.7% on tracked KC Concepcion picks. The latest model pick for KC Concepcion is Under 46.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints on Sunday 8 November at New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.