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NFL

T.J. Hockenson

MIN

Value call

T.J. Hockenson has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $138 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
45.9 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 82.8% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +10.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
T.J. Hockenson
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
Value call
HIGHWins about 83 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.80 Odds-263
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for T.J. Hockenson is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 83%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 6:26PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is T.J. Hockenson playing on Sunday? Not sure yet. T.J. Hockenson is listed as questionable, so it is a game-day call. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

QUESTIONABLE
Head coach Kevin O'Connell said that Hockenson (concussion) is expected to practice Wednesday, Alec Lewis of The Athletic reports.
updated Oct 21, 6:39PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)82.8%—72.5%1.38+10.4%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts: T.J. Hockenson Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-263)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Vikings are facing the Colts, and T.J. Hockenson is in a great spot to shine. The Colts have struggled to contain tight ends, which opens up opportunities for Hockenson to rack up receiving yards. He has been performing well lately, and with the Vikings at home, he should get plenty of chances to make big plays. Betting on Hockenson to go over 24.5 receiving yards makes sense based on how often he gets the ball and the matchup against the Colts' defense. The biggest risk here is that the game could be close, which might limit scoring chances for both teams. However, our numbers show he's a strong favorite to exceed that yardage.

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Pick History & Track Record

T.J. Hockenson's lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Questionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Questionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards 36.5
-112 best over price · 5 booksQuestionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards line is 36.5, best over price -112 across 5 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Questionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Questionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5
Questionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Questionable

T.J. Hockenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsO 24.5 -263
24.5posted line · receiving yds

T.J. Hockenson has a live NFL receiving yards market for Indianapolis Colts: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -263.

Anytime TDNext game · Indianapolis ColtsAnytime TD +280

T.J. Hockenson has a live NFL anytime td market for Indianapolis Colts priced at +280.

ReceptionsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsU 4.5 -145
4.5posted line · receptions

T.J. Hockenson has a live NFL receptions market for Indianapolis Colts: under 4.5 receptions priced at -145.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does T.J. Hockenson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Receptions 4.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

T.J. Hockenson (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for T.J. Hockenson is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.4% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings on Sunday 25 October at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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