Chase Brown has one live pick today: under 65.5 rushing yards that pays $191 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
59 in 100
Predicted
57.9 rushing yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 59.1% · before adjusting for past results 69.8% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +6.7%.
Latest Model PickFree
Cincinnati Bengals
@
Miami Dolphins
Chase Brown
under 65.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards
Under 65.5
-110 (1.91) · $100→$191
Value call
LEANWins about 59 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$19.10
Odds-110
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chase Brown is Under 65.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 59%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:10AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Chase Brown playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Chase Brown is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Brown rushed nine times for 10 yards and brought in all 11 targets for 71 yards in the Bengals' 22-17 loss to the Jaguars on Sunday.
updated Oct 4, 9:22PM UTC · 6d old
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards | 69.8% | 59.1% | 52.4% | 2.02 | +17.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Chase Brown (CIN) Under 65.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Miami Dolphins play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chase Brown (CIN) Under 65.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (21 picks)
66.7%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Chase Brown's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards 65.5
-115 best over price · 4 books
Chase Brown's rushing yards line is 65.5, best over price -115 across 4 books.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Chase Brown's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Chase Brown's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveRushing YardsNext game · Miami DolphinsO 29.5 -1429 29.5posted line · rushing yds
Chase Brown has a live NFL rushing yards market for Miami Dolphins: over 29.5 rushing yds priced at -1429.
Receiving Yards142 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over79%tips tracked142
Chase Brown's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 142 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions72 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–5.5model over56%tips tracked72
Chase Brown's NFL receptions prop has been priced 72 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD16 lines trackedNo line posted
59%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked16
Chase Brown's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 16 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 59%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Rushing Yards |
63.5 |
Under |
-112 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Rushing Yards |
62.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Rushing Yards |
61.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Rushing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Chase Brown (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 66.7% on tracked Chase Brown picks. The latest model pick for Chase Brown is Under 65.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.5% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 11 October at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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