Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cooper Kupp is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 99 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 99%, the price says 94%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 19, 10:40PM UTC
NFL
Cooper Kupp
SEA
Cooper Kupp has one live pick today: Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 4.5 that pays $106 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 4.5
-1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
Value call
New England Patriots
@
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Thu 10 Sep, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Kupp (back) was a full participant at the Seahawks' practice Thursday, Bob Condotta of The Seattle Times reports.
updated Sep 18, 12:50AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
99 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 98.9% · before adjusting for past results 98.9% · the book's price implies 94.3% · gap +4.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 98.9% | 98.9% | 94.3% | 1.06 | +4.6% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Cooper Kupp (SEA) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1667)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play New England Patriots in the NFL on Thursday 10 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cooper Kupp (SEA) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -1667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards78 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–33.5model over95%tips tracked78
Cooper Kupp's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 78 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions43 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–7.5model over96%tips tracked43
Cooper Kupp's NFL receptions prop has been priced 43 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
4.5 |
Over |
-1667 |
✓ HIT |
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
9.5 |
Over |
-667 |
✓ HIT |
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
19.5 |
Over |
-238 |
✓ HIT |
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 10 Sep 26 |
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Cooper Kupp (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cooper Kupp is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks on Thursday 10 September at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.