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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylen Warren is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 43%, for a model edge of +7.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL

Jaylen Warren

PIT

+7.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +135 (2.35)
+7.7% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Warren said Thursday that he's down to 205 pounds this season, Chris Adamski of TribLive.com reports.
updated May 28, 5:30PM UTC · 53d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
42.6%
Model Edge
+7.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—42.6%1.99+7.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jaylen Warren (PIT) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

While Jaylen Warren has a perfect hit rate against the Seattle Seahawks (1/1), his overall scoring trend is less encouraging, with only 6 touchdowns in 51 games. His recent performance also suggests a downturn in form, with no touchdowns in his last 3 games overall and at home, and no touchdowns in his last 5 games both overall and at home. His overall hit rate at home is particularly low, with only 1 touchdown in 24 games. Additionally, he currently has a hit streak of 0, showing a lack of recent success in scoring touchdowns. Despite a small model edge of 0.0767, the dominating negative trends suggest a bet on Warren to score a touchdown in the 'player_anytime_td' market may not be the best decision based purely on his statistical performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Jaylen Warren's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range13.5–22.5tips tracked4

Jaylen Warren's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jaylen Warren (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaylen Warren is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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