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NFL

Cooper Kupp

SEA

Value call

Cooper Kupp has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $213 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
2.8 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 39.1% · before adjusting for past results 53.5% · the book's price implies 47.0% · gap -7.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
Cooper Kupp
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions Over 2.5 +113 (2.13) · $100→$213
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.30 Odds+113
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cooper Kupp is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 47%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 3:56AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Kupp caught both of his targets for 20 yards in a 20-3 win over the Chiefs on Sunday.
updated Oct 27, 12:48AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions53.5%39.1%47.0%2.26+6.5%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs: Cooper Kupp Over 2.5 Receptions (+113)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Cooper Kupp to catch over 2.5 passes sit at +113, which gives a nice value for a player like him. Kupp has been a reliable target and has the skills to make big plays. Even though the Kansas City Chiefs' defense is tough, they have struggled against tight ends in the past, allowing very few touchdowns. This could open up opportunities for Kupp to make some catches. The matchup is pretty close, and there's always a risk with the Chiefs' defense bringing extra pressure on the quarterback, which might make it harder for passes to connect. Still, Kupp's talent and the favorable odds make this a nice bet to consider.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards183 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–39.5model over90%tips tracked183

Cooper Kupp's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 183 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions99 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–7.5model over89%tips tracked99

Cooper Kupp's NFL receptions prop has been priced 99 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) 1.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Cooper Kupp (SEA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cooper Kupp is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 25 October at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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