Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Joly is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 0 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 0%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 27, 11:01AM UTC
NFL
Justin Joly
MIA
Justin Joly has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $8,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+8000 (81.00) · $100→$8,100
Value call
Kansas City Chiefs
@
Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 177 of 334 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
updated Sep 21, 7:05PM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
0 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 0.1% · before adjusting for past results 10.4% · the book's price implies 1.2% · gap -1.1%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 10.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 81.00 | +9.1% |
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Justin Joly (MIA) Yes Player last td (+8000)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Miami Dolphins play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Justin Joly (MIA) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +8000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $810 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Justin Joly's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Justin Joly's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
Justin Joly's anytime td line is posted.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Kansas City ChiefsAnytime TD +3000
Justin Joly has a live NFL anytime td market for Kansas City Chiefs priced at +3000.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Justin Joly (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Joly is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 27 September at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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