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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brock Wright is Under 5.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 4, 11:40AM UTC
NFL

Brock Wright

DET

Value call

Brock Wright has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Under 5.5 that pays $178 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 5.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
Value call
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
Mon 5 Oct, 12:20AM
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
11.8 Receiving Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.1% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap +3.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards60.1%—56.2%1.90+3.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions: Brock Wright Under 5.5 Receiving Yards (-128)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Brock Wright has been a solid contributor for the Lions, but he's going up against a tough Panthers defense that knows how to limit tight ends. Carolina has shown they can really shut down passing games, especially at home. With a strong effort from their secondary, this could make it hard for Wright to rack up receiving yards. Even though our numbers say there's a good chance for this pick, there's always the risk that Wright could get a few lucky catches. Still, given the matchup and how the Panthers play at home, betting on him to stay under 5.5 receiving yards seems like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brock Wright's lines for Mon 5 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 5.5
-102 best over price · 4 books

Brock Wright's receiving yards line is 5.5, best over price -102 across 4 books.

Anytime TD
+850 best over price · 14 books

Brock Wright's anytime td line is posted, best over price +850 across 14 books.

Betting angles

1 market live
Receiving YardsNext game · Carolina PanthersU 5.5 -125
5.5posted line · receiving yds

Brock Wright has a live NFL receiving yards market for Carolina Panthers: under 5.5 receiving yds priced at -125.

Anytime TD16 lines trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked16

Brock Wright's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 16 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 New York Jets @ Detroit Lions Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brock Wright (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brock Wright is Under 5.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers on Monday 5 October at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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