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NFL

Mike Washington Jr.

LV

Value call

Mike Washington Jr. has one live pick today: over 9.5 rushing yards that pays $119 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
27.8 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 83.9% · before adjusting for past results 89.5% · the book's price implies 84.0% · gap -0.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Mike Washington Jr.
over 9.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 9.5 -526 (1.19) · $100→$119
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$11.90 Odds-526
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Washington Jr. is Over 9.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 84%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:48AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Washington logged a five-yard carry and caught his lone target for five yards during the Raiders' 45-17 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
updated Oct 12, 11:55PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)89.5%83.9%84.0%1.19+5.5%

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AI Analysis

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Mike Washington Jr. (LV) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate (-526)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New England Patriots play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Mike Washington Jr. (LV) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -526 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards40 lines trackedNo line posted
16.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–39.5model over61%tips tracked40

Mike Washington Jr.'s NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 40 times, typically around a 16.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
17%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Mike Washington Jr.'s NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 17%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Rushing Attempts (Alt) 5.5 Over +218 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Rushing Attempts 4.5 Over +110 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Rushing Attempts (Alt) 4.5 Over +110 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mike Washington Jr. (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Washington Jr. is Over 9.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.5% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots on Sunday 11 October at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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