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NFL

Justin Joly

MIA

Value call

Justin Joly has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $3,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.9% · before adjusting for past results 11.4% · the book's price implies 3.2% · gap +5.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Justin Joly
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +3000 (31.00) · $100→$3,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$310.00 Odds+3000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Joly is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 5:18AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
updated Nov 9, 9:26PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD11.4%8.9%3.2%31.00+8.2%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions: Justin Joly Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+3000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Justin Joly has a big chance to score a touchdown in this game. The Miami Dolphins have been better at passing than running this season, and Joly is part of that air attack. With the Dolphins' quarterback facing extra rushers often, getting the ball to Joly could be key for success. The risk is that the Dolphins are not great on grass fields, winning less than half their games there. Still, with odds at +3000, it's a fun pick that could pay off big. If there's a time for Joly to shine, this could be it!

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
10%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17

Justin Joly's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 10%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Justin Joly (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Joly is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 8 November at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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