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NFL

Ko Kieft

TB

Value call

Ko Kieft has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $5,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 6.4% · before adjusting for past results 10.4% · the book's price implies 1.8% · gap +4.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Ko Kieft
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +5500 (56.00) · $100→$5,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$560.00 Odds+5500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ko Kieft is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 2:58AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Kieft (elbow) does not carry an injury designation into Thursday's game against the Cowboys, Brianna Dix of the Buccaneers' official site reports.
updated Oct 7, 10:50PM UTC · 7d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD10.4%6.4%1.8%56.00+8.6%

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AI Analysis

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Ko Kieft (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+5500)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Tampa Bay Buccaneers play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ko Kieft (TB) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +5500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $560 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD11 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked11

Ko Kieft's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 11 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ko Kieft (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ko Kieft is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 4 October at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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