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NFL

Jaylen Warren

PIT

Value call

Jaylen Warren has one live pick today: over 49.5 rushing yards that pays $137 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
70.2 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.4% · before adjusting for past results 89.9% · the book's price implies 73.0% · gap +1.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Jaylen Warren
over 49.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 49.5 -270 (1.37) · $100→$137
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.70 Odds-270
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylen Warren is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 73%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 3:31PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Warren rushed 17 times for 143 yards and a touchdown and brought in one of two targets for no gain in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday. He also fumbled once but recovered.
updated Nov 1, 11:27PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)89.9%74.4%73.0%1.37+16.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns: Jaylen Warren Over 49.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (-270)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jaylen Warren has been running the ball really well, especially since the Steelers focused on rushing more than passing this season. With the Steelers getting a good amount of yards on the ground, it makes sense to bet on him getting over 49.5 rushing yards. Plus, the Browns have struggled against teams that can run effectively, which puts Warren in a solid position to shine. One concern is that both quarterbacks have faced a lot of extra rushers, which can lead to tougher plays. However, with the Steelers' offensive line creating space, Warren should find opportunities to break through. The odds are strong for this pick, so it's worth keeping an eye on how he performs.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (29 picks) 72.4% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD18 lines trackedNo line posted
52%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked18

Jaylen Warren's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 18 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 52%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted
25.5typical line · receiving yds
line range13.5–28.5tips tracked35

Jaylen Warren's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 25.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards197 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range14.5–70.5model over98%tips tracked197

Jaylen Warren's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 197 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions58 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–5.5model over67%tips tracked58

Jaylen Warren's NFL receptions prop has been priced 58 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Jaylen Warren average?How many receiving yards does Jaylen Warren average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Attempts (Alt) 13.5 Over -143 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Attempts (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Attempts (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaylen Warren (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 72.4% on tracked Jaylen Warren picks. The latest model pick for Jaylen Warren is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 1 November at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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