Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ray Davis is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 5 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 5%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 3:20AM UTC
NFL
Ray Davis
BUF
Ray Davis has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $2,000 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1900 (20.00) · $100→$2,000
Value call
Detroit Lions
@
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
Fri 18 Sep, 12:15AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 339 of 532 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Davis returned one kickoff for 31 yards during Thursday's 41-31 win versus the Lions.
updated Sep 19, 12:51AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
5 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 4.7% · before adjusting for past results 20.5% · the book's price implies 5.0% · gap -0.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 20.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 20.00 | +15.5% |
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Ray Davis (BUF) Yes Player last td (+1900)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Buffalo Bills play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Friday 18 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ray Davis (BUF) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1900 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $200 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formRushing Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted 21.5typical line · rushing yds
line range14.5–21.5tips tracked3
Ray Davis's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 21.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
21%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3
Ray Davis's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 21%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Ray Davis (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ray Davis is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.5% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills on Friday 18 September at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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